PL: Man City big favourite (>80%) to win league

Man City more than 80% probability to win PL.

50% Confidence Intervals:

Simulated points for winner: 79 - 85
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 69
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 40

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
47	Man City	81.7	+44	< 1%	>99.99%	99.99%	99.94%	99.78%	84%
40	Liverpool	72.3	+35	< 1%	99.37%	98.4%	96.1%	91%	8%
44	Man United	72.1	+29	< 1%	99.14%	97.8%	95%	89%	7%
42	Leicester	66.2	+18	< 1%	90%	82%	69%	50%	< 1%
36	Chelsea	62.6	+20	< 1%	74%	60%	43%	24%	< 1%
33	Tottenham	61.1	+19	< 1%	63%	48%	31%	16%	< 1%
38	West Ham	60.7	+7	< 1%	57%	41%	25%	13%	< 1%
36	Everton	60.4	+5	< 1%	53%	38%	23%	11%	< 1%
31	Arsenal	56.6	+11	< 1%	28%	17%	9%	3.4%	< 1%
32	Aston Villa	55.4	+9	< 1%	22%	13%	7%	2.8%	< 1%
29	Southampton	52.6	-7	< 1%	8%	3.9%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
29	Leeds	49.8	-7	< 1%	3.0%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	Crystal Palace	48.0	-15	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Wolves	47.8	-9	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Burnley	45.2	-16	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
24	Brighton	42.7	-11	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Newcastle	39.7	-22	11%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Fulham	29.4	-29	90%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Sheffield United	27.3	-31	95%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	West Brom	24.9	-50	98.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Aston Villa	39%	24%	37%	Arsenal
Newcastle	41%	24%	35%	Southampton
Burnley	54%	22%	24%	Brighton
Fulham	33%	24%	43%	West Ham
Man United	62%	20%	18%	Everton
Tottenham	76%	15%	9%	West Brom
Wolves	41%	24%	35%	Leicester
Liverpool	46%	24%	30%	Man City
Sheffield United	27%	23%	50%	Chelsea
Leeds	49%	23%	27%	Crystal Palace