PL: Match day 23

 Simulated points for winner: 79 - 85
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 69
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 40

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
47	Man City	81.7	+44	< 1%	>99.99%	99.99%	99.95%	99.79%	85%
40	Liverpool	72.2	+35	< 1%	99.42%	98.5%	96.2%	91%	8%
45	Man United	71.0	+28	< 1%	98.9%	97.2%	93%	86%	4.9%
42	Leicester	66.2	+18	< 1%	90%	82%	69%	51%	< 1%
36	Chelsea	62.6	+20	< 1%	75%	61%	44%	25%	< 1%
33	Tottenham	61.1	+19	< 1%	64%	49%	32%	17%	< 1%
37	Everton	60.6	+6	< 1%	56%	40%	25%	12%	< 1%
39	West Ham	60.2	+6	< 1%	53%	37%	22%	11%	< 1%
35	Aston Villa	57.0	+10	< 1%	31%	20%	11%	4.7%	< 1%
31	Arsenal	55.3	+10	< 1%	20%	11%	5%	1.8%	< 1%
29	Southampton	51.3	-8	< 1%	4.8%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	Leeds	51.1	-5	< 1%	4.5%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Wolves	47.8	-9	< 1%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	Crystal Palace	46.9	-17	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	Burnley	44.3	-16	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	Brighton	42.8	-10	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	Newcastle	41.2	-21	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
15	Fulham	29.2	-28	93%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Sheffield United	27.3	-31	96.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	West Brom	24.9	-50	99.07%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Tottenham	76%	15%	9%	West Brom
Wolves	41%	24%	35%	Leicester
Liverpool	46%	24%	30%	Man City
Sheffield United	27%	23%	50%	Chelsea
Leicester	33%	24%	43%	Liverpool
Crystal Palace	47%	24%	30%	Burnley
Man City	66%	19%	15%	Tottenham
Brighton	44%	24%	32%	Aston Villa
Southampton	50%	23%	27%	Wolves
West Brom	18%	21%	61%	Man United
Arsenal	62%	20%	18%	Leeds
Everton	65%	19%	16%	Fulham
West Ham	63%	20%	17%	Sheffield United
Chelsea	67%	18%	14%	Newcastle