PL: after matchday 27

 Predictions after matchday 27

 

 Simulated points for winner: 87 - 92
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 68
Simulated points for 17th team: 35 - 39

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League
65	Man City	89.3	+54	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	99.92%
51	Man United	70.3	+28	< 1%	98.8%	96.7%	93%	86%	< 1%
50	Leicester	66.9	+18	< 1%	93%	85%	73%	57%	< 1%
47	Chelsea	66.5	+24	< 1%	92%	84%	72%	57%	< 1%
43	Liverpool	64.3	+22	< 1%	84%	70%	53%	35%	< 1%
45	West Ham	62.9	+11	< 1%	68%	51%	36%	23%	< 1%
46	Everton	62.7	+6	< 1%	65%	47%	32%	19%	< 1%
42	Tottenham	61.8	+20	< 1%	63%	46%	31%	18%	< 1%
37	Arsenal	57.1	+13	< 1%	22%	12%	6%	2.7%	< 1%
39	Aston Villa	55.7	+9	< 1%	14%	7%	3.7%	1.7%	< 1%
34	Wolves	50.4	-7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	Leeds	49.1	-5	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	Crystal Palace	45.8	-20	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	Southampton	45.6	-15	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	Burnley	42.6	-19	3.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Newcastle	39.3	-23	14%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Brighton	38.9	-13	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	Fulham	33.1	-21	72%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
17	West Brom	26.1	-47	98.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Sheffield United	25.0	-34	99.04%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Burnley	37%	24%	39%	Arsenal
Sheffield United	39%	24%	37%	Southampton
Aston Villa	45%	24%	31%	Wolves
Brighton	36%	24%	40%	Leicester
West Brom	40%	24%	36%	Newcastle
Liverpool	77%	14%	9%	Fulham
Man City	64%	20%	17%	Man United
Tottenham	64%	19%	16%	Crystal Palace
Chelsea	60%	21%	19%	Everton
West Ham	58%	21%	20%	Leeds