Euro: Predictions group B and C

Belgium have clinched R16 and clinch group win if they at least draw against Finland.

Group B	MP	GD			Pts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
Belgium	2	5	-	1	6	< 1%	< 1%	7%	93%	100%	74%	49%	32%	20%
Finland	2	1	-	1	3	12%	69%	11%	7%	33%	10%	2%	< 1%	< 1%
Denmark	2	1	-	3	0	26%	16%	57%	< 1%	67%	43%	22%	11%	5%
Russia	2	1	-	3	3	61%	15%	24%	< 1%	27%	10%	2%	< 1%	< 1%

Russia clinch R16 if they win against Denmark - or if they draw while Finland do not win against Belgium. If they lose with one goal while Belgium beat Finland, they have 2-12% (see table below).

Russia - Denmark
Home	Draw	0-1	1-2	2-3	-2	-3	-4
100%	98.5%	2%	7%	9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	Fin - Bel
100%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	23%	Home
100%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	27%	Draw
100%	100%	2%	9%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	28%	Away

Denmark need to win to have a chance. They clinch R16 if they win against Russia, score at least two goals, and Belgium beat Finland. For other results see details below.

Russia - Denmark
Home	Draw	0-1	1-2	2-3	-2	-3	-4
< 1%	< 1%	81%	88%	90%	93%	95%	94%	Fin - Bel
< 1%	< 1%	37%	43%	51%	68%	76%	75%	47%	Home
< 1%	< 1%	37%	41%	54%	65%	75%	73%	45%	Draw
< 1%	< 1%	93%	100%	100%	100%	100%	100%	73%	Away

 

As detailed below, Finland clinch R16 if they beat Belgium, or draw while Denmark beat Russia; very good chances if they draw and Russia take point(s) against Denmark. See details below

Finland - Belgium
Home	Draw	0-1	1-2	2-3	0-2	1-3	0-3	1-4	-4
100%	99.9%	29%	34%	40%	13%	16%	6%	7%	3%	Rus - Den
100%	99%	33%	36%	39%	16%	17%	7%	9%	4%	34%	Home
100%	99.9%	34%	36%	40%	15%	18%	7%	8%	4%	35%	Draw
100%	100%	33%	69%	100%	15%	17%	4%	8%	< 1%	38%	0-1
100%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	21%	1-2
100%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	22%	2-3
100%	100%	33%	36%	42%	16%	19%	7%	9%	4%	34%	-2
100%	100%	32%	34%	43%	15%	18%	7%	8%	4%	33%	-3
100%	100%	34%	36%	39%	14%	18%	8%	9%	4%	34%	-4

Netherlands have clinched group win and North Macedonia are out.

Group C	MP	GD			Pts	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
Netherlands	2	5	-	2	6	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	55%	31%	14%	6%
Ukraine	2	4	-	4	3	< 1%	31%	69%	< 1%	85%	25%	7%	2%	< 1%
Austria	2	3	-	3	3	< 1%	69%	31%	< 1%	76%	20%	5%	1%	< 1%
North Macedonia	2	2	-	5	0	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Ukraine clinch 2nd spot if they take a point against Austria. If they lose, they have to rely on results in other groups and goal difference might be important.

Ukraine - Austria
Home	Draw	0-1	1-2	2-3	-2	-3	-4
100%	100%	62%	65%	68%	42%	26%	11%	Nor - Net
100%	100%	64%	62%	75%	41%	23%	19%	85%	Home
100%	100%	62%	66%	63%	43%	25%	8%	85%	Draw
100%	100%	61%	65%	69%	42%	27%	11%	85%	Away

Austria clinch 2nd spot with a win and have very good chances as third if they draw. If they lose, they need to rely on results in other groups.

Ukraine - Austria
+4	+3	+2	1-0	2-1	3-2	Draw	Away
11%	24%	41%	58%	61%	64%	>99.99%	100%	Nor - Net
9%	20%	40%	58%	61%	73%	100%	100%	75%	Home
9%	20%	40%	59%	61%	63%	100%	100%	75%	Draw
12%	24%	42%	58%	61%	64%	>99.99%	100%	76%	Away

Pts	GD	Probability	Last 16	Chance
4	4-5	17%	17%	98.7%
4	-2	2.8%	2.6%	91%
3	0	6%	4.7%	84%
3	6-7	1.3%	1.0%	78%
3	5-6	2.9%	2.1%	70%
3	4-5	3.3%	2.0%	61%
3	3-4	2.9%	1.5%	50%
3	2-3	2.3%	< 1%	38%
3	5-7	1.4%	< 1%	47%
3	4-6	1.9%	< 1%	39%
3	3-5	2.3%	< 1%	32%
3	2-4	2.3%	< 1%	20%
3	3-6	1.9%	< 1%	16%
3	2-5	3.2%	< 1%	9%
3	-4	3.6%	< 1%	6%