Predictions Copa America

Copa America is played in two groups, each with five countries. The four best in each group advance to knockout stage and quarter-finals. Below are the predictions for each country to finishg first, second, etc in the group and probabilities for each country to reach the different stages.

Country	5th	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Quarterfinal	Semifinal	Finalist	Champion
Brazil	1%	3%	9%	24%	63%	99%	81%	60%	43%
Argentina	< 1%	3%	9%	25%	63%	99%	74%	52%	23%
Colombia	6%	12%	21%	38%	24%	94%	58%	25%	13%
Uruguay	3%	11%	22%	39%	25%	97%	55%	24%	10%
Chile	12%	28%	32%	20%	7%	88%	31%	9%	3%
Ecuador	26%	28%	26%	15%	5%	74%	28%	9%	3%
Venezuela	32%	29%	23%	12%	4%	68%	24%	7%	2%
Peru	34%	29%	22%	12%	4%	66%	22%	6%	2%
Paraguay	18%	36%	28%	14%	5%	82%	23%	6%	1%
Bolivia	67%	22%	8%	3%	< 1%	33%	4%	< 1%	< 1%

Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Brazil (63%) Colombia (24%)
		Brazil (54%) Colombia (18%) Paraguay (7%)
Paraguay (36%) Chile (28%) Bolivia (22%) Uruguay (11%)
				Brazil (55%) Colombia (19%) Uruguay (7%)
Colombia (38%) Brazil (24%) Ecuador (15%) Venezuela (12%)
		Colombia (26%) Brazil (19%) Chile (11%) Uruguay (11%)
Chile (32%) Paraguay (28%) Uruguay (22%) Argentina (9%)
						Brazil (43%) Argentina (23%) Colombia (13%)
Uruguay (39%) Argentina (25%) Chile (20%) Paraguay (14%)
		Uruguay (24%) Argentina (19%) Ecuador (10%) Colombia (10%)
Ecuador (26%) Venezuela (23%) Peru (22%) Colombia (21%)
				Argentina (49%) Uruguay (18%) Ecuador (6%)
Argentina (63%) Uruguay (25%)
		Argentina (49%) Uruguay (16%) Ecuador (8%)
Peru (29%) Venezuela (29%) Ecuador (28%) Colombia (12%)