PL: Matchweek 2

 

Simulated points for winner: 78 - 85
Simulated points for fourth: 66 - 70
Simulated points for 17th team: 38 - 41

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
3	Man City	78.0	+47	< 1%	99.67%	99.18%	98.0%	95.0%	50%	1.3%	2.7%	95.4%
6	Liverpool	73.1	+33	< 1%	97.9%	95.7%	91%	83%	21%	4.6%	8%	83%
6	Chelsea	71.5	+31	< 1%	96.7%	94%	88%	77%	15%	6%	11%	77%
4	Man United	69.9	+30	< 1%	95.1%	91%	83%	70%	11%	8%	13%	71%
6	Tottenham	62.1	+12	< 1%	73%	60%	44%	27%	1.5%	10%	43%	25%
0	Arsenal	59.4	+12	< 1%	61%	47%	31%	17%	< 1%	17%	18%	16%
6	West Ham	58.9	+10	< 1%	58%	44%	29%	16%	< 1%	15%	16%	22%
3	Leicester	55.1	+1	1.4%	37%	24%	14%	7%	< 1%	11%	12%	14%
4	Everton	52.2	-1	3.2%	24%	14%	8%	3.2%	< 1%	8%	8%	3.0%
1	Leeds	51.3	-4	4.3%	20%	12%	6%	2.5%	< 1%	7%	8%	2.3%
6	Brighton	48.3	-10	9%	10%	6%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	3.6%	4.8%	< 1%
3	Aston Villa	48.2	-7	9%	11%	6%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	3.8%	5%	< 1%
0	Wolves	44.9	-11	18%	5.0%	2.4%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	1.8%	3.9%	< 1%
0	Newcastle	43.2	-15	24%	3.1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	3.5%	< 1%
1	Southampton	42.0	-17	30%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%
0	Burnley	41.6	-17	32%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.1%	< 1%
4	Brentford	41.5	-20	33%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%
1	Crystal Palace	40.7	-20	37%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.8%	< 1%
3	Watford	40.3	-23	39%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%
0	Norwich	36.6	-31	61%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%