Tuesday, August 31, 2021

World Cup: Asian Qualifiers

Third round of the Asian qualifiers are played in two groups. Winner and runner-up in each group clinch a place in Qatar. Third teams meet in a playoff and the winner of the playoff participate in the intercontinental playoff.

In Group A Iran and South Korea are favorites. Interesting matches the coming week include that Iraq play both Iran and South Korea.

Group A
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts3rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffPlayoff
Winner
Qatar
Iran0020.5 (18-23)14%34%47%14%11%5%87%
South Korea0020.1 (18-23)17%37%42%17%13%6%85%
Iraq0016 (13-19)43%24%10%43%25%13%46%
Syria0010.5 (8-13)13%3%< 1%13%4%2%6%
United Arab Emirates009.25 (7-12)9%2%< 1%9%3%1%3%
Lebanon007.82 (5-10)5%< 1%< 1%5%< 1%< 1%1%

 

Japan and Australian are favorites in Group B. The most interesting match the coming week is that Saudi Arabia play Oman. Saudi Arabia double their chances if they win (44% vs 24%) while Oman triple their chances if they win (18% vs 6%)

Group B
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts3rd2nd1stRound 4PlayoffPlayoff
Winner
Qatar
Japan0020.6 (18-23)10%30%56%10%7%4%90%
Australia0019 (16-22)17%40%35%17%11%5%81%
Saudi Arabia0014.2 (12-17)35%18%6%35%15%7%31%
Oman0011.3 (9-14)18%6%1%18%6%3%11%
China0010.2 (8-13)13%4%< 1%13%4%2%7%
Vietnam008.55 (6-11)7%2%< 1%7%1%< 1%3%

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