CL: Important match between Salzburg and Wolfsburg

The most important match tonight is in Group G between Salzburg and Wolfsburg. Salzburg have 88% if they win; 54% otherwise. Wolfsburg have 73% if they win; 33% otherwise. In Group F we have an important match between Young Boys and Villarreal. Young Boys have 51% if they win; 17% otherwise.

Group E			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	6	Bayern	14.5	(13-16)	< 1%	1%	8%	91%	99%
2	4	Benfica	8.4	(7-10)	8%	27%	57%	8%	65%
2	1	Dynamo Kyiv	4	(2-5)	69%	23%	8%	< 1%	8%
2	0	Barcelona	6.6	(5-9)	23%	49%	27%	1%	28%

Group F			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	4	Atalanta	9.4	(8-11)	10%	23%	31%	36%	67%
2	3	Young Boys	7.1	(6-9)	40%	29%	21%	9%	31%
2	3	Man United	10	(8-12)	8%	18%	29%	45%	74%
2	1	Villarreal	6.7	(5-8)	42%	30%	19%	9%	28%

Group G			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	4	Salzburg	9.6	(8-11)	9%	20%	28%	43%	71%
2	2	Sevilla	8.7	(7-11)	13%	22%	33%	32%	65%
2	2	Wolfsburg	7.5	(6-9)	23%	33%	26%	18%	44%
2	1	Lille	5.5	(4-7)	55%	25%	13%	6%	19%

Group H			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	6	Juventus	12.9	(12-15)	< 1%	9%	33%	58%	91%
2	3	Chelsea	11.7	(10-13)	< 1%	10%	52%	37%	89%
2	3	Zenit	7.3	(6-9)	7%	73%	14%	5%	19%
2	0	Malmoe	2.6	(1-4)	92%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%