World Cup: Asian qualifiers

Group A is more or less decided with Iran and South Korea having a margin down to challenger Iraq. Group B turns into a three-horse race after Saudi managed a draw in Sydney.

Most interesting matches on Tuesday

Oman vs Japan in Group B

- Japan have 86.4% if they win; 72.9% if draw; 59.1% if lose.

- Oman have 16.8% if they win; 5.6% if draw; 2.3% if lose.

Vietnam vs Saudi Arabia in Group B

- Saudi Arabia have 84.3% if they win; 69.6% if draw; 60.3% if lose.

- Japan have 82.4% if Vietnam win; 79.3% if draw; 73.3% if Saudi Arabia win.

- Australia have 80% if Vietnam win; 76.5% if draw; 71.3% if Saudi Arabia win.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Iran	5	13	23.4	(22-25)	< 1%	24%	76%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
South Korea	5	11	20.4	(18-23)	3%	73%	24%	3%	2%	1%	98%
Iraq	5	4	11.8	(10-14)	56%	3%	< 1%	56%	25%	13%	15%
Lebanon	5	5	9.74	(8-11)	23%	< 1%	< 1%	23%	3%	2%	2%
United Arab Emirates	5	3	7.38	(6-9)	7%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	1%	< 1%	< 1%
Syria	5	2	7.31	(5-9)	10%	< 1%	< 1%	10%	2%	1%	1%

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		3rd	2nd	1st	Round 4	Playoff	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Saudi Arabia	5	13	19.8	(18-22)	29%	32%	33%	29%	16%	8%	73%
Japan	5	9	19.4	(18-21)	29%	34%	32%	29%	23%	11%	78%
Australia	5	10	19.2	(17-21)	30%	30%	34%	30%	22%	11%	75%
Oman	5	7	12.8	(11-15)	10%	3%	< 1%	10%	4%	2%	6%
China	5	4	8.79	(7-11)	1%	< 1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Vietnam	5	0	4.79	(3-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%