World Cup: Georgia upset Sweden

Final in the last match between Portugal and Serbia.

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Portugal	7	17	19.4	(18-20)	11%	89%	11%	9%	7%	96%
Serbia	7	17	17.5	(17-18)	89%	11%	89%	61%	29%	40%
Luxembourg	7	9	10	(9-12)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Ireland	7	6	7.77	(6-9)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Azerbaijan	8	1	1	(1-1)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 Final in the last match between Spain and Sweden. Sweden need to win.

Group B
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Spain	7	16	18.3	(17-19)	13%	87%	13%	11%	8%	96%
Sweden	7	15	15.6	(15-16)	87%	13%	87%	61%	33%	45%
Greece	7	9	11.2	(10-12)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Georgia	8	7	7	(7-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Kosovo	7	4	4.64	(4-5)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 Final between Croatia and Russia in the last match. Croatia need to win.

Group H
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Russia	9	22	22.8	(22-23)	60%	40%	60%	37%	15%	55%
Croatia	9	20	22	(21-23)	40%	60%	40%	26%	13%	73%
Slovenia	9	11	13.4	(12-14)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Slovakia	9	11	13.3	(12-14)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Malta	9	5	5.49	(5-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Cyprus	9	5	5.46	(5-6)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 North Macedonia and Romania fight about the playoff place. North Macedonia play Iceland on home turf and Romania meet Liectenstein away.

Group J
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Germany	9	24	26.2	(25-27)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
North Macedonia	9	15	16.7	(15-18)	58%	< 1%	58%	10%	3%	3%
Romania	9	14	16.6	(17-17)	42%	< 1%	42%	9%	3%	3%
Armenia	9	12	12.6	(12-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Iceland	9	9	10.1	(9-12)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Liechtenstein	9	1	1.3	(1-1)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Austria have clinched one of the NL playoff tickets. The other one goes to one of Wales and Czechia that fail to grab the 2nd spot.

Nation League Group Winners

NL Rank	Country	Group	NL spot	2nd	1st	Playoff	Playoff Final	Playoff Winner	Qatar
1	France	D	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
2	Belgium	E	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
3	Italy	C	< 1%	28%	72%	28%	24%	17%	89%
4	Spain	B	< 1%	13%	87%	13%	11%	8%	96%
5	Wales	E	52%	48%	< 1%	100%	51%	28%	28%
6	Austria	F	100%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	31%	13%	13%
7	Czechia	E	48%	52%	< 1%	100%	37%	16%	16%
8	Hungary	I	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Montenegro	G	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Albania	I	< 1%	1%	< 1%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The runner-ups from Groups D and G will not be seeded. The runner up of Portugal and Serbia is guaranteed to seeded.

Runner-ups

2nd	Team	Group	Seeded	Points when 2nd	Min	Max	GD
11%	Portugal	A	100%	17	17	17	10.6
89%	Serbia	A	100%	17.2	17	18	5.9
< 1%	Belgium	E	100%	16	16	17	14.3
< 1%	England	I	100%	17.3	17	20	15
13%	Spain	B	100%	16	16	16	7.6
60%	Russia	H	99%	16	16	16	5.1
72%	Switzerland	C	97%	16.7	14	18	9.4
28%	Italy	C	96%	16.6	14	18	10.3
87%	Sweden	B	91%	15.2	15	16	5.1
98%	Poland	I	87%	15.8	11	17	10.3
10%	Netherlands	G	85%	15.5	13	16	10.4
40%	Croatia	H	77%	14.5	14	15	9.7
48%	Wales	E	68%	15.5	11	17	4
49%	Turkey	G	66%	14.9	12	15	3
1%	Albania	I	47%	14.1	12	15	0.7
97%	Scotland	F	37%	14.7	11	17	3.9
41%	Norway	G	28%	14.2	11	15	3.6
52%	Czechia	E	26%	13.9	11	14	6
23%	Finland	D	< 1%	11.9	11	14	0.7
3%	Israel	F	< 1%	12.4	11	13	2.1
28%	Bosnia and Herzegovina	D	< 1%	11.9	11	13	3.5
58%	North Macedonia	J	< 1%	11.6	9	12	5.5
49%	Ukraine	D	< 1%	11.8	10	12	2.7
< 1%	France	D	< 1%	12.7	12	13	3.2
< 1%	Montenegro	G	< 1%	11	11	11	0
< 1%	Hungary	I	< 1%	11	11	11	0.7
42%	Romania	J	< 1%	11	11	11	1