Friday, November 12, 2021

World Cup: Italy vs Switzerland in Group C final

We have a group final between Italy and Switzerland. The winner is most likely winning the group because in the last round Italy go to Northern Ireland and Switzerland host Bulgaria.

In Group I

Most interesting matches tonight
Italy vs Switzerland in Group C
    - Switzerland have 98.3% if they win; 71.5% if draw; 47.2% if lose.
    - Italy have 98.8% if they win; 82% if draw; 62.3% if lose.
England vs Albania in Group I
    - England have 100% if they win; 99.7% if draw; 93.1% if lose.
    - Albania have 1.8% if  they win; 0% otherwise.
Andorra vs Poland in Group I
    - Poland have 32.5% if they win; 26.2% if draw; 17.5% if lose.
    - England have 99.6% if Poland win; 100% otherwise.
    - Albania have 1.1% if Andorra win; 0.2% if draw; 0.1% if Poland win.
Moldova vs Scotland in Group F
    - Israel have 0.8% if Moldova win; 0.4% if draw; 0% if Scotland win.
    - Scotland have 10.7% if they win; 9.8% if draw; 8.1% if lose.
Austria vs Israel in Group F
    - Israel have 0.7% if they win; 0.2% if draw; 0% if lose.
    - Scotland have 10.6% if Austria win; 10.3% if draw; 9.2% if Israel win.

 

Group C
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stPlayoffPlayoff FinalPlayoff WinnerQatar
Italy61418.5 (17-20)28%72%28%24%17%89%
Switzerland61417.4 (17-18)72%28%72%54%33%61%
Bulgaria788.25 (8-8)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Northern Ireland657.76 (7-8)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Lithuania733.53 (3-4)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

 

 

Group F
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stPlayoffPlayoff FinalPlayoff WinnerQatar
Denmark82429 (28-30)< 1%100%< 1%< 1%< 1%100%
Scotland81720.2 (20-21)97%< 1%97%31%10%10%
Israel81316.2 (16-17)3%< 1%3%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Austria81015 (14-16)< 1%< 1%100%31%13%13%
Faroe Islands844.38 (4-4)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Moldova811.56 (1-2)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%

 

Group I
CountryMPPtsSimulated Pts2nd1stPlayoffPlayoff FinalPlayoff WinnerQatar
England82025.7 (26-26)< 1%99%< 1%< 1%< 1%100%
Poland81721.7 (21-23)98%< 1%98%64%31%32%
Albania81518 (18-18)1%< 1%1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Hungary81114.8 (14-15)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
Andorra866.24 (6-6)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%
San Marino800.0365 (0-0)< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%< 1%


 

 

 

 

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