PL: City hotteet team in the league.

 

Hot Teams
Man City: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 more than expected
Norwich: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 2.7 more than expected
Aston Villa: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 2.5 more than expected

Cold Teams
Brighton: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 2.4 less than expected
Crystal Palace: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 less than expected
Leicester: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 1.7 less than expected

Likely combination of teams in CL

Probability	Teams
31.8%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United
26.1%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, West Ham
15.1%	Arsenal, Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City
7.6%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Man United, West Ham
6.4%	Chelsea, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham

Simulated points for winner: 84 - 90
Simulated points for fourth: 65 - 71
Simulated points for 17th team: 36 - 39

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
35	Man City	84.4	+53	< 1%	100%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.88%	52%	< 1%	< 1%	99.90%
34	Liverpool	81.8	+59	< 1%	>99.99%	99.99%	99.94%	99.63%	33%	< 1%	< 1%	99.68%
33	Chelsea	78.6	+49	< 1%	99.99%	99.93%	99.67%	98.5%	15%	< 1%	1.0%	98.7%
24	Man United	64.1	+14	< 1%	93%	84%	67%	41%	< 1%	14%	30%	43%
24	West Ham	62.2	+16	< 1%	88%	76%	56%	30%	< 1%	15%	27%	40%
23	Arsenal	60.9	+6	< 1%	82%	66%	44%	20%	< 1%	21%	32%	20%
25	Tottenham	57.7	-2	< 1%	63%	42%	23%	9%	< 1%	20%	25%	9%
19	Leicester	50.8	-5	1.0%	21%	10%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	15%	4.6%
21	Wolves	49.1	-8	1.9%	13%	6%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	6%	< 1%
19	Aston Villa	48.0	-8	3.2%	10%	4.4%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	4.2%	5%	< 1%
20	Brighton	47.8	-9	3.2%	9%	4.0%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	3.8%	5.0%	< 1%
18	Everton	46.6	-12	5%	7%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.8%	4.7%	< 1%
16	Crystal Palace	45.5	-6	7%	6%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.4%	3.8%	< 1%
16	Leeds	45.5	-13	7%	5%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.1%	4.2%	< 1%
17	Brentford	42.7	-13	15%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%
16	Southampton	42.2	-16	18%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%
13	Watford	38.4	-21	39%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	< 1%
10	Burnley	37.6	-16	43%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%
10	Newcastle	33.4	-28	73%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.6%	< 1%
10	Norwich	31.8	-40	83%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Brentford	50%	23%	27%	Watford
Man City	76%	14%	9%	Wolves
Arsenal	66%	19%	15%	Southampton
Chelsea	72%	17%	12%	Leeds
Liverpool	76%	15%	10%	Aston Villa
Norwich	24%	22%	54%	Man United
Burnley	33%	24%	43%	West Ham
Leicester	60%	21%	19%	Newcastle
Brighton	43%	24%	33%	Tottenham
Crystal Palace	48%	23%	28%	Everton