CL: Updated probabilities for CL and EL

Updated probabilities

Champions League

		Chance in Group			Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
A	Man City	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	80%	54%	35%	21%
E	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	76%	50%	32%	18%
B	Liverpool	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	77%	50%	31%	17%
H	Chelsea	< 1%	33%	67%	100%	68%	40%	22%	11%
D	Real Madrid	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	67%	35%	17%	8%
A	Paris SG	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	48%	24%	11%	5%
C	Ajax	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	59%	27%	11%	4.7%
F	Man United	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	59%	27%	11%	4.3%
D	Inter	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	42%	19%	8%	3.4%
B	Atletico	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	40%	16%	6%	2.2%
H	Juventus	< 1%	67%	33%	100%	39%	14%	4.2%	1.4%
E	Barcelona	56%	44%	< 1%	44%	17%	6%	2.2%	< 1%
F	Atalanta	41%	56%	< 1%	56%	18%	6%	2.1%	< 1%
G	Sevilla	33%	18%	17%	35%	13%	4.6%	1.5%	< 1%
C	Sporting	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	25%	7%	1.6%	< 1%
E	Benfica	44%	56%	< 1%	56%	17%	5%	1.4%	< 1%
G	Salzburg	18%	36%	29%	65%	17%	4.3%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Villarreal	56%	44%	< 1%	44%	11%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Lille	49%	10%	42%	51%	16%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%
G	Wolfsburg	< 1%	37%	12%	49%	11%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Europa League

		Chance in Group		Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
H	West Ham	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	66%	43%	27%	16%
	Dortmund			100%	76%	50%	31%	18%	10%
	Porto			100%	75%	46%	28%	16%	9%
G	Leverkusen	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	60%	33%	17%	8%
	Barcelona			56%	43%	28%	18%	11%	6%
A	Lyon	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	53%	27%	13%	6%
	RB Leipzig			100%	69%	40%	21%	11%	5%
D	Frankfurt	12%	88%	100%	94%	51%	25%	11%	5%
C	Napoli	19%	34%	53%	45%	28%	17%	9%	4.9%
C	Leicester	21%	39%	60%	50%	28%	15%	8%	3.7%
	Atalanta			41%	31%	20%	12%	7%	3.6%
B	Monaco	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	45%	19%	7%	2.9%
	Sevilla			33%	25%	16%	9%	5%	2.9%
	Benfica			44%	31%	18%	10%	5%	2.5%
E	Lazio	36%	64%	100%	80%	36%	15%	6%	2.2%
	Villarreal			56%	37%	20%	10%	4.8%	2.2%
G	Betis	100%	< 1%	100%	47%	24%	11%	4.7%	2.1%
B	Sociedad	52%	< 1%	52%	26%	14%	7%	3.2%	1.5%
D	Olympiakos	88%	12%	100%	49%	22%	9%	3.3%	1.3%
	Lille			49%	30%	15%	7%	3.0%	1.3%
B	PSV	48%	< 1%	48%	22%	11%	4.9%	2.1%	< 1%
	Zenit			100%	53%	20%	7%	2.3%	< 1%
F	Braga	29%	53%	83%	63%	22%	7%	1.8%	< 1%
	Salzburg			18%	12%	6%	2.9%	1.3%	< 1%
A	Rangers	100%	< 1%	100%	34%	12%	3.7%	1.1%	< 1%
F	Crvena Zvezda	42%	38%	80%	50%	14%	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Dinamo Zagreb	67%	< 1%	67%	21%	7%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Galatasaray	64%	36%	100%	52%	13%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
F	Midtjylland	29%	8%	37%	16%	4.3%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Spartak Moskva	20%	28%	48%	31%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Young Boys			2.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
	Sheriff Tiraspol			100%	25%	3.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Genk	33%	< 1%	33%	6%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Legia	39%	< 1%	39%	4.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%