World Cup: Canada qualified for Qatar

Canada have clinched a spot in Qatar. Mexico are likely to follow as they only need a win in the final match against Honduras to be sure. The US finish with a difficult match away against Mexico followed by a home game against Panama, which might turn out to be deciding. Likely (88%) Costa Rica or Panama will finish 4th and get the playoff spot against a country from Oceania (likely New Zealand). The two most important matches next on 24 Mar are thus Costa Rica vs Canada and Panama vs Honduras, as detailed below.

NORTH AND CENTRAL AMERICA

Group A
Country	MP	Pts	Simulated Pts		Playoff	1st-3rd	Playoff Winner	Qatar
Canada	11	25	29.1	(28-31)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%
Mexico	11	21	28	(27-30)	< 1%	99%	< 1%	100%
United States	11	21	25.5	(24-27)	11%	86%	9%	95%
Costa Rica	11	16	20.5	(19-22)	49%	9%	35%	44%
Panama	11	17	20.5	(19-22)	39%	6%	25%	32%
Jamaica	11	7	11.6	(10-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
El Salvador	11	9	11.1	(10-12)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Honduras	11	3	6.12	(4-7)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Most interesting matches on 24 Mar

Costa Rica vs Canada

- Costa Rica have 44.4% if they win; 26.6% if draw; 17.4% if lose.

- Panama have 37.9% if Canada win; 29.4% if draw; 18.3% if Costa Rica win.

- United States have 94.8% if Canada win; 94.2% if draw; 87.9% if Costa Rica win.

Panama vs Honduras

- Panama have 38.3% if they win; 22% if draw; 13.6% if lose.

- Costa Rica have 42.9% if Honduras win; 36.8% if draw; 23.3% if Panama win.

- United States have 93.8% if Honduras win; 91.5% if draw; 89% if Panama win.