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In South America, four countries have clinched the direct spots to the World Cup. Peru, Colombia, and Chile have chance to grab the playoff spot against an Asian country.
Peru are the favorites (68%) and clinch the spot if they win against Paraguay (home). They also clinch the spot if they take as many points as Colombia and Chile do not win against Uruguay.
| Venezuela - Colombia | |||||
| Home | Draw | Away | |||
| 84% | 67% | 52% | Per - Par | ||
| 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | Home | |
| 66% | 66% | < 1% | 42% | Draw | |
| 66% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% | Away | |
Colombia clinch the playoff spot if they win against Venezuela and Peru can't win against Paraguay. They also clinch the spot if the draw, Peru lose, and Chile don;t win.
| Venezuela - Colombia | |||||
| Home | Draw | Away | |||
| < 1% | 17% | 48% | Per - Par | ||
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | Home | |
| < 1% | < 1% | 100% | 37% | Draw | |
| < 1% | 66% | 100% | 53% | Away | |
Chile clinch the playoff if they win and neither of Colombia and Peru win.
| Venezuela - Colombia | |||||
| Home | Draw | Away | |||
| 16% | 16% | < 1% | Per - Par | ||
| < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | Home | |
| 34% | 34% | < 1% | 21% | Draw | |
| 34% | 34% | < 1% | 21% | Away | |
| Country | MP | Pts | Simulated Pts | Playoff | 1st-4th | Playoff Winner | Qatar | ||
| Brazil | 16 | 42 | 46.7 | (46-48) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Argentina | 15 | 35 | 39.5 | (38-41) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Uruguay | 17 | 25 | 26.5 | (25-28) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Ecuador | 17 | 25 | 26.2 | (25-28) | < 1% | 100% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Peru | 17 | 21 | 22.8 | (21-24) | 68% | < 1% | 43% | 43% | |
| Colombia | 17 | 20 | 21.4 | (20-23) | 22% | < 1% | 16% | 16% | |
| Chile | 17 | 19 | 20.3 | (19-22) | 10% | < 1% | 7% | 7% | |
| Paraguay | 17 | 16 | 17 | (16-19) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Bolivia | 17 | 15 | 15.3 | (15-15) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Venezuela | 16 | 10 | 12 | (10-13) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
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