NL: Who will be top-seeded in Euro qualifications

The top 10 countries (not counting Germany) in Nations League will be top-ranked in the Euro qualifications, that is, top 2 in each A Division group plus the two or three best thirds.

Netherlands, Denmark, Spain, Belgium, and Portugal have practically (>99%) clinched a top-seed. Tonight there are four matches that are important for deciding who will take the remaining five spots

Poland vs Netherlands (273mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Poland	78%	31%	16%
Switzerland	25%	38%	42%
France	49%	61%	64%

France vs Austria (247mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
France	66%	16%	< 1%
Austria	22%	57%	97%

Belgium vs Wales (207mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Wales	< 1%	6%	52%

Croatia vs Denmark (107mbit)	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Croatia	100%	99.9%	82%
Austria	24%	25%	38%

			Rank			Points
Rank	Group	Country	Mean	Min	Max	Mean	Min	Max	+/-	Pot 5	Pot 4	Pot 3	Pot 2	Pot 1
1	A4	Netherlands	2.6	1	10	12.8	10	16	5					100%
2	A2	Spain	4	1	12	11.3	8	14	3.9				< 1%	99.94%
3	A1	Denmark	4.1	1	11	11.4	9	15	2.5					100%
4	A4	Belgium	4.9	1	12	10.8	7	13	4.8				< 1%	99.7%
5	A2	Portugal	5.1	1	14	10.1	7	13	5.5				< 1%	99.4%
6	A3	Germany	5.8	1	15	9.2	6	12	3.8
7	A1	Croatia	6	1	15	9.9	7	13	-0.7				6%	94%
8	A3	Italy	7.9	1	16	8.5	5	11	-0.9				16%	84%
9	A3	Hungary	8	1	15	8.3	7	13	1.5				9%	91%
10	A1	France	11.1	5	16	6.3	2	8	0.9				42%	58%
11	A4	Poland	12	5	16	6.2	4	10	-5.9				59%	41%
12	A2	Czechia	12.2	2	16	6	4	10	-4.3				60%	40%
13	A2	Switzerland	12.5	3	16	5.7	3	9	-5.1				65%	35%
14	A1	Austria	12.6	2	16	5.5	4	10	-2.7				71%	29%
15	A3	England	13.1	5	16	5.1	2	8	-4.4				78%	22%
16	A4	Wales	14.3	6	16	3.3	1	7	-3.9				93%	7%
17	B4	Norway	18.5	17	24	9.7	4	12	2.6			7%	93%
18	B2	Israel	19.6	17	24	6.8	5	8	1.7			22%	78%
19	B3	Bosnia and Herzegovina	20.1	17	28	6.8	4	10	1.4			27%	73%
20	B1	Ukraine	21.1	17	29	6.1	3	9	0.3			44%	56%
21	B1	Scotland	21.2	17	28	6.2	3	12	-0.2			42%	58%
22	B4	Serbia	21.6	17	28	6	3	9	0.8			58%	42%
23	B3	Montenegro	23.9	17	30	4.2	1	10	-1.5			70%	30%
24	B2	Albania	23.9	17	28	3.8	1	7	-1			83%	17%
25	B2	Iceland	24.6	17	28	3.9	3	6	-0.7			87%	13%
26	B3	Finland	24.6	17	31	5.5	1	7	0.7			74%	26%
27	B1	Ireland	25.3	17	31	5	4	7	1			91%	9%
28	B4	Sweden	27.6	22	31	1.5	0	6	-3.5			100%
29	B3	Romania	28.4	20	31	4.5	0	9	-5.2			95.9%	4.1%
30	B4	Slovenia	29.7	21	31	3.5	2	6	-6.3			99.98%	< 1%
31	B1	Armenia	29.9	23	31	3.5	0	7	-9.8			100%
32	C1	Turkey	32.3	32	37	17	12	18	18		100%
33	C2	Greece	33.2	32	35	16.1	12	18	9		100%
34	C4	Georgia	34	32	39	13.9	10	16	12.1		100%
35	C3	Kazakhstan	35.2	32	39	12.4	10	16	3.4		100%
36	C3	Slovakia	36.6	33	45	10.9	6	12	3.9	< 1%	99.2%
37	C4	North Macedonia	36.9	33	43	10.5	7	13	4.2	< 1%	99.8%
38	C1	Luxembourg	38.1	32	43	9.3	7	13	-0.3	< 1%	99.8%
39	C2	Kosovo	38.3	36	45	9	6	12	0.3	3.2%	96.8%
40	C4	Bulgaria	40.8	36	47	6.4	3	9	-1.4	27%	73%
41	C3	Azerbaijan	41.6	35	47	5.9	4	10	-3	49%	51%
42	C2	Northern Ireland	42.2	36	47	4.9	2	8	-1.8	67%	33%
43	C1	Faroe Islands	42.4	36	47	5.3	4	10	-6.7	73%	27%
44	C3	Belarus	44	36	47	4.1	2	8	-4.3	89%	11%
45	C2	Cyprus	44.7	37	47	3.3	2	8	-7.5	95%	5%
46	C1	Lithuania	45.1	40	47	2.8	0	6	-11	96.4%	3.6%
47	C4	Gibraltar	46.5	40	47	1.5	1	7	-14.9	99.6%	< 1%
48	D2	Estonia	48.5	48	51	10.8	6	12	6.7	100%
49	D1	Latvia	48.6	48	51	10.1	6	12	6.8	100%
50	D2	Malta	50	48	51	6.7	6	9	0.9	100%
51	D1	Moldova	50.9	48	52	4.6	3	7	-2.2	97.0%
52	D1	Andorra	52.3	51	54	2.2	1	5	-4.9	3.0%
53	D2	San Marino	52.9	52	53	0.2	0	3	-7.5
54	D1	Liechtenstein	53.8	52	54	2.1	0	6	-6.7