Group D - Match Day 1

Key match when Denmark play France on Saturday.

Group D

						Probabilities
Country	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	2nd	1st	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
France	1	4	1	3	3	24%	69%	93%	60%	37%	19%	8%
Denmark	1	0	0	0	1	45%	25%	70%	40%	22%	10%	4.1%
Tunisia	1	0	0	0	1	18%	4.6%	23%	7%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Australia	1	1	4	-3	0	13%	1.2%	14%	4.3%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%

Conditions for France

France - Denmark
Home	Draw	Away
100%	95.2%	83%	Aus - Tun
100%	99.4%	88%	95.7%	Home
100%	92%	88%	94%	Draw
100%	92%	74%	89%	Away

Conditions for Denmark

France - Denmark
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
44%	48%	53%	57%	68%	90%	92%	95%	95%	Aus - Tun
60%	62%	63%	65%	66%	85%	86%	89%	88%	72%	Home
59%	59%	66%	70%	81%	95%	98.7%	99%	99.8%	80%	Draw
21%	30%	38%	45%	64%	94%	97%	99.6%	99.9%	65%	-1
12%	19%	28%	37%	60%	91%	95%	99%	99.9%	59%	-2
5%	11%	18%	27%	58%	88%	91%	97%	99%	54%	-3
3%	6%	9%	17%	55%	88%	88%	92%	98%	50%	-4

Conditions for Tunisia

France - Denmark
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	Away
37%	34%	30%	26%	20%	18%	Aus - Tun
2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	3%	+4
4%	2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	3.1%	+3
6%	5%	3%	1.4%	1.3%	9%	4.4%	+2
10%	8%	6%	4.4%	3.0%	11%	7%	+1
22%	23%	21%	17%	13%	12%	15%	Draw
79%	70%	62%	55%	44%	30%	46%	-1
88%	81%	72%	63%	47%	32%	51%	-2
95%	89%	82%	73%	50%	36%	57%	-3
97%	94%	91%	83%	54%	37%	62%	-4

Conditions for Australia

France - Denmark
Home	Draw	Away
17%	17%	8%	Aus - Tun
33%	33%	17%	27%	Home
15%	14%	3.4%	11%	Draw
< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	Away

 

Most important matches (affecting final winners)

Argentina vs Mexico	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Argentina	19%	12%	< 1%

mutual information: 35.8 mBit

Brazil vs Serbia	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Brazil	27%	24%	18%
Serbia	< 1%	1.3%	2.0%

mutual information: 5.1 mBit

France vs Denmark	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Denmark	2.8%	3.7%	6%
France	9%	9%	7%

mutual information: 4.6 mBit

Germany vs Japan	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Germany	3.9%	2.8%	1.3%

mutual information: 3.6 mBit

Belgium vs Canada	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Belgium	8%	6%	3.7%

mutual information: 2.8 mBit

Last 16		Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Netherlands (71%) Ecuador (27%)
		Netherlands (53%) Ecuador (14%) United States (9%)
United States (29%) Wales (28%) Iran (24%) England (18%)
				Netherlands (30%) Argentina (25%) Denmark (13%) France (8%)
Argentina (47%) Saudi Arabia (25%) Mexico (14%)
		Argentina (36%) Denmark (24%) France (14%) Saudi Arabia (6%)
Denmark (45%) France (24%) Tunisia (18%)
						Brazil (28%) Argentina (15%) Netherlands (14%) Spain (10%)
Spain (54%) Germany (32%)
		Spain (36%) Germany (18%) Croatia (15%) Belgium (15%)
Croatia (36%) Belgium (27%) Canada (19%) Morocco (18%)
				Brazil (40%) Spain (17%) Germany (7%) Belgium (7%)
Brazil (72%) Switzerland (16%)
		Brazil (56%) Uruguay (13%) Portugal (12%)
Uruguay (39%) Portugal (31%) South Korea (25%)
								Brazil (25%) Argentina (16%) Netherlands (10%) France (8%)
England (73%) United States (12%)
		England (41%) Ecuador (25%) Netherlands (16%)
Ecuador (56%) Netherlands (24%) Senegal (12%)
				France (29%) England (18%) Argentina (13%) Denmark (9%)
France (69%) Denmark (25%)
		France (46%) Argentina (17%) Denmark (16%)
Saudi Arabia (29%) Argentina (24%) Mexico (23%) Poland (23%)
						France (15%) Belgium (11%) Portugal (9%) Argentina (9%) Brazil (8%)
Belgium (55%) Croatia (29%) Canada (9%)
		Belgium (34%) Germany (19%) Spain (17%) Croatia (14%)
Germany (37%) Spain (29%) Japan (20%)
				Belgium (19%) Portugal (16%) Brazil (11%) Spain (10%) Germany (9%)
Portugal (53%) Uruguay (35%)
		Portugal (30%) Switzerland (19%) Uruguay (17%) Brazil (15%)
Switzerland (40%) Serbia (34%) Brazil (21%)