Group F - Match Day 1

Argentina-Mexico; Spain-Germany; Canada-Croatia; and France-Denmark. Some big games in round 2.

 Group F

						Probabilities
Country	Pld	GF	GA	GD	Pts	2nd	1st	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
Belgium	1	1	0	1	3	20%	71%	91%	58%	31%	18%	8%
Morocco	1	0	0	0	1	22%	7%	29%	8%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%
Croatia	1	0	0	0	1	39%	19%	57%	26%	10%	4.3%	1.6%
Canada	1	0	1	-1	0	19%	3.2%	22%	6%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%

Conditions for Belgium

Canada - Croatia
Home	Draw	Away
92%	92%	91%	Bel - Mor
100%	100%	100%	100%	Home
84%	81%	86%	85%	Draw
67%	71%	56%	62%	-1
58%	64%	50%	55%	-2
58%	63%	49%	54%	-3
57%	65%	47%	53%	-4

Conditions for Morocco

Canada - Croatia
Home	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
36%	38%	26%	22%	19%	18%	Bel - Mor
26%	26%	4%	1%	< 1%	< 1%	13%	+4
28%	26%	7%	3%	1%	< 1%	14%	+3
30%	26%	11%	6%	3%	1%	17%	+2
32%	30%	16%	11%	6%	2%	20%	+1
36%	51%	34%	33%	33%	34%	38%	Draw
65%	61%	84%	78%	75%	75%	72%	0-1
66%	66%	85%	78%	74%	76%	74%	1-2
68%	75%	86%	78%	76%	78%	77%	2-3
75%	85%	95%	90%	84%	82%	86%	-2
80%	89%	99%	97%	91%	88%	91%	-3
80%	95%	99%	99%	97%	-	93%	-4

Conditions for Croatia

Canada - Croatia
+4	+3	+2	+1	Draw	-1	-2	-3	-4
3%	6%	8%	14%	33%	83%	87%	90%	91%	Bel - Mor
4%	8%	9%	13%	35%	96%	99%	99.6%	99.9%	64%	+4
3%	4%	8%	12%	35%	93%	97%	99%	99.7%	63%	+3
< 1%	2%	5%	11%	35%	89%	94%	97%	99%	61%	+2
< 1%	< 1%	3%	8%	35%	84%	89%	94%	98%	58%	+1
4%	11%	12%	21%	30%	78%	82%	82%	82%	55%	Draw
9%	14%	17%	23%	28%	60%	66%	68%	70%	46%	-1
9%	11%	13%	20%	27%	55%	60%	66%	68%	43%	-2
-	12%	9%	16%	26%	52%	52%	61%	63%	39%	-3
-	-	10%	18%	25%	55%	54%	56%	-	39%	-4

Conditions for Canada

Canada - Croatia
Home	Draw	Away
60%	37%	< 1%	Bel - Mor
62%	38%	< 1%	22%	Home
63%	37%	< 1%	23%	Draw
48%	31%	< 1%	18%	Away

 

 Most important matches (affecting final winners)

Argentina vs Mexico	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Argentina	18%	12%	< 1%

mutual information: 35.3 mBit

Spain vs Germany	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Germany	< 1%	1.0%	3.1%
Spain	10%	10%	8%

mutual information: 7 mBit

Canada vs Croatia	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Croatia	< 1%	< 1%	2.4%

mutual information: 5.8 mBit

Brazil vs Serbia	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Brazil	26%	24%	18%
Serbia	< 1%	1.3%	2.0%
Spain	9%	9%	11%

mutual information: 4.9 mBit

France vs Denmark	Home Win	Draw	Away Win
Denmark	2.8%	3.7%	6%
France	9%	9%	7%

mutual information: 4.7 mBit

Last 16		Quarter-finals		Semi-finals		Final		Champions
Netherlands (71%) Ecuador (27%)
		Netherlands (53%) Ecuador (14%) United States (9%)
United States (29%) Wales (28%) Iran (24%) England (18%)
				Netherlands (30%) Argentina (26%) Denmark (13%) France (8%)
Argentina (47%) Saudi Arabia (25%) Mexico (14%)
		Argentina (36%) Denmark (24%) France (14%) Saudi Arabia (6%)
Denmark (45%) France (24%) Tunisia (18%)
						Brazil (27%) Argentina (15%) Netherlands (14%) Spain (14%)
Spain (79%) Japan (18%)
		Spain (54%) Croatia (16%) Belgium (11%)
Croatia (39%) Morocco (22%) Belgium (20%) Canada (19%)
				Brazil (40%) Spain (26%) Portugal (7%) Uruguay (6%)
Brazil (72%) Switzerland (16%)
		Brazil (56%) Uruguay (13%) Portugal (12%)
Uruguay (39%) Portugal (31%) South Korea (25%)
								Brazil (25%) Argentina (15%) Netherlands (10%) Spain (9%)
England (73%) United States (12%)
		England (41%) Ecuador (25%) Netherlands (16%)
Ecuador (56%) Netherlands (24%) Senegal (12%)
				France (29%) England (18%) Argentina (13%) Denmark (9%)
France (69%) Denmark (25%)
		France (47%) Argentina (17%) Denmark (16%)
Saudi Arabia (29%) Argentina (24%) Mexico (23%) Poland (23%)
						France (15%) Belgium (15%) Portugal (9%) Argentina (9%) Brazil (8%)
Belgium (71%) Croatia (19%)
		Belgium (48%) Japan (15%) Germany (13%)
Japan (50%) Germany (28%) Spain (14%)
				Belgium (27%) Portugal (16%) Brazil (11%) Switzerland (9%)
Portugal (53%) Uruguay (35%)
		Portugal (30%) Switzerland (19%) Uruguay (17%) Brazil (15%)
Switzerland (40%) Serbia (34%) Brazil (20%)