Euro: Crucial match for Slovakia and Iceland

Groups A, E, F, G, and J are playing tonight.

In Group J, third-ranked Slovakia and fourth-ranked Iceland are playing
on who will be the main challenger against Bosnia and Herzegovina for
the runner-up spot.

In Group G, Montenegro host Hungary in a must win if they want to
challenger Hungary on the second spot. Montenegro have 26% if they win
and less than 8% otherwise.

In Group A, Norway play Scotland where the winner has a clear
advanatge on the runner-up spot behind favourite Norway.

Group J

Iceland vs Slovakia (12.3%)	Home Win (47%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (29%)
Slovakia	20%	33%	54%
Iceland	31%	14%	6%

Group G

Montenegro vs Hungary (10.7%)	Home Win (20%)	Draw (21%)	Away Win (58%)
Montenegro	26%	8%	2.0%
Hungary	86%	95.3%	99.1%

Group A

Norway vs Scotland (7.3%)	Home Win (48%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (29%)
Scotland	73%	85%	94%
Norway	55%	38%	31%

Group A

	Probabilities			Point					GD
Country	At least Playoff	At least Second	Group Winner	Min	25%	Average	75%	Max	Average
Spain	100%	96.3%	75%	5	16	18	19	21	14.9
Scotland	100%	70%	20%	6	13	14.9	17	24	5.7
Norway	86%	24%	3.4%	1	9	11.4	13	19	0.8
Georgia	100%	10%	1.5%	1	7	9.4	11	22	-2.5
Cyprus	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	0	1	2.6	4	16	-18.9

Group E

	Probabilities			Point					GD
Country	At least Playoff	At least Second	Group Winner	Min	25%	Average	75%	Max	Average
Czechia	99.97%	92%	50%	5	16	17.3	19	22	13
Poland	>99.99%	94%	47%	4	16	17.4	19	21	10.3
Albania	95%	13%	2.7%	0	9	11	13	21	1.1
Faroe Islands	1.2%	1.2%	< 1%	3	6	7.3	9	22	-10.7
Moldova	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1	2	3.6	5	16	-13.7

Group F

	Probabilities			Point					GD
Country	At least Playoff	At least Second	Group Winner	Min	25%	Average	75%	Max	Average
Belgium	100%	99.4%	93%	7	19	21.1	22	24	20.6
Austria	99.95%	57%	5%	6	12	14	16	24	3.2
Sweden	43%	43%	1.5%	3	11	12.9	15	21	4.5
Estonia	95.3%	< 1%	< 1%	0	3	5.1	7	19	-11.1
Azerbaijan	15%	< 1%	< 1%	0	3	4.2	6	18	-17.2

Group G

	Probabilities			Point					GD
Country	At least Playoff	At least Second	Group Winner	Min	25%	Average	75%	Max	Average
Serbia	100%	98.5%	65%	7	18	19.4	21	24	13.5
Hungary	>99.99%	92%	34%	3	15	17.4	19	24	12.2
Montenegro	8%	8%	< 1%	3	9	10.9	13	21	-2.4
Bulgaria	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	0	5	6.8	9	18	-7.1
Lithuania	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	0	1	3	4	18	-16.3

Group J

	Probabilities			Point					GD
Country	At least Playoff	At least Second	Group Winner	Min	25%	Average	75%	Max	Average
Portugal	>99.99%	99.75%	97.8%	13	25	26.8	28	30	30.9
Bosnia and Herzegovina	100%	43%	1.1%	4	14	16.3	18	27	5.8
Slovakia	33%	33%	< 1%	4	14	15.5	17	28	3.4
Iceland	24%	19%	< 1%	3	12	14.2	16	27	4.2
Luxembourg	64%	5%	< 1%	1	9	11.2	13	25	-8
Liechtenstein	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	0	0	1.4	3	14	-36.2