PL: Everton hottest team in the league

 

Hot Teams
Everton: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 4.6 more than expected
Man United: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 3.8 more than expected
Chelsea: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 2.3 more than expected
Brentford: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected
Wolves: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 1.5 more than expected

Cold Teams
Burnley: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 5.0 less than expected
Brighton: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 3.4 less than expected
Crystal Palace: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 3.1 less than expected
West Ham: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 3.1 less than expected
Fulham: 4 points in the last 5 matches, 1.7 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
28	Man City	86.7	+61	< 1%	>99.99%	>99.99%	99.95%	99.77%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	99.94%
27	Liverpool	77.2	+41	< 1%	99.68%	99.0%	96.8%	92%	11%	< 1%	2.5%	97.0%
27	Arsenal	74.9	+36	< 1%	99.08%	97.4%	93%	84%	6%	< 1%	6%	92%
26	Tottenham	69.0	+20	< 1%	93%	85%	70%	49%	< 1%	3.8%	24%	67%
25	Aston Villa	66.6	+21	< 1%	87%	76%	57%	35%	< 1%	4.2%	35%	53%
20	Newcastle	65.0	+29	< 1%	83%	69%	48%	27%	< 1%	9%	32%	47%
21	Man United	59.6	+1	< 1%	49%	30%	16%	7%	< 1%	12%	29%	16%
19	Brighton	57.5	+8	< 1%	38%	21%	10%	4.0%	< 1%	11%	23%	16%
16	Brentford	54.0	+5	< 1%	19%	9%	3.8%	1.2%	< 1%	9%	13%	3.3%
17	West Ham	52.5	-2	< 1%	13%	6%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	11%	10%	7%
16	Chelsea	51.6	+4	< 1%	11%	4.8%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	16%	9%	1.5%
15	Crystal Palace	47.9	-10	1.1%	3.5%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.7%	3.1%	< 1%
15	Wolves	47.2	-11	1.4%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.2%	2.2%	< 1%
12	Fulham	44.7	-16	3.8%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	1.8%	< 1%
14	Everton	42.7	-16	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	4.1%	< 1%
13	Forest	41.5	-16	9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%
9	Bournemouth	34.4	-35	45%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
4	Burnley	31.8	-36	63%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
6	Luton	27.8	-38	84%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	Sheffield United	27.6	-45	86%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	One Title	Two titles	Three titles	Four titles	Double	Treble	Quadruple
Man City	92%	49%	10%		33%	10%
Liverpool	71%	25%	3.4%	< 1%	1.0%
Arsenal	22%	1.8%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Tottenham	10%	< 1%			< 1%
Aston Villa	33%	1.2%	< 1%		< 1%
Newcastle	25%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Man United	6%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%	< 1%
Brighton	11%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Brentford	< 1%	< 1%			< 1%
West Ham	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
Chelsea	12%	< 1%	< 1%		< 1%
Crystal Palace	< 1%
Wolves	< 1%
Fulham	7%	< 1%
Everton	11%	< 1%
Forest	1.7%
Bournemouth	< 1%
Burnley	< 1%
Luton	< 1%
Sheffield United	< 1%

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	>99.99%
Fifth team	>99.99%	>99.99%	83%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	67%
League cup winners	100%	66%	57%
Sixth team	98.4%	95.4%	3.3%
Seventh team	87%	66%	3.1%
Eighth team	53%	11%	2.8%

Simulated points for winner: 84 - 91
Simulated points for fourth: 69 - 73
Simulated points for 17th team: 33 - 37