in silico soccer: CL: Last 16 stage probabilities

Champions League last 16 probabilities.

		Chance in Group				Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
G	Man City	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	84%	64%	47%	27%
A	Bayern	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	73%	46%	27%	14%
C	Real Madrid	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	74%	44%	25%	12%
B	Arsenal	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	71%	41%	21%	11%
H	Barcelona	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	63%	30%	13%	6%
D	Inter	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	46%	25%	12%	6%
E	Atletico	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	61%	28%	12%	5%
F	Dortmund	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	62%	27%	11%	4.8%
F	Paris SG	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	38%	17%	7%	3.1%
D	Sociedad	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	54%	19%	6%	2.7%
G	RB Leipzig	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	39%	15%	5%	2.4%
C	Napoli	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	37%	15%	5%	2.4%
B	PSV	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	31%	11%	3.5%	1.5%
H	Porto	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	29%	10%	3.0%	1.4%
E	Lazio	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	24%	7%	1.7%	< 1%
A	FC Kobenhavn	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	14%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%

Milan the strongest team joining EL knockout stage from CL group stafe

		Chance in Group				Stage-by-stage Probabilities
Group	Team	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	Last 24	Last 16	Quarter	Semi	Final	Champ
E	Liverpool	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	84%	66%	51%	30%
H	Leverkusen	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	71%	45%	27%	14%
B	Brighton	< 1%	< 1%	41%	59%	100%	87%	57%	33%	17%	8%
A	West Ham	< 1%	< 1%	26%	73%	99.38%	89%	53%	27%	12%	6%
D	Atalanta	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	60%	28%	12%	6%
	Milan					100%	69%	38%	21%	11%	6%
C	Betis	< 1%	8%	10%	82%	92%	88%	48%	22%	9%	4.1%
G	Roma	< 1%	< 1%	86%	14%	100%	67%	34%	17%	7%	3.4%
	Benfica					100%	61%	29%	14%	6%	2.8%
F	Villarreal	< 1%	< 1%	54%	46%	100%	75%	36%	15%	6%	2.6%
	Lens					100%	57%	25%	12%	5%	2.4%
B	Marseille	< 1%	< 1%	59%	41%	100%	73%	33%	14%	5%	2.4%
A	Freiburg	< 1%	7%	65%	27%	93%	62%	29%	12%	4.8%	2.2%
D	Sporting	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	100%	57%	25%	11%	4.8%	2.2%
	Feyenoord					100%	57%	25%	11%	4.6%	2.1%
F	Rennes	< 1%	< 1%	46%	54%	100%	77%	34%	13%	4.6%	2.0%
G	Slavia Praha	< 1%	< 1%	14%	86%	100%	93%	40%	14%	4.3%	1.9%
	Galatasaray					100%	47%	16%	6%	1.8%	< 1%
	Braga					100%	46%	15%	4.8%	1.4%	< 1%
	Young Boys					100%	38%	10%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
	Shakhtar					100%	37%	9%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Rangers	< 1%	41%	43%	16%	59%	31%	9%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
E	Toulouse	< 1%	6%	94%	< 1%	94%	33%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
C	Sparta Praha	12%	40%	47%	2.1%	49%	21%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Karabakh Agdam	< 1%	4.3%	95.7%	< 1%	95.7%	29%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
E	St Gillis	33%	62%	6%	< 1%	6%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
A	Olympiakos	7%	85%	8%	< 1%	8%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
H	Molde	< 1%	95.7%	4.3%	< 1%	4.3%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

England's chances for that extra CL spot decreases substantially after the exit of Man United and Newcastle.

Which country get extra CL spots

in silico soccer