PL: tight title race

Extremely tight in title race. On average both Liverpool and Man City finish on 84.8 points, with Arsenal lagging 1.4 points behind. Every match is important now and as you can see in the tables below every upcoming match has a >20% swing, that is, the difference between a a win and a loss affects the chances with more than 20%.

Hot Teams
Bournemouth: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 more than expected
Arsenal: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 more than expected
Liverpool: 13 points in the last 5 matches, 2.8 more than expected
Chelsea: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 2.1 more than expected
Tottenham: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 1.9 more than expected

Cold Teams
Brentford: 3 points in the last 5 matches, 3.2 less than expected
Everton: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 less than expected
Sheffield United: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 2.1 less than expected
Luton: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 1.9 less than expected
Brighton: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 1.9 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
67	Liverpool	84.8	+49	< 1%	100%	100%	>99.99%	99.99%	38%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
67	Man City	84.8	+50	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	>99.99%	37%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
68	Arsenal	83.4	+55	< 1%	100%	100%	>99.99%	99.97%	26%	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
59	Aston Villa	69.7	+19	< 1%	99.98%	99.76%	95.3%	54%	< 1%	< 1%	12%	88%
57	Tottenham	68.9	+19	< 1%	99.95%	99.44%	93%	44%	< 1%	< 1%	16%	84%
48	Man United	61.9	+3	< 1%	88%	71%	11%	1.9%	< 1%	9%	76%	9%
44	Newcastle	56.2	+14	< 1%	44%	14%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	25%	34%	< 1%
40	Chelsea	54.6	+3	< 1%	26%	8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	17%	30%	< 1%
45	West Ham	54.2	-6	< 1%	16%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	16%	11%	5%
43	Brighton	53.5	+4	< 1%	17%	4.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	16%	12%	< 1%
42	Wolves	52.6	-5	< 1%	8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	11%	6%	< 1%
41	Bournemouth	49.8	-13	< 1%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.4%	1.5%	< 1%
39	Fulham	47.8	-4	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%
30	Crystal Palace	38.3	-21	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	Brentford	37.6	-13	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	Everton	37.1	-11	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	Forest	32.2	-18	24%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Luton	28.8	-27	78%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19	Burnley	26.2	-38	93%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
15	Sheffield United	22.5	-59	98.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	One Title	Two titles	Three titles	Four titles	Double	Treble	Quadruple
Liverpool	100%	60%	14%
Man City	86%	41%	7%		25%	7%
Arsenal	35%	3.2%
Aston Villa	32%	< 1%
Tottenham	< 1%
Man United	19%
Chelsea	11%
West Ham	5%

Important matches for title race
Man United vs Liverpool (6.4%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Liverpool	24%	33%	50%
Man City	44%	39%	29%
Arsenal	31%	28%	20%
Brighton vs Arsenal (5.3%)	Home Win (29%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (47%)
Arsenal	14%	20%	36%
Man City	43%	40%	31%
Liverpool	43%	40%	33%
Crystal Palace vs Man City (5.2%)	Home Win (16%)	Draw (19%)	Away Win (65%)
Man City	19%	26%	44%
Liverpool	48%	44%	34%
Arsenal	34%	30%	23%
Liverpool vs Sheffield United (2.3%)	Home Win (85%)	Draw (10%)	Away Win (5%)
Liverpool	40%	24%	18%
Man City	35%	44%	48%
Arsenal	25%	32%	34%

	Liverpool			Man City			Arsenal
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
92	3.0%	2.3%	99.3%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	99%
91	6%	2.7%	97%	4.2%	4.2%	95%	< 1%	< 1%	-
90	9%	3.4%	92%	4.2%	< 1%	-	3.8%	2.9%	90%
89	17%	8%	84%	13%	9%	82%	7%	3.4%	86%
88	24%	7%	73%	21%	8%	72%	11%	3.9%	71%
87	33%	9%	60%	30%	8%	58%	20%	9%	59%
86	44%	11%	45%	44%	15%	45%	28%	8%	46%
85	54%	10%	31%	55%	11%	32%	38%	10%	30%
84	64%	10%	20%	66%	11%	21%	50%	12%	20%
83	74%	10%	11%	77%	11%	12%	60%	10%	12%
82	82%	7%	6%	84%	7%	7%	71%	10%	6%
81	88%	6%	2.6%	90%	6%	3.1%	80%	9%	2.8%
80	92%	4.6%	1.1%	94%	4.2%	1.3%	86%	6%	1.2%
79	95.5%	3.0%	< 1%	96.7%	2.5%	< 1%	91%	5%	< 1%
78	97.5%	2.0%	< 1%	98.3%	1.6%	< 1%	95.1%	3.7%	< 1%
77	98.7%	1.2%	< 1%	99.20%	< 1%	< 1%	97.2%	2.2%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for CL race
Chelsea vs Man United (2.7%)	Home Win (46%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (30%)
Man United	5.0%	8%	16%
Tottenham	86%	84%	80%
Aston Villa	89%	88%	85%
Man United vs Liverpool (2.5%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Man United	15%	7%	4.9%
Tottenham	80%	84%	86%
Aston Villa	85%	89%	89%
Tottenham vs Forest (2.4%)	Home Win (69%)	Draw (18%)	Away Win (14%)
Tottenham	87%	78%	73%
Man United	7%	11%	14%
Aston Villa	86%	90%	92%
Newcastle	< 1%	1.1%	1.5%

	Aston Villa			Tottenham			Man United			West Ham
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
77	2.3%	1.4%	99.8%	1.3%	< 1%	99.8%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
76	3.6%	1.3%	99.5%	3.2%	2.0%	99.6%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
75	8%	4.7%	99.1%	6%	2.5%	99.1%	< 1%	< 1%	97%	< 1%	< 1%	-
74	14%	5%	98.6%	9%	3.4%	98.2%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
73	20%	6%	97.4%	16%	7%	97.1%	< 1%	< 1%	90%	< 1%	< 1%	-
72	31%	11%	96.1%	23%	7%	95.7%	< 1%	< 1%	85%	< 1%	< 1%	-
71	41%	10%	94%	32%	9%	93%	1.0%	< 1%	79%	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	52%	11%	92%	44%	12%	91%	2.5%	1.5%	69%	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	65%	13%	89%	54%	10%	88%	4.3%	1.8%	56%	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	74%	10%	86%	65%	11%	85%	7%	2.9%	44%	< 1%	< 1%	-
67	83%	8%	82%	76%	11%	81%	12%	5.0%	31%	< 1%	< 1%	-
66	90%	7%	76%	83%	8%	75%	18%	5%	21%	< 1%	< 1%	25%
65	94%	4.2%	69%	90%	6%	68%	25%	7%	13%	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	97.0%	2.8%	61%	94%	4.7%	60%	34%	9%	7%	< 1%	< 1%	9%
63	98.8%	1.8%	49%	96.9%	2.6%	49%	44%	9%	3.1%	< 1%	< 1%	8%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Fulham vs Newcastle (4.7%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (32%)
Newcastle	25%	32%	48%
Chelsea	33%	31%	27%
Brighton	14%	13%	10%
Wolves vs West Ham (4.4%)	Home Win (44%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (32%)
Wolves	10%	3.6%	1.5%
West Ham	10%	14%	25%
Chelsea vs Man United (4.2%)	Home Win (46%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (30%)
Chelsea	38%	26%	21%
Man United	79%	86%	93%
Brighton vs Arsenal (2.5%)	Home Win (29%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (47%)
Brighton	21%	11%	8%
Sheffield United vs Chelsea (2.1%)	Home Win (27%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (50%)
Chelsea	22%	26%	37%
Newcastle	37%	36%	32%

	Man United			Newcastle			Chelsea			West Ham			Brighton			Wolves			Bournemouth
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
71	1.0%	< 1%	99.7%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
70	2.5%	1.5%	99.4%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
69	4.3%	1.8%	99.2%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
68	7%	2.9%	98.9%	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
67	12%	5.0%	98.5%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
66	18%	5%	98.2%	< 1%	< 1%	96%	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
65	25%	7%	97.8%	1.2%	< 1%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	96%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	93%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	34%	9%	97.1%	2.0%	< 1%	92%	1.3%	< 1%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	90%	< 1%	< 1%	91%	< 1%	< 1%	87%	< 1%	< 1%	-
63	44%	9%	96.2%	4.6%	2.6%	89%	2.4%	1.1%	92%	< 1%	< 1%	83%	< 1%	< 1%	89%	< 1%	< 1%	82%	< 1%	< 1%	86%
62	54%	10%	95%	8%	3.0%	85%	4.6%	2.2%	88%	1.1%	< 1%	79%	1.6%	1.0%	84%	< 1%	< 1%	80%	< 1%	< 1%	78%
61	64%	10%	92%	12%	4.3%	80%	7%	2.7%	83%	3.1%	2.0%	72%	2.9%	1.3%	78%	1.1%	< 1%	69%	< 1%	< 1%	74%
60	73%	9%	86%	19%	7%	73%	11%	4.1%	75%	6%	2.7%	61%	5%	2.1%	70%	2.3%	1.3%	59%	< 1%	< 1%	63%
59	81%	8%	78%	27%	7%	65%	17%	6%	66%	9%	3.3%	51%	9%	4.1%	57%	3.8%	1.5%	47%	< 1%	< 1%	50%
58	88%	7%	66%	36%	9%	54%	24%	7%	54%	17%	8%	37%	14%	4.6%	44%	8%	4.2%	33%	1.5%	< 1%	37%
57	92%	4.5%	52%	47%	11%	39%	32%	8%	39%	24%	8%	25%	20%	6%	29%	13%	4.9%	19%	3.3%	1.8%	20%
56	95.6%	3.3%	38%	57%	10%	25%	42%	9%	27%	34%	9%	16%	29%	9%	16%	19%	6%	10%	6%	2.3%	9%
55	97.7%	2.1%	27%	68%	10%	14%	51%	9%	19%	47%	13%	9%	38%	9%	7%	30%	10%	4.0%	9%	3.4%	4%
54	98.9%	1.1%	21%	77%	10%	6%	61%	10%	14%	58%	11%	6%	49%	10%	2.5%	39%	10%	1.2%	15%	6%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for Europe race (ECL, EL or CL)
Wolves vs West Ham (10%)	Home Win (44%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (32%)
West Ham	21%	31%	49%
Wolves	27%	12%	6%
Fulham vs Newcastle (5.8%)	Home Win (43%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (32%)
Newcastle	49%	59%	75%
Fulham	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%
Chelsea vs Man United (4.9%)	Home Win (46%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (30%)
Chelsea	58%	43%	36%
Man United	91%	95%	98.3%
Brighton vs Arsenal (4.2%)	Home Win (29%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (47%)
Brighton	43%	27%	20%
Newcastle	56%	60%	62%
Sheffield United vs Chelsea (3.3%)	Home Win (27%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (50%)
Chelsea	36%	42%	57%
Newcastle	63%	61%	58%
Wolves	19%	18%	15%
West Ham	35%	33%	30%

	Man United			Newcastle			Chelsea			West Ham			Brighton			Wolves			Bournemouth			Fulham
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
65	25%	7%	99.98%	1.2%	< 1%	99.8%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
64	34%	9%	99.95%	2.0%	< 1%	99.8%	1.3%	< 1%	99.9%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-
63	44%	9%	99.8%	4.6%	2.6%	99.4%	2.4%	1.1%	99.6%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	-
62	54%	10%	99.7%	8%	3.0%	98.8%	4.6%	2.2%	99.3%	1.1%	< 1%	97%	1.6%	1.0%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	97%	< 1%	< 1%	98%	< 1%	< 1%	-
61	64%	10%	99.2%	12%	4.3%	98.0%	7%	2.7%	98.7%	3.1%	2.0%	96%	2.9%	1.3%	97%	1.1%	< 1%	95%	< 1%	< 1%	97%	< 1%	< 1%	-
60	73%	9%	98.2%	19%	7%	96.5%	11%	4.1%	96.7%	6%	2.7%	92%	5%	2.1%	95%	2.3%	1.3%	91%	< 1%	< 1%	92%	< 1%	< 1%	94%
59	81%	8%	95.8%	27%	7%	94%	17%	6%	93%	9%	3.3%	87%	9%	4.1%	90%	3.8%	1.5%	85%	< 1%	< 1%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	-
58	88%	7%	91%	36%	9%	89%	24%	7%	88%	17%	8%	77%	14%	4.6%	83%	8%	4.2%	74%	1.5%	< 1%	76%	< 1%	< 1%	80%
57	92%	4.5%	82%	47%	11%	80%	32%	8%	78%	24%	8%	63%	20%	6%	70%	13%	4.9%	59%	3.3%	1.8%	59%	< 1%	< 1%	65%
56	95.6%	3.3%	67%	57%	10%	68%	42%	9%	63%	34%	9%	48%	29%	9%	53%	19%	6%	42%	6%	2.3%	40%	1.0%	< 1%	49%
55	97.7%	2.1%	49%	68%	10%	51%	51%	9%	47%	47%	13%	30%	38%	9%	36%	30%	10%	25%	9%	3.4%	23%	2.7%	1.7%	30%
54	98.9%	1.1%	34%	77%	10%	31%	61%	10%	31%	58%	11%	17%	49%	10%	19%	39%	10%	12%	15%	6%	9%	4.9%	2.2%	13%
53	99.51%	< 1%	24%	84%	7%	16%	70%	9%	20%	69%	11%	10%	60%	11%	8%	50%	11%	4.5%	22%	7%	3.1%	8%	3.0%	5%
52	99.82%	< 1%	22%	90%	6%	6%	78%	8%	14%	80%	11%	6%	69%	10%	2.7%	63%	13%	1.2%	30%	9%	< 1%	14%	6%	1.3%
51	99.93%	< 1%	21%	94%	4.3%	1.6%	85%	7%	12%	87%	7%	5%	78%	9%	< 1%	73%	10%	< 1%	42%	11%	< 1%	21%	7%	< 1%
50	99.98%	< 1%	19%	97.0%	2.5%	< 1%	90%	5%	12%	93%	5%	5%	86%	8%	< 1%	81%	9%	< 1%	52%	10%	< 1%	30%	8%	< 1%
49	>99.99%	< 1%	17%	98.6%	1.6%	< 1%	94%	3.8%	11%	96.8%	4.0%	5%	91%	5%	< 1%	89%	8%	< 1%	63%	11%	< 1%	42%	12%	< 1%

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

Important matches for avoiding relegation
Luton vs Bournemouth (6.7%)	Home Win (38%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (38%)
Luton	34%	18%	12%
Forest	69%	79%	82%
Everton	95.6%	97.5%	98.1%
Everton vs Burnley (4%)	Home Win (58%)	Draw (21%)	Away Win (21%)
Burnley	3.6%	6%	16%
Everton	98.9%	96.3%	92%
Tottenham vs Forest (3.4%)	Home Win (69%)	Draw (18%)	Away Win (14%)
Forest	72%	80%	91%
Luton	24%	19%	13%
Burnley	8%	6%	3.3%

	Sheffield United			Burnley			Luton			Forest			Everton			Brentford
points	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance	Q	Probability	Chance
40	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	100%	1.7%	< 1%	100%	24%	7%	100%	28%	8%	100%
39	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	100%	2.9%	1.2%	100%	35%	11%	100%	38%	10%	100%
38	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	99.8%	6%	3.2%	>99.99%	45%	10%	100%	51%	13%	100%
37	< 1%	< 1%	-	< 1%	< 1%	99%	1.0%	< 1%	99%	10%	3.9%	99.9%	56%	11%	>99.99%	61%	11%	>99.99%
36	< 1%	< 1%	99%	< 1%	< 1%	98%	1.7%	< 1%	98%	15%	5%	99.8%	68%	12%	99.96%	72%	10%	99.94%
35	< 1%	< 1%	94%	< 1%	< 1%	93%	4.2%	2.5%	92%	25%	9%	99.3%	77%	9%	99.7%	82%	10%	99.6%
34	< 1%	< 1%	88%	1.6%	< 1%	83%	8%	3.3%	83%	34%	9%	97.5%	85%	8%	98.7%	89%	7%	98.6%
33	< 1%	< 1%	72%	2.7%	1.1%	69%	12%	4.1%	69%	44%	11%	94%	91%	6%	95.2%	93%	4.9%	95.9%
32	< 1%	< 1%	50%	6%	3.1%	48%	20%	9%	52%	58%	14%	87%	95%	3.8%	89%	97.1%	3.6%	89%
31	1.4%	< 1%	32%	10%	3.9%	30%	29%	9%	35%	69%	11%	75%	97.4%	2.5%	75%	98.7%	1.6%	76%
30	2.5%	1.1%	17%	15%	5%	17%	39%	10%	21%	79%	10%	62%	98.9%	1.6%	54%	99.50%	< 1%	60%
29	4.3%	1.8%	6%	24%	9%	7%	54%	14%	11%	88%	10%	46%	99.56%	< 1%	36%	99.91%	< 1%	39%
28	8%	3.4%	2.3%	34%	9%	2.5%	65%	12%	4.7%	94%	6%	28%	99.85%	< 1%	16%	100%	< 1%	17%
27	12%	4.3%	< 1%	44%	10%	< 1%	75%	10%	1.6%	96.9%	3.3%	17%	99.98%	< 1%	7%	100%	< 1%	-

Q: Probability team finish with X points (or more)
Probability: Probability team finish with X points
Chance: Probability team is succesful, if they finish with X points

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	100%
Fifth team	100%	100%	82%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	70%
League cup winners	100%	100%	>99.99%
Sixth team	100%	96.7%	< 1%
Seventh team	97.7%	73%	< 1%
Eighth team	75%	5%	< 1%

Simulated points for winner: 86 - 89
Simulated points for fourth: 69 - 73
Simulated points for 17th team: 31 - 34

Coming Matches

Home		Draw		Away
Liverpool	85%	10%	5%	Sheffield United
Chelsea	46%	24%	30%	Man United
Crystal Palace	16%	19%	65%	Man City
Aston Villa	62%	20%	18%	Brentford
Everton	58%	21%	21%	Burnley
Luton	38%	24%	38%	Bournemouth
Wolves	44%	24%	32%	West Ham
Fulham	43%	24%	32%	Newcastle
Brighton	29%	24%	47%	Arsenal
Man United	32%	24%	44%	Liverpool
Sheffield United	27%	23%	50%	Chelsea
Tottenham	69%	18%	14%	Forest

Most likely combo of teams in CL

67%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham
10%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City
8%	Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham
4.9%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Man United
4.4%	Arsenal, Aston Villa, Liverpool, Man City, Tottenham, West Ham
3.2%	Arsenal, Liverpool, Man City, Man United, Tottenham

Most likely combo of teams being relegated

71%	Burnley, Luton, Sheffield United
17%	Burnley, Forest, Sheffield United
6%	Forest, Luton, Sheffield United
2.2%	Burnley, Everton, Sheffield United
1.5%	Brentford, Burnley, Sheffield United