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Four teams in each group and two teams advance to the quarterfinals. A tight race behind Argentina in Group A. Group B is the most open group with Ecuador, Mexico, Venezuela, and Jamaica. In Group C we have Uruguay and USA epected to advance , and in Group D we expect Brazil and Colombia to advance to the knock-out stage.
| Team | Quarterfinals | Semifinals | Final | Champion |
| Argentina | 96.0% | 79% | 66% | 45% |
| Brazil | 87% | 57% | 32% | 16% |
| Colombia | 85% | 53% | 28% | 14% |
| Uruguay | 87% | 45% | 24% | 11% |
| Ecuador | 73% | 35% | 13% | 4.8% |
| United States | 71% | 29% | 11% | 4.0% |
| Mexico | 57% | 21% | 6% | 1.7% |
| Venezuela | 45% | 14% | 3.9% | < 1% |
| Peru | 38% | 16% | 3.5% | < 1% |
| Chile | 34% | 14% | 2.9% | < 1% |
| Canada | 33% | 14% | 2.8% | < 1% |
| Panama | 29% | 7% | 1.7% | < 1% |
| Paraguay | 18% | 5% | 1.1% | < 1% |
| Jamaica | 24% | 5% | 1.1% | < 1% |
| Costa Rica | 10% | 2.3% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Bolivia | 13% | 2.0% | < 1% | < 1% |
| Group A | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Argentina | 0 | 0 | 0 | < 1% | 3.1% | 13% | 83% | 96.0% |
| Chile | 0 | 0 | 0 | 34% | 32% | 28% | 5% | 34% |
| Canada | 0 | 0 | 0 | 35% | 32% | 28% | 5% | 33% |
| Peru | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 32% | 31% | 6% | 38% |
Argentina
| Argentina - Canada | |||||
| Home | Draw | Away | |||
| 98.6% | 91% | 76% | Per - Chi | ||
| 98.7% | 91% | 73% | 95.9% | Home | |
| 98.4% | 92% | 79% | 96.2% | Draw | |
| 98.6% | 91% | 76% | 96.1% | Away | |
Chile
| Peru - Chile | ||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | |||
| 4% | 4% | 6% | 9% | 33% | 60% | 64% | 68% | Arg - Can | ||
| 4% | 4% | 6% | 10% | 34% | 62% | 67% | 72% | 35% | Home | |
| 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 33% | 58% | 58% | 55% | 31% | Draw | |
| 5% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 24% | 44% | 44% | 52% | 25% | Away | |
Canada
| Argentina - Canada | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 28% | 42% | 70% | 74% | 76% | 75% | Per - Chi | ||
| 27% | 42% | 70% | 75% | 80% | - | 32% | Home | |
| 31% | 38% | 69% | 72% | 72% | - | 35% | Draw | |
| 28% | 44% | 70% | 76% | 76% | - | 33% | Away | |
Peru
| Peru - Chile | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 72% | 70% | 67% | 62% | 36% | 10% | 7% | 5% | 4% | Arg - Can | ||
| 75% | 73% | 70% | 64% | 36% | 11% | 7% | 4% | 4% | 39% | Home | |
| 63% | 61% | 59% | 60% | 37% | 7% | 7% | 8% | 7% | 36% | Draw | |
| 54% | 54% | 49% | 47% | 27% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 5% | 29% | Away | |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
2.16; Argentina have 46% if they draw (or win) against Canada; otherwise 35%
2.12; Peru have 1.1% if they draw (or win) against Chile; otherwise 0.22%
2.08; Peru have 1.4% if they win against Chile; otherwise 0.41%
2.03; Chile have 0.94% if they draw (or win) against Peru; otherwise 0.16%
1.73; Argentina have 46% if they win against Canada; otherwise 40%
1.47; Chile have 1.1% if they win against Peru; otherwise 0.36%
| Group B | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Ecuador | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9% | 17% | 28% | 45% | 73% |
| Venezuela | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25% | 30% | 26% | 19% | 45% |
| Mexico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18% | 25% | 30% | 27% | 57% |
| Jamaica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 48% | 28% | 16% | 9% | 24% |
Ecuador
| Ecuador - Venezuela | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 92% | 92% | 91% | 89% | 68% | 44% | 41% | 39% | 36% | Mex - Jam | ||
| 94% | 93% | 92% | 89% | 68% | 42% | 37% | 35% | 31% | 73% | Home | |
| 89% | 90% | 90% | 89% | 69% | 48% | 48% | 46% | 48% | 74% | Draw | |
| 92% | 92% | 90% | 88% | 68% | 46% | 43% | 42% | 37% | 73% | Away | |
Venezuela
| Ecuador - Venezuela | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 24% | 25% | 27% | 29% | 49% | 78% | 81% | 83% | 82% | Mex - Jam | ||
| 20% | 21% | 24% | 27% | 48% | 77% | 81% | 84% | 82% | 44% | Home | |
| 33% | 31% | 32% | 33% | 48% | 79% | 80% | 78% | 78% | 48% | Draw | |
| 26% | 29% | 30% | 33% | 51% | 78% | 80% | 83% | 85% | 47% | Away | |
Mexico
| Mexico - Jamaica | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | 0-3 | -4 | |||
| 76% | 76% | 75% | 72% | 50% | 25% | 21% | 18% | 18% | Ecu - Ven | ||
| 80% | 79% | 77% | 74% | 51% | 24% | 18% | 16% | 16% | 58% | Home | |
| 70% | 74% | 73% | 72% | 54% | 26% | 26% | 23% | 26% | 58% | Draw | |
| 74% | 74% | 73% | 69% | 46% | 24% | 21% | 16% | 14% | 55% | Away | |
Jamaica
| Mexico - Jamaica | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 9% | 28% | 54% | 58% | 62% | 65% | Ecu - Ven | ||
| 9% | 28% | 55% | 61% | 65% | 68% | 24% | Home | |
| 11% | 29% | 55% | 55% | 55% | 58% | 25% | Draw | |
| 10% | 27% | 52% | 56% | 60% | 67% | 24% | Away | |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
2.45; Ecuador have 5.4% if they draw (or win) against Venezuela; otherwise 2.7%
2.14; Ecuador have 5.9% if they win against Venezuela; otherwise 3.6%
1.67; Mexico have 2.1% if they draw (or win) against Jamaica; otherwise 0.7%
1.51; Venezuela have 1.3% if they draw (or win) against Ecuador; otherwise 0.48%
1.49; Venezuela have 1.7% if they win against Ecuador; otherwise 0.63%
1.47; Mexico have 2.3% if they win against Jamaica; otherwise 1.1%
| Group C | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Uruguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.1% | 10% | 29% | 58% | 87% |
| United States | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8% | 21% | 41% | 31% | 71% |
| Panama | 0 | 0 | 0 | 30% | 41% | 21% | 8% | 29% |
| Bolivia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 59% | 28% | 10% | 3.0% | 13% |
Uruguay
| Uruguay - Panama | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 97% | 96% | 95.9% | 95% | 80% | 52% | 48% | 43% | 42% | Uni - Bol | ||
| 97% | 97% | 96% | 95% | 80% | 50% | 44% | 39% | 34% | 87% | Home | |
| 96% | 95% | 95% | 95% | 80% | 55% | 59% | 53% | - | 87% | Draw | |
| 96% | 95% | 95% | 93% | 79% | 59% | 54% | 52% | - | 87% | Away | |
United States
| United States - Bolivia | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 84% | 83% | 82% | 80% | 61% | 30% | 26% | 21% | 24% | Uru - Pan | ||
| 87% | 85% | 84% | 82% | 62% | 31% | 26% | 20% | 22% | 73% | Home | |
| 79% | 78% | 78% | 79% | 65% | 29% | 29% | 26% | - | 70% | Draw | |
| 78% | 77% | 76% | 73% | 51% | 27% | 24% | 15% | - | 65% | Away | |
Panama
| Uruguay - Panama | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 16% | 17% | 19% | 21% | 37% | 71% | 75% | 79% | 83% | Uni - Bol | ||
| 13% | 14% | 16% | 18% | 35% | 70% | 75% | 79% | 82% | 27% | Home | |
| 22% | 23% | 24% | 25% | 36% | 74% | 74% | 74% | - | 33% | Draw | |
| 22% | 24% | 26% | 27% | 43% | 73% | 76% | 81% | - | 35% | Away | |
Bolivia
| United States - Bolivia | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 4.4% | 19% | 48% | 53% | 57% | 63% | Uru - Pan | ||
| 3.9% | 19% | 49% | 55% | 61% | 67% | 13% | Home | |
| 6% | 19% | 49% | 50% | 50% | - | 14% | Draw | |
| 5% | 19% | 41% | 47% | 49% | - | 13% | Away | |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
2.83; Uruguay have 12% if they draw (or win) against Panama; otherwise 6.5%
2.07; United States have 4.3% if they draw (or win) against Bolivia; otherwise 1.6%
2.01; Uruguay have 12% if they win against Panama; otherwise 8.7%
1.88; United States have 4.6% if they win against Bolivia; otherwise 2.5%
| Group D | Probabilities | |||||||
| Team | Pld | GF | Pts | 4th | 3rd | 2nd | 1st | Last 16 |
| Brazil | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6% | 10% | 38% | 50% | 87% |
| Colombia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2% | 12% | 41% | 44% | 85% |
| Paraguay | 0 | 0 | 0 | 37% | 45% | 13% | 4.2% | 18% |
| Costa Rica | 0 | 0 | 0 | 57% | 33% | 8% | 2.0% | 10% |
Brazil
| Brazil - Costa Rica | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 93% | 78% | 45% | 42% | 35% | 34% | Col - Par | ||
| 94% | 79% | 46% | 41% | 31% | 28% | 88% | Home | |
| 91% | 81% | 44% | 47% | 48% | - | 86% | Draw | |
| 89% | 70% | 44% | 42% | - | - | 84% | Away | |
Colombia
| Colombia - Paraguay | |||||||||||
| +4 | +3 | +2 | +1 | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 96% | 95% | 95% | 93% | 77% | 41% | 34% | 31% | 30% | Bra - Cos | ||
| 97% | 96% | 95% | 94% | 77% | 40% | 31% | 30% | 26% | 85% | Home | |
| 93% | 92% | 93% | 93% | 78% | 41% | 42% | 35% | - | 85% | Draw | |
| 93% | 92% | 92% | 89% | 71% | 45% | 44% | 36% | - | 83% | Away | |
Paraguay
| Colombia - Paraguay | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 8% | 25% | 64% | 71% | 74% | 75% | Bra - Cos | ||
| 7% | 25% | 63% | 72% | 75% | 78% | 17% | Home | |
| 12% | 24% | 67% | 67% | 70% | - | 20% | Draw | |
| 13% | 32% | 63% | 65% | 72% | - | 22% | Away | |
Costa Rica
| Brazil - Costa Rica | ||||||||
| Home | Draw | -1 | -2 | -3 | -4 | |||
| 4.9% | 17% | 49% | 55% | 60% | 66% | Col - Par | ||
| 4.0% | 17% | 49% | 57% | 65% | 70% | 9% | Home | |
| 7% | 17% | 52% | 52% | 49% | - | 12% | Draw | |
| 7% | 22% | 48% | 52% | - | - | 12% | Away | |
Factors influencing which team wins the tournament
4.82; Colombia have 15% if they draw (or win) against Paraguay; otherwise 6.5%
3.58; Colombia have 15% if they win against Paraguay; otherwise 9.9%
3.39; Brazil have 17% if they draw (or win) against Costa Rica; otherwise 8.1%
2.46; Brazil have 17% if they win against Costa Rica; otherwise 12%
1.1; Paraguay have 0.83% if they win against Colombia; otherwise 0.13%
1.03; Paraguay have 0.52% if they draw (or win) against Colombia; otherwise 0.097%
| Quarter-finals | Semi-finals | Final | Champions | |||
Argentina (83%) Peru (6%) | ||||||
Argentina (69%) Ecuador (9%) | ||||||
Mexico (30%) Ecuador (28%) Venezuela (26%) Jamaica (16%) | ||||||
Argentina (66%) Ecuador (13%) | ||||||
Ecuador (45%) Mexico (27%) Venezuela (19%) | ||||||
Ecuador (27%) Mexico (14%) Peru (14%) Chile (12%) | ||||||
Peru (31%) Chile (28%) Canada (28%) | ||||||
Argentina (45%) Brazil (16%) Colombia (14%) | ||||||
Uruguay (58%) United States (31%) | ||||||
Uruguay (31%) Colombia (24%) Brazil (23%) United States (13%) | ||||||
Colombia (41%) Brazil (38%) Paraguay (13%) | ||||||
Brazil (32%) Colombia (28%) Uruguay (24%) United States (11%) | ||||||
Brazil (50%) Colombia (44%) | ||||||
Brazil (34%) Colombia (29%) United States (15%) Uruguay (14%) | ||||||
United States (41%) Uruguay (29%) Panama (21%) |
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