PL: Title match when City travel to Anfield

Title match coming up on Sunday when City travel to Anfield. It's nearly 50/50 between City and Liverpool in the simulations and match on Sunday gives a 26% swing for both teams.

Important matches for title race
Liverpool vs Man City (7.8%)	Home Win (37%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (39%)
Man City	34%	46%	60%
Liverpool	56%	42%	30%

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
23	Man City	81.9	+46	< 1%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.89%	99.50%	47%	< 1%	< 1%	99.89%
31	Liverpool	81.6	+41	< 1%	99.98%	99.94%	99.79%	99.15%	43%	< 1%	< 1%	99.78%
22	Arsenal	75.0	+37	< 1%	99.62%	99.05%	97.6%	93%	10%	< 1%	1.9%	97.6%
22	Chelsea	66.6	+23	< 1%	92%	86%	75%	56%	< 1%	2.6%	19%	74%
19	Tottenham	59.8	+22	< 1%	67%	52%	35%	16%	< 1%	11%	25%	44%
19	Aston Villa	59.4	+7	< 1%	61%	47%	30%	13%	< 1%	11%	28%	30%
22	Brighton	58.6	+6	< 1%	56%	41%	25%	10%	< 1%	12%	28%	25%
18	Newcastle	57.5	+5	< 1%	49%	35%	20%	8%	< 1%	16%	28%	19%
16	Man United	51.8	-1	< 1%	18%	10%	4.6%	1.3%	< 1%	11%	12%	13%
18	Fulham	50.7	-6	< 1%	14%	7%	3.3%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	10%	3.2%
19	Forest	49.8	-7	1.2%	11%	6%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	12%	2.3%
15	West Ham	49.5	-7	1.5%	10%	5%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	8%	2.0%
17	Brentford	49.4	-6	1.5%	11%	6%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	8%	2.4%
15	Bournemouth	49.1	-5	1.7%	9%	4.9%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	7%	2.0%
10	Crystal Palace	43.7	-10	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.6%	3.7%	< 1%
11	Everton	40.3	-19	20%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
8	Wolves	37.0	-22	40%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Leicester	36.5	-25	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.5%	< 1%
9	Ipswich	30.3	-37	83%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
4	Southampton	24.8	-42	96.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%