PL: Liverpool win the league in 99% of the simulations

Liverpool have 99% clinched the league and Leicester, Ipswhich and Southampton are relegated in >90% of the simulations.

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
70	Liverpool	88.8	+53	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	99.01%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
55	Arsenal	76.0	+40	< 1%	>99.99%	99.97%	99.87%	99.50%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	99.89%
47	Man City	67.4	+26	< 1%	97.3%	94%	87%	73%	< 1%	2.2%	10%	87%
51	Forest	66.1	+14	< 1%	94%	86%	73%	53%	< 1%	6%	18%	73%
49	Chelsea	64.0	+19	< 1%	88%	76%	57%	35%	< 1%	4.5%	35%	57%
47	Newcastle	63.3	+13	< 1%	82%	67%	47%	26%	< 1%	17%	28%	47%
46	Brighton	59.6	+6	< 1%	46%	28%	14%	6%	< 1%	19%	31%	14%
44	Bournemouth	59.3	+15	< 1%	49%	29%	15%	6%	< 1%	19%	34%	15%
45	Aston Villa	57.6	-4	< 1%	25%	13%	6%	2.0%	< 1%	14%	24%	7%
42	Fulham	54.4	+1	< 1%	9%	3.8%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	15%	1.4%
41	Crystal Palace	54.0	+2	< 1%	7%	3.0%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	13%	1.0%
38	Brentford	50.7	+2	< 1%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.4%	1.1%	< 1%
34	Tottenham	47.9	+14	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	11%
34	Man United	46.8	-8	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	9%
33	West Ham	46.0	-18	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	Everton	45.3	-7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	Wolves	34.6	-22	9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
17	Leicester	26.1	-46	95.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
17	Ipswich	25.4	-42	96.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
9	Southampton	16.5	-59	99.98%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Liverpool	99.01%		72%	24%
Arsenal	< 1%			18%
Man City	< 1%	30%
Forest	< 1%	8%
Chelsea	< 1%			56%
Newcastle			28%
Brighton		13%
Bournemouth		15%
Aston Villa		14%		1.4%
Fulham		11%
Crystal Palace		9%
Tottenham				11%
Man United				9%

	Europe	EL (or CL)	CL
Fourth team	100%	100%	100%
Fifth team	100%	100%	99.77%
FA cup winners	100%	100%	37%
League cup winners	100%	93%	85%
Sixth team	99.99%	99.88%	< 1%
Seventh team	98.2%	58%	< 1%
Eighth team	69%	15%	< 1%