World Cup Qualifications Asia

Iran, South Korea and Japan can clinch qualifications this week as detailed below.

Group A
Iran clinch qualifications if they draw (or win) against Uzbekistan and win against United Arab Emirates (67%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-4	Top-2	World Cup
6	16	Iran	25.4	+14	100%	99.75%	99.96%
6	13	Uzbekistan	20	+6	>99.99%	87%	95.2%
6	10	United Arab Emirates	14.9	+7	99.58%	13%	48%
6	7	Qatar	12.3	-8	89%	< 1%	34%
6	2	North Korea	6.4	-7	7%	< 1%	1.7%
6	3	Kyrgyzstan	5.8	-12	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%

Group B
South Korea clinch qualifications if they win against Jordan and against Oman (51%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-4	Top-2	World Cup
6	14	South Korea	23	+13	>99.99%	99.25%	99.83%
6	11	Iraq	17.1	+3	99.80%	63%	81%
6	9	Jordan	15.1	+5	98.8%	36%	70%
6	6	Oman	10.8	-4	69%	1.6%	24%
6	3	Palestine	7.4	-6	19%	< 1%	4.3%
6	4	Kuwait	7.2	-11	13%	< 1%	1.8%

Group C
Japan clinch qualifications if they draw (or win) against Bahrain (94%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-4	Top-2	World Cup
6	16	Japan	25.6	+28	100%	>99.99%	100%
6	7	Australia	14.5	+5	96.9%	72%	89%
6	6	Bahrain	11.1	-6	67%	10%	32%
6	6	Saudi Arabia	10.5	-5	63%	10%	31%
6	6	China	10.3	-12	47%	8%	17%
6	6	Indonesia	8.7	-10	27%	1.6%	4.8%

Top-2 advance to the World Cup.
3rd and 4th teams advance to Round 4.
The six teams in Round 4 play two groups of three teams.
The winners qualify for the world cup.
Runners-up play playoff in which the winners advance.
to the intercontinental playoff.