Premier League

 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
12	Liverpool	80.3	+41	< 1%	99.89%	99.76%	99.44%	98.6%	61%	< 1%	< 1%	99.30%
9	Arsenal	75.7	+41	< 1%	99.36%	98.8%	97.5%	95%	30%	< 1%	2.0%	97.1%
6	Man City	66.1	+25	< 1%	90%	84%	76%	63%	4.0%	4.2%	14%	74%
8	Chelsea	65.7	+24	< 1%	89%	83%	74%	61%	3.6%	4.7%	14%	72%
5	Newcastle	57.3	+8	< 1%	52%	41%	29%	17%	< 1%	10%	20%	27%
6	Crystal Palace	57.1	+9	< 1%	51%	40%	29%	17%	< 1%	6%	45%	25%
9	Bournemouth	56.6	+2	< 1%	47%	36%	25%	15%	< 1%	10%	19%	22%
9	Tottenham	53.6	+3	1.9%	32%	23%	15%	8%	< 1%	9%	14%	13%
2	Aston Villa	52.6	+2	2.8%	27%	19%	12%	6%	< 1%	8%	12%	28%
7	Everton	52.5	-1	2.7%	26%	18%	11%	6%	< 1%	9%	14%	10%
4	Brighton	52.3	-0	3.1%	26%	18%	11%	5%	< 1%	9%	12%	9%
4	Man United	50.1	-5	6%	17%	11%	7%	3.1%	< 1%	7%	9%	5%
4	Forest	49.2	-7	7%	14%	9%	5%	2.3%	< 1%	6%	8%	13%
4	Brentford	48.8	-6	8%	13%	8%	4.6%	2.0%	< 1%	6%	9%	3.8%
5	Fulham	48.0	-8	9%	11%	7%	3.7%	1.6%	< 1%	5%	6%	3.0%
4	Leeds	42.4	-20	29%	2.4%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.9%	4.7%	< 1%
3	West Ham	41.5	-22	34%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.0%	1.2%	< 1%
3	Burnley	39.7	-21	44%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	3.1%	< 1%
0	Wolves	37.0	-24	59%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	4.4%	< 1%
7	Sunderland	30.2	-42	91%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.0%	< 1%