World Cup: Central American Qualifiers

 

The group winners advance to the World Cup finals and the two best  runner-ups will play intercontinental playoff.


Group A

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-2	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
2	2	Panama	10.9	+6	90%	84%	67%	76%
2	4	Suriname	7.7	-3	41%	29%	12%	15%
2	1	Guatemala	7.3	0	44%	30%	13%	19%
2	3	El Salvador	6.6	-4	26%	17%	8%	10%

Group B
Jamaica clinch qualifications if they win against Curaçao and Bermuda draw against Trinidad and Tobago (12%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-2	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
2	6	Jamaica	14.4	+11	98%	98%	89%	93%
2	4	Curaçao	8.8	-1	59%	44%	8%	14%
2	1	Trinidad and Tobago	7.6	-0	41%	30%	2%	7%
2	0	Bermuda	2.7	-10	2%	< 1%

Group C

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	Top-2	At least Playoff	Group Winner	World Cup
2	4	Honduras	9.4	+2	68%	58%	38%	46%
2	2	Costa Rica	9.2	+3	67%	60%	37%	49%
2	2	Haiti	8.5	+1	59%	47%	24%	32%
2	1	Nicaragua	4.1	-6	6%	4%	2%	2%