The winners qualify for the world cup.
Runners-up play playoff in which the winners advance
to the intercontinental playoff.
Group A
| Average Simulation | Probabilities | ||||||
| m | p | Country | Point | GD | At least Playoff | Winner | World Cup |
| 0 | 0 | Qatar | 3.5 | +1 | 80% | 49% | 56% |
| 0 | 0 | United Arab Emirates | 2.6 | -0 | 63% | 28% | 36% |
| 0 | 0 | Oman | 2.3 | -1 | 57% | 23% | 30% |
Group B
| Average Simulation | Probabilities | ||||||
| m | p | Country | Point | GD | At least Playoff | Winner | World Cup |
| 0 | 0 | Saudi Arabia | 3.9 | +2 | 89% | 53% | 59% |
| 0 | 0 | Iraq | 3.4 | +1 | 84% | 40% | 48% |
| 0 | 0 | Indonesia | 1.1 | -3 | 27% | 6% | 7% |
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