Saudi in pole position after win against Indonesia

Qatar and Oman drew making Group A super tight. In Group B, Saudi won against Indonesia with 3-2, which puts Saudi in the pole position for winning the group.

The winners qualify for the world cup.
Runners-up play playoff in which the winners advance
to the intercontinental playoff.

Group A
Qatar clinch qualifications if they win against United Arab Emirates and United Arab Emirates draw (or win) against Oman (32%)
United Arab Emirates clinch qualifications if they win against Oman and draw (or win) against Qatar (21%)
Oman clinch qualifications if they win against United Arab Emirates and United Arab Emirates draw (or win) against Qatar (18%)
Qatar clinch playoff if they win against United Arab Emirates (48%)
United Arab Emirates clinch playoff if they win against Oman (41%)
Oman clinch playoff if they win against United Arab Emirates (35%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	At least Playoff	Winner	World Cup
1	1	Qatar	2.7	0	75%	41%	49%
0	0	United Arab Emirates	2.6	-0	63%	33%	40%
1	1	Oman	2.3	-0	62%	26%	33%

Group B
Saudi Arabia clinch qualifications if they win against Iraq (44%)
Iraq clinch qualifications if they draw (or win) against Indonesia and win against Saudi Arabia (28%)
Saudi Arabia clinch playoff if Iraq draw (or win) against Indonesia (85%)
Iraq clinch playoff if they win against Indonesia (67%)
Indonesia clinch playoff if they win against Iraq and Saudi Arabia draw (or win) against Iraq (10%)

			Average Simulation		Probabilities
m	p	Country	Point	GD	At least Playoff	Winner	World Cup
1	3	Saudi Arabia	4.6	+1	97.7%	58%	63%
0	0	Iraq	3.4	+1	80%	40%	48%
1	0	Indonesia	0.6	-2	22%	2.1%	2.7%