Chances in the European playoff

Sixteen countries will play in the playoff to determine the remaining four countris from Europe. The  countries have been seeded as below and simulations reveal their chances to advance from the playoff:

Pot 1
Italy   72%
Denmark 64%
Turkey  52%
Ukraine 56%

Pot 2
Czechia  26%
Wales    24%
Poland   20%
Slovakia 20%

Pot 3
Albania 6%
Ireland 5%
Bosnia  2%
Kosovo  3%

Pot 4
Sweden           19%
Romania          16%
North Macedonia  9%
Northern Ireland 6%