CL: Arsenal, Bayern & Inter through to knockout stage

Eleven points guarantee a place in the knockout stage, which means Arsenal, Bayern and Inter have clinched advancement - and Man City, Liverpool, PSG, Real Madrid, Galatasaray, Newcastle, and Tottenham can secure in the last 24 next matchday. Barca can also secure a place practically thanks to their great goal difference.

Clinching Scenarios

• Liverpool clinch knockout stage if they win against PSV (69%)
• Paris SG clinch knockout stage if they win against Tottenham (66%)
• Real Madrid clinch knockout stage if they win against Olympiakos (58%)
• Galatasaray clinch knockout stage if they win against St Gillis (51%)
• Newcastle clinch knockout stage if they win against Marseille (40%)
• Barcelona clinch knockout stage if they win against Chelsea (31%)
• Tottenham clinch knockout stage if they win against Paris SG (15%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	12	Arsenal	21	16-3	100%	>99.99%	98.6%	99.81%	79%	55%	36%	22%
2	12	Bayern	19	24-11	100%	99.94%	95%	98.9%	70%	41%	22%	11%
3	12	Inter	18	18-11	100%	99.50%	78%	95%	59%	30%	14%	6%
4	10	Man City	17	21-7	>99.99%	99.15%	82%	96.4%	67%	39%	21%	11%
5	9	Paris SG	17	18-6	99.99%	97.9%	75%	95.3%	67%	41%	24%	13%
6	9	Liverpool	17	17-8	99.98%	98.6%	74%	95%	65%	38%	21%	11%
7	9	Real Madrid	16	17-6	99.97%	97.3%	68%	93%	60%	33%	17%	8%
8	7	Barcelona	15	20-12	99.56%	92%	47%	86%	49%	24%	11%	5%
9	9	Newcastle	15	17-13	99.76%	89%	38%	79%	39%	16%	7%	2.7%
10	8	Tottenham	14	12-7	98.8%	81%	25%	68%	26%	9%	2.8%	< 1%
11	7	Chelsea	14	17-13	98.8%	81%	28%	76%	37%	17%	7%	3.0%
12	7	Dortmund	14	18-15	98.1%	79%	25%	69%	28%	10%	3.5%	1.3%
13	9	Galatasaray	13	14-13	98.6%	74%	18%	53%	13%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%
14	6	Atletico	13	16-16	95%	64%	13%	63%	25%	10%	3.7%	1.4%
15	7	Atalanta	13	8-9	94%	63%	15%	57%	19%	6%	1.8%	< 1%
16	7	Sporting	12	14-14	92%	52%	8%	51%	15%	4.8%	1.3%	< 1%
17	4	Napoli	11	10-13	81%	35%	2.7%	45%	15%	5%	1.7%	< 1%
18	5	Monaco	11	10-13	79%	32%	2.3%	34%	8%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%
19	5	Leverkusen	11	10-15	76%	29%	2.3%	41%	14%	4.9%	1.6%	< 1%
20	3	Juventus	10	13-13	73%	26%	< 1%	34%	9%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
21	4	Brugge	10	12-14	70%	21%	< 1%	28%	6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
22	7	Karabakh Agdam	10	12-15	74%	22%	1.2%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	5	PSV	9	12-13	61%	16%	< 1%	28%	8%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
24	4	Frankfurt	9	12-16	56%	14%	< 1%	21%	4.6%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	5	Paphos	8	7-16	32%	4.3%	< 1%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	2	Olympiakos	8	6-18	30%	3.6%	< 1%	8%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	3	Marseille	7	11-10	42%	9%	< 1%	17%	4.3%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	1	Villarreal	7	10-12	32%	3.7%	< 1%	13%	3.7%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	3	Bilbao	7	10-16	33%	6%	< 1%	12%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	3	St Gillis	7	9-18	29%	4.3%	< 1%	10%	2.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	2	Slavia Praha	6	10-17	21%	2.1%	< 1%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	0	Benfica	5	9-14	13%	1.0%	< 1%	5%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	2	Bodoe Glimt	5	10-17	10%	< 1%	< 1%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	1	FC Kobenhavn	5	8-17	7%	< 1%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	0	Ajax	4	7-20	6%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	1	Kairat	2	7-26	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	10	18-19	13	14-7	17	19-4
5%	10	8-12	13	23-21	17	22-14
25%	9	10-12	12	15-10	16	18-9
50%	9	8-14	12	14-14	16	18-13
75%	8	11-13	11	16-12	15	17-9
95%	8	12-20	11	12-14	14	13-4
99%	7	10-13	10	13-9	14	18-14