Europa League

 

Clinching Scenarios

• Freiburg clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Salzburg (88%)
• Porto clinch knockout stage if they win against Malmoe (79%)
• Stuttgart clinch knockout stage if they win against M Tel Aviv (78%)
• Betis clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Dinamo Zagreb (75%)
• Lille clinch knockout stage if they win against Young Boys (55%)
• Forest clinch knockout stage if they win against Utrecht (54%)
• Roma clinch knockout stage if they win against Celtic (50%)
• Ferencvaros clinch knockout stage if they win against Rangers (49%)
• Panathinaikos clinch knockout stage if they win against Viktoria Plzen (45%)
• Viktoria Plzen clinch knockout stage if they win against Panathinaikos (31%)
• Braga clinch knockout stage if they win against Nice (29%)
• Bologna clinch knockout stage if they win against Celta and Utrecht and Forest do not draw  (29%)
• Dinamo Zagreb clinch knockout stage if they win against Betis (25%)
• Genk clinch knockout stage if they win against Midtjylland (23%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	12	Lyon	19	15-4	100%	99.77%	94%	98.4%	60%	32%	15%	7%
2	12	Aston Villa	19	13-6	100%	99.63%	92%	98.9%	78%	58%	42%	28%
3	12	Midtjylland	18	17-9	100%	98.7%	83%	93%	45%	18%	6%	2.2%
4	11	Freiburg	17	14-7	>99.99%	97.5%	73%	91%	49%	23%	10%	4.0%
5	11	Betis	17	10-4	>99.99%	95%	65%	90%	54%	29%	14%	6%
6	10	Porto	17	10-5	99.99%	96.9%	73%	92%	57%	31%	15%	7%
7	9	Stuttgart	15	12-5	99.77%	90%	41%	83%	48%	25%	12%	6%
8	9	Roma	15	15-12	99.27%	81%	36%	86%	59%	38%	23%	13%
9	11	Ferencvaros	15	10-8	99.99%	82%	32%	56%	14%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
10	9	Lille	14	16-10	99.02%	79%	32%	80%	47%	25%	13%	6%
11	8	Forest	14	15-9	98.8%	76%	27%	80%	49%	28%	15%	8%
12	8	Bologna	14	11-6	98.0%	72%	22%	78%	47%	27%	14%	7%
13	10	Braga	14	13-9	99.78%	77%	30%	69%	29%	11%	3.8%	1.4%
14	10	Genk	14	11-8	99.77%	80%	31%	65%	24%	8%	2.1%	< 1%
15	10	Dinamo Zagreb	13	17-12	99.60%	71%	21%	47%	11%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
16	9	Viktoria Plzen	13	11-10	96.3%	54%	13%	49%	16%	4.5%	1.1%	< 1%
17	9	Panathinaikos	13	15-16	96.0%	50%	11%	44%	12%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
18	8	Fenerbahce	12	11-10	92%	47%	8%	58%	27%	12%	4.6%	1.8%
19	8	Brann	12	9-8	88%	37%	6%	34%	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
20	8	PAOK	11	16-13	88%	34%	4.7%	42%	14%	4.4%	1.2%	< 1%
21	7	Crvena Zvezda	11	7-8	79%	27%	3.2%	32%	9%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
22	7	Celtic	10	13-13	76%	19%	1.7%	34%	11%	3.6%	1.0%	< 1%
23	6	Celta	10	13-15	70%	17%	< 1%	38%	17%	7%	2.8%	1.0%
24	6	Basel	9	12-14	53%	7%	< 1%	15%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	6	Razgrad	9	12-17	45%	6%	< 1%	9%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	6	Young Boys	8	9-15	25%	2.0%	< 1%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	4	Sturm Graz	8	9-16	27%	2.0%	< 1%	7%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	3	Feyenoord	7	10-12	28%	< 1%	< 1%	13%	5%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
29	6	Go Ahead Eagles	7	8-15	19%	1.1%	< 1%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	0	Nice	6	8-14	8%	< 1%	< 1%	3.6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	3	Steaua	6	8-17	7%	< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	3	Salzburg	6	8-18	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	1	Utrecht	4	6-12	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	1	Rangers	4	7-14	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	1	Malmoe	3	7-16	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	1	M Tel Aviv	2	2-19	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	11	6-7	14	12-8	17	16-8
5%	10	11-11	14	11-10	17	15-10
25%	10	11-15	13	8-5	16	16-10
50%	9	12-13	13	10-10	16	11-9
75%	9	13-17	12	12-9	15	16-10
95%	8	9-11	12	16-17	15	12-9
99%	8	8-14	11	11-9	14	13-8