Europa and Conference League - Semi finals

 

Final		Champions
Freiburg (54%) Braga (46%)
		Aston Villa (47%) Forest (19%) Freiburg (19%)
Aston Villa (67%) Forest (33%)

 

 

Final		Champions
Crystal Palace (83%) Shakhtar (17%)
		Crystal Palace (53%) Strasbourg (24%) Rayo Vallecano (16%)
Strasbourg (57%) Rayo Vallecano (43%)

 

Which countries get extra CL spots

		Score
Country	Probability	Average	Min	Max
ENG	100%	19.86	19.06	20.17
GER	78%	16.02	15.21	16.71
ESP	13%	15.57	15.13	16.38
POR	9%	15.28	14.8	15.8

Number of finalists from GER; 277 mbit

n	0	1	2
Probability	19%	49%	31%
Chance if	27%	85%	99.69%

Number of finalists from ESP; 140 mbit

n	0	1	2
Probability	45%	46%	9%
Chance if	< 1%	16%	53%

Number of finalists from POR; 104 mbit

n	0	1
Probability	54%	46%
Chance if	< 1%	19%

Number of tournament winners for GER; 66 mbit

n	0	1	2
Probability	57%	37%	6%
Chance if	69%	90%	99.6%

Number of tournament winners for ESP; 31 mbit

n	0	1	2
Probability	78%	21%	1.2%
Chance if	9%	24%	56%

Number of tournament winners for POR; 14 mbit

n	0	1
Probability	85%	15%
Chance if	7%	19%