PL: Chelsea have lost five consecutive matches in the league

Chelsea have zero points the last five matches, 7.1 less than in the average simulation. Brighton is with their win, keeping the CL dream alive and have a good chance reaching Europa League.

 

Cold Teams
Chelsea: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 7.1 less than expected
Tottenham: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 less than expected
Burnley: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 3.4 less than expected
Brentford: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 less than expected
Fulham: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 1.7 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
70	Arsenal	81.2	+44	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	100%	79%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
67	Man City	78.0	+40	< 1%	100%	100%	100%	>99.99%	21%	< 1%	< 1%	100%
58	Man United	66.0	+15	< 1%	99.97%	99.76%	98.4%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	1.5%	98.4%
58	Aston Villa	65.7	+7	< 1%	99.98%	99.78%	98.3%	74%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	99.09%
55	Liverpool	63.2	+13	< 1%	99.13%	97.3%	91%	44%	< 1%	1.0%	7%	91%
50	Brighton	56.2	+10	< 1%	61%	37%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	20%	48%	5%
48	Bournemouth	55.4	+1	< 1%	40%	22%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	19%	31%	2.4%
48	Chelsea	54.4	+9	< 1%	33%	15%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	14%	46%	1.7%
48	Brentford	54.2	+4	< 1%	27%	12%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	17%	20%	1.8%
47	Everton	54.2	+1	< 1%	25%	12%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	16%	19%	< 1%
46	Sunderland	51.7	-6	< 1%	7%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	5%	< 1%
45	Fulham	51.4	-4	< 1%	5%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	3.9%	< 1%
43	Crystal Palace	49.0	-6	< 1%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	53%	< 1%
42	Newcastle	48.5	-4	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
39	Leeds	45.7	-7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	13%	< 1%
36	Forest	42.1	-10	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	19%
33	West Ham	38.5	-19	35%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	Tottenham	36.7	-13	61%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
20	Burnley	24.5	-38	>99.99%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
17	Wolves	23.3	-38	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

 

Important matches for CL race
Liverpool vs Crystal Palace (6%)	Home Win (61%)	Draw (21%)	Away Win (19%)
Liverpool	96.1%	87%	80%
Brighton	3.2%	7%	9%
Chelsea	< 1%	2.7%	3.6%
Bournemouth	1.6%	3.2%	4.5%
Brentford	1.2%	2.5%	3.4%
Man United vs Brentford (3%)	Home Win (53%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (24%)
Brentford	< 1%	1.3%	5%
Man United	99.76%	98.2%	95.4%

 

Important matches for EL race (EL or CL)
Man United vs Brentford (7.5%)	Home Win (53%)	Draw (23%)	Away Win (24%)
Brentford	12%	21%	43%
Brighton	55%	53%	47%
Bournemouth vs Leeds (7.4%)	Home Win (56%)	Draw (22%)	Away Win (22%)
Bournemouth	45%	23%	15%
Brighton	49%	56%	58%
West Ham vs Everton (6.7%)	Home Win (40%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (36%)
Everton	10%	16%	35%
Brighton	56%	54%	49%