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| Group D | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Ireland | 6 | 12 | 57% | 14% | 44% | >99.99% | qualified if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 50% |
| Denmark (P) | 6 | 12 | 91% | 53% | 81% | 100% | 99.6% if Ireland draw (or win) against Switzerland; otherwise 87% |
| Switzerland (H) | 5 | 8 | 91% | 33% | 75% | 100% | 98.9% if they win against Ireland; otherwise 75% |
| Georgia (p) | 6 | 5 | 34% | < 1% | < 1% | 100% | |
| Gibraltar (E) | 5 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(E) Eliminated
Switzerland host Ireland on Tuesday in a crucial match. The winner there is very likely to finish top 2. Ireland also have Denmark to in the last round in November, while Switzerland are playing Georgia and Gibraltar. Denmark are playing Gibraltar. If we assume top-3 teams will win against Georgia and Gibraltar we have a table
Denmark 7 15
Switzerland 7 14Ireland 6 12
Ireland need to win against either Switzerland or Denmark. Ireland and Denmark drew their match in Copenhagen so if Ireland win the match in November Ireland are ahead of Denmark,
Denmark and Switzerland need a point against Ireland to clinch qualification.
| Group F | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Spain (P) | 7 | 19 | >99.99% | 98.9% | >99.99% | 100% | |
| Sweden (P) | 7 | 14 | 81% | < 1% | 69% | 100% | 96% if they win against Spain; otherwise 76% |
| Romania | 7 | 13 | 33% | < 1% | 23% | 60% | 39% if they draw (or win) against Norway; otherwise 13% |
| Norway (H) | 7 | 10 | 36% | < 1% | 8% | 100% | 53% if they win against Romania; otherwise 30% |
| Malta (E) | 7 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Faroe Islands (x) | 7 | 0 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
Spain need a point against Sweden (away) on Tuesday to clinch qualification. Sweden have besides that match against Spain, Romania away and Faoe Islands home left to play in November. Romania have Norway on Tuesday, Sweden at home in November and finish with Spain away in November. Norway are playing Romania on Tuesday and have Faroe Islands and Malta in November.
| Group J | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Italy (Q) | 7 | 21 | 100% | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Finland (P) | 7 | 12 | 86% | < 1% | 83% | 100% | 94% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 70% |
| Armenia | 7 | 10 | 2.8% | < 1% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 19% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.2% |
| Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 7 | 10 | 37% | < 1% | 14% | 100% | 46% if they win against Greece; otherwise 30% |
| Greece | 7 | 5 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Liechtenstein (E) | 7 | 2 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(E) Eliminated
Italy have clinched qualification. Finland are playing Armenia on Tuesday while Greece play Bosnia/Herzegovina. In November Bosnia/Herzegobina and Armenia have matches against already qualified Italy plus Greece and Liechtenstein, respectively, while Finland play Liechtenstein and Greece.
Below shows who is likely to go to playoff.
| League A | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Switzerland (H) | 75% | 25% | 25% | 25% | 98.9% if they win against Ireland; otherwise 75% | |
| B | Portugal (H) | 98.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | ||
| C | Netherlands (P) | 99.08% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | England (P) | 99.72% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Belgium (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | France (P) | 99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Spain (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Italy (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Croatia (P) | 95.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 99.7% if they draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 95% | |
| G | Poland (P) | 98.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.5% | qualified if they win against North Macedonia; otherwise 96% | |
| C | Germany (P) | 99.05% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% if they win against Estonia; otherwise 98.8% | |
| H | Iceland | 10% | 90% | 90% | 88% | 36% if France win against Turkey; otherwise 27% | |
| League B | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| J | Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 14% | 86% | 86% | 86% | 46% if they win against Greece; otherwise 30% | |
| B | Ukraine (H) | 99.78% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 99.7% | |
| D | Denmark (P) | 81% | 19% | 19% | 19% | 99.6% if Ireland draw (or win) against Switzerland; otherwise 87% | |
| F | Sweden (P) | 69% | 31% | 31% | 26% | 96% if they win against Spain; otherwise 76% | |
| I | Russia (P) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Austria (P) | 54% | 46% | 32% | 34% | 87% if they draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 36% | |
| E | Wales (P) | 46% | 54% | 41% | 31% | 82% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 53% | |
| A | Czechia | 92% | 8% | 5% | 3.5% | 98.8% if Montenegro win against Kosovo; otherwise 93% | |
| E | Slovakia | 42% | 58% | 44% | 27% | 65% if Croatia draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 45% | |
| H | Turkey | 90% | 10% | 6% | 3.9% | 99.4% if they draw (or win) against France; otherwise 91% | |
| D | Ireland | 44% | 56% | 43% | 11% | qualified if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 50% | |
| C | Northern Ireland | 1.9% | 97.9% | 77% | 11% | ||
| League C | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| I | Scotland (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| F | Norway (H) | 8% | 92% | 92% | 92% | 53% if they win against Romania; otherwise 30% | |
| B | Serbia (P) | 2.0% | 98.0% | 98.0% | 8% | 40% if Norway win against Romania; otherwise 34% | |
| J | Finland (P) | 83% | 17% | 17% | < 1% | 94% if they win against Armenia; otherwise 70% | |
| A | Bulgaria (x) | < 1% | 99.88% | 33% | 20% | 12% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 7% | |
| G | Israel | < 1% | 95.4% | 30% | 5% | 11% if Switzerland draw (or win) against Ireland; otherwise 8% | |
| E | Hungary | 16% | 70% | 20% | < 1% | 30% if they win against Azerbaijan; otherwise 15% | |
| F | Romania | 23% | 37% | 10% | < 1% | 39% if they draw (or win) against Norway; otherwise 13% | |
| J | Greece | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Albania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | Montenegro (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Cyprus | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Estonia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Slovenia | 42% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% if they win against Austria; otherwise 16% | |
| B | Lithuania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| League D | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Georgia (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| G | North Macedonia (H) | 3.9% | 96.1% | 96.1% | 96.1% | 40% if they win against Poland; otherwise 30% | |
| A | Kosovo (P) | 8% | 92% | 92% | 3.6% | 32% if they win against Montenegro; otherwise 26% | |
| C | Belarus (h) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | ||
| B | Luxembourg (x) | < 1% | 12% | 12% | < 1% | ||
| J | Armenia | 2.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 19% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.2% | |
| F | Faroe Islands (x) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Andorra (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Moldova (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Azerbaijan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Gibraltar (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Kazakhstan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Latvia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Liechtenstein (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Malta (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | San Marino (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
