Leicester drew West Ham and are down to 90% chance. They still got everything in their own hands and if they take 8 points in the remaining four matches, they are champions. Arsenal drew Crystal Palace and are now out of the race (<1%) and mostly playing for CL qualifications. Tottenham are playing Stoke tonight and if they win that, they climb up on 18% chance
Expected Outcome |
Team | Points | Expected +/- | Chance% |
Leicester | 78.6 | 65-39 | 89.8 |
Tottenham | 73.1 | 68-31 | 9.37 |
Arsenal | 69.9 | 66-39 | 0.426 |
Man City | 69.2 | 70-38 | 0.397 |
Important Matches | | | 1 | | | | | X | | | | | 2 | | | | |
Home | | Away | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | | Leices | Totten | Arsena | Man Ci | Importance |
Leicester | - | Swansea | | 95.6 | 4.45 | 0 | 0 | | 84.8 | 13.7 | 0.774 | 0.679 | | 77.3 | 20 | 1.38 | 1.33 | 31.2 |
Leicester | - | Everton | | 96.1 | 3.85 | 0 | 0 | | 86.4 | 12.4 | 0.621 | 0.571 | | 79.6 | 18.2 | 1.14 | 1.07 | 29.4 |
Stoke | - | Tottenham | | 95.5 | 3.46 | 0.529 | 0.491 | | 93.1 | 6.06 | 0.467 | 0.41 | | 81.6 | 17.9 | 0.288 | 0.288 | 24.9 |
Chelsea | - | Tottenham | | 94.6 | 4.44 | 0.517 | 0.466 | | 91.6 | 7.53 | 0.411 | 0.413 | | 78.9 | 20.6 | 0.261 | 0.248 | 24.4 |
Newcastle | - | Tottenham | | 96.2 | 2.71 | 0.56 | 0.497 | | 94.3 | 4.81 | 0.476 | 0.457 | | 84.2 | 15.1 | 0.328 | 0.315 | 21.5 |
Tottenham | - | Southampton | | 85.6 | 13.8 | 0.362 | 0.33 | | 94.6 | 4.44 | 0.497 | 0.479 | | 96.6 | 2.42 | 0.527 | 0.498 | 17.9 |
Man United | - | Leicester | | 85.7 | 13 | 0.65 | 0.616 | | 91 | 8.38 | 0.359 | 0.311 | | 97.6 | 2.4 | 0 | 0 | 16.3 |
Tottenham | - | West Brom | | 86.7 | 12.6 | 0.365 | 0.348 | | 95.1 | 3.94 | 0.487 | 0.474 | | 96.7 | 2.13 | 0.61 | 0.513 | 14.6 |
Chelsea | - | Leicester | | 86.3 | 12.5 | 0.624 | 0.585 | | 91.4 | 8.02 | 0.324 | 0.295 | | 97.7 | 2.33 | 0 | 0 | 14.5 |
Man City | - | Arsenal | | 89.9 | 9.39 | 0 | 0.729 | | 90.3 | 9.48 | 0.138 | 0.0629 | | 89.2 | 9.21 | 1.59 | 0 | 6.92 |
Southampton | - | Man City | | 90.1 | 9.49 | 0.411 | 0 | | 90 | 9.52 | 0.431 | 0.0881 | | 89.5 | 9.19 | 0.434 | 0.882 | 2.7 |
Sunderland | - | Arsenal | | 90.2 | 9.44 | 0 | 0.384 | | 90 | 9.48 | 0.0569 | 0.417 | | 89.6 | 9.29 | 0.762 | 0.394 | 2.16 |
Swansea | - | Man City | | 90.1 | 9.48 | 0.44 | 0 | | 90.1 | 9.43 | 0.412 | 0.0654 | | 89.6 | 9.28 | 0.424 | 0.743 | 2.13 |
Newcastle | - | Man City | | 90.2 | 9.39 | 0.403 | 0 | | 90.1 | 9.38 | 0.423 | 0.0562 | | 89.5 | 9.35 | 0.435 | 0.671 | 1.79 |
Man City | - | Stoke | | 89.7 | 9.29 | 0.423 | 0.583 | | 90 | 9.49 | 0.439 | 0.0532 | | 90 | 9.54 | 0.422 | 0 | 1.3 |
Arsenal | - | West Brom | | 89.7 | 9.34 | 0.599 | 0.396 | | 90 | 9.5 | 0.0517 | 0.402 | | 90.3 | 9.35 | 0 | 0.395 | 1.24 |
Arsenal | - | Norwich | | 89.7 | 9.34 | 0.569 | 0.395 | | 90.1 | 9.42 | 0.0427 | 0.408 | | 90.1 | 9.47 | 0 | 0.392 | 1.06 |
Arsenal | - | Aston Villa | | 89.7 | 9.34 | 0.539 | 0.39 | | 90.1 | 9.41 | 0.0473 | 0.426 | | 90.1 | 9.51 | 0 | 0.417 | 0.853 |
Points | Leicester | | Tottenham | | Arsenal | | Man City | |
85 | 1.64 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
83 | 4.45 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
82 | 9.23 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
81 | 4.26 | 100 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
80 | 16.9 | 98.2 | 1.81 | 79.7 | - | - | - | - |
79 | 17.7 | 98.2 | - | - | - | - | - | - |
78 | 9.36 | 93.5 | 4.77 | 45.6 | - | - | - | - |
77 | 16.6 | 86.2 | 7.46 | 36.3 | - | - | - | - |
76 | 10.4 | 81 | 4.91 | 19.6 | - | - | - | - |
75 | 3.96 | 60.1 | 14.8 | 8.9 | 5.37 | 6.7 | 4.36 | 7.43 |
74 | 4.05 | 48.2 | 13.1 | 4.89 | - | - | - | - |
73 | 1.44 | 30.1 | 10.5 | 1.13 | 10.5 | 0.631 | 9.23 | 0.786 |
No comments:
Post a Comment