PL

Below we have changed the way statistics are collected. Rather than reporting the chance if team T takes at least X points, we now report the chance team T if they take X points.

Expected Outcome

Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Man City	98	104-28	100	100
Man United	81	75-31	0.0121	98.6
Tottenham	76.5	75-34	0.0001	84.7
Liverpool	76.5	87-42	0	87.6
Chelsea	72.1	69-35	0	29.1
Arsenal	62.9	70-50	0	0.064

Man United have clinched CL, if they take 15 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 99.9% chance, if they take 14 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 99% chance, if they take 13 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 95% chance, if they take 11 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 90% chance, if they take 10 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 50% chance, if they take 7 (of 24) more points

Man United have more than 10% chance, if they take 3 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have clinched CL, if they take 19 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 99% chance, if they take 17 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 95% chance, if they take 16 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 90% chance, if they take 15 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 50% chance, if they take 12 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 10% chance, if they take 8 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 5% chance, if they take 6 (of 24) more points

Tottenham have more than 1% chance, if they take 5 (of 24) more points

Liverpool have clinched CL, if they take 17 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 99% chance, if they take 15 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 95% chance, if they take 14 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 90% chance, if they take 13 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 50% chance, if they take 9 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 10% chance, if they take 6 (of 21) more points

Liverpool have more than 5% chance, if they take 5 (of 21) more points

Chelsea have more than 99% chance, if they take 24 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 90% chance, if they take 22 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 50% chance, if they take 19 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 10% chance, if they take 16 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 5% chance, if they take 15 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have more than 1% chance, if they take 13 (of 24) more points

Chelsea have chance, if they take 9 (of 24) more points

Arsenal have more than 5% chance, if they take 24 (of 24) more points

Arsenal have chance, if they take 20 (of 24) more points