PL: Predictions

Here is the average table in our simulations

Expected Outcome
Team	Points	Expected +/-	Champ%	Top4%
Liverpool	90.3	85-25	50.5	99.9
Man City	89.7	101-30	48.3	99.9
Tottenham	80.8	78-40	1.17	95.5
Arsenal	73	76-50	0	40.5
Chelsea	72.5	69-43	0.003	34.2
Man United	71.9	73-48	0.002	29.8

Liverpool have >99% chance on top 4, if they take another 12 (of 33) points.
City have >99% chance on top 4, if they take another 13 (of 33) points.
Tottenham have >95% chance on top 4, if they take another 18 (of 33) points.
Arsenal have >50% chance on top 4, if they take another 22 (of 33) points.
Chelsea have >50% chance on top 4, if they take another 25 (of 33) points.
United have >50% chance on top 4, if they take another 23 (of 33) points.