CL: PSG won against City

PSG and Man City are likely to taking the first two spots after Leipzig lost against Brugge.

Group A			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	4	Paris SG	10.2	(8-12)	5%	15%	46%	33%	80%
2	4	Brugge	6.5	(5-8)	35%	49%	13%	4%	16%
2	3	Man City	11.6	(10-13)	2%	7%	31%	61%	91%
2	0	RB Leipzig	5.2	(3-7)	59%	29%	11%	2%	13%

Liverpool and Atletico are likely taking the first two spots.

Group B			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	6	Liverpool	12.7	(11-15)	< 1%	4%	25%	70%	95%
2	4	Atletico	9.9	(8-11)	4%	18%	51%	26%	77%
2	1	Porto	5.7	(4-7)	41%	42%	15%	2%	17%
2	0	Milan	4.9	(3-7)	54%	35%	9%	1%	11%

Ajax and Dortmund have almost clinched R16 spots.

Group C			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	6	Ajax	12.5	(11-15)	< 1%	4%	49%	47%	96%
2	6	Dortmund	12.8	(11-15)	< 1%	4%	43%	53%	96%
2	0	Besiktas	3	(1-4)	76%	22%	1%	< 1%	1%
2	0	Sporting	6	(4-7)	23%	69%	7%	< 1%	7%

Tiraspol is the big surprise with 6 points after two matches. Will play important matches against Inter next,

Group D			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
2	6	Sheriff Tiraspol	7.3	(6-9)	23%	54%	18%	5%	22%
2	3	Real Madrid	11.5	(10-13)	3%	8%	22%	68%	89%
2	1	Inter	9.5	(8-11)	6%	18%	51%	25%	76%
2	1	Shakhtar	5.4	(4-7)	67%	20%	10%	3%	12%