CL: Matchday 5 Group E-H

Bayern have won the group.

Barcelona clinch R16 if they win against Bayern or Benfica don't win against Dynamo.

Benfica qualified if they win against Dynamo and Barcelona don't win against Bayern.

Group E			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
5	15	Bayern	17.2	(16-18)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%
5	7	Barcelona	7.6	(7-8)	< 1%	52%	48%	< 1%	48%
5	5	Benfica	7	(6-8)	< 1%	48%	52%	< 1%	52%
5	1	Dynamo Kyiv	1.8	(1-2)	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

United have won the group.

Villarreal clinch spot in R16 if they draw or win away against Atalanta.

Atalanta clinch R16 if they win home against Villarreal

Group F			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
5	10	Man United	12.3	(11-13)	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	100%	100%
5	7	Villarreal	8	(7-10)	< 1%	50%	50%	< 1%	50%
5	6	Atalanta	7.7	(6-9)	4%	47%	50%	< 1%	50%
5	4	Young Boys	4.6	(4-5)	96%	4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Salzburg qualified if they draw or win against Sevilla

Sevilla qualified if they win against Salzburg

Lille qualified if they take a point against Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg qualified if they win.

Group G			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
5	8	Lille	9.1	(8-11)	< 1%	49%	10%	41%	51%
5	7	Salzburg	8.6	(7-10)	16%	16%	36%	32%	68%
5	6	Sevilla	7.2	(6-9)	33%	35%	16%	16%	32%
5	5	Wolfsburg	6.7	(5-8)	51%	< 1%	37%	12%	49%

 

Chelse have won the group and Juventus have secured the 2nd spot.

Group H			Simulated Pts		Probabilities
M	P	Team	Mean	50% CI	4th	3rd	2nd	1st	R16
5	12	Chelsea	14	(13-15)	< 1%	< 1%	35%	65%	100%
5	12	Juventus	14.5	(15-15)	< 1%	< 1%	65%	35%	100%
5	4	Zenit	4.8	(4-5)	< 1%	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
5	1	Malmoe	1.4	(1-1)	100%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%