Champions League - Gameday 1

 

Champions League

Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	Man City	17	12-3	99.21%	94%	72%	95.1%	76%	58%	43%	21%
3	Bayern	16	24-12	98.6%	90%	65%	87%	51%	26%	12%	6%
3	Real Madrid	16	21-12	98.4%	90%	65%	91%	64%	41%	25%	13%
3	Dortmund	16	19-10	98.7%	91%	65%	86%	46%	21%	9%	4.4%
3	Leverkusen	16	15-7	98.0%	88%	61%	87%	54%	30%	15%	8%
1	Inter	15	13-6	96.5%	82%	50%	84%	55%	33%	18%	9%
1	Arsenal	15	10-7	96.2%	80%	46%	83%	54%	32%	18%	9%
3	Liverpool	14	20-13	94%	76%	43%	77%	44%	23%	11%	5%
3	Atletico	14	14-11	93%	71%	36%	67%	30%	12%	4.0%	2.0%
1	Atalanta	14	15-13	92%	69%	33%	69%	35%	16%	7%	3.4%
0	Barcelona	13	15-10	90%	65%	29%	68%	36%	18%	8%	4.0%
3	Aston Villa	13	15-14	86%	58%	25%	52%	18%	5%	1.5%	< 1%
3	Juventus	13	11-10	86%	58%	25%	58%	25%	10%	3.6%	1.8%
3	Paris SG	13	11-10	87%	59%	25%	64%	33%	16%	7%	3.5%
3	Monaco	13	13-15	86%	56%	21%	50%	17%	5%	1.4%	< 1%
3	Sporting	12	20-13	84%	54%	22%	55%	23%	9%	3.1%	1.5%
0	Stuttgart	12	11-8	82%	51%	19%	49%	18%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
0	Milan	12	13-14	80%	46%	14%	47%	19%	7%	2.3%	1.1%
3	Benfica	12	8-10	77%	44%	15%	42%	13%	4.0%	1.1%	< 1%
0	RB Leipzig	11	18-15	76%	43%	14%	49%	22%	9%	3.4%	1.7%
0	PSV	11	15-15	72%	39%	12%	40%	15%	4.9%	1.5%	< 1%
0	Girona	10	18-10	69%	34%	10%	37%	13%	4.4%	1.3%	< 1%
3	Celtic	10	12-10	67%	31%	8%	22%	4.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
3	Sparta Praha	10	11-15	58%	23%	5%	24%	6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
3	Brest	10	7-12	56%	23%	5%	20%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Bologna	9	10-9	54%	22%	5%	26%	8%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Lille	9	11-12	52%	20%	4.2%	25%	8%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Feyenoord	8	7-13	35%	11%	1.6%	14%	4.1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Salzburg	8	8-18	31%	8%	1.1%	10%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Brugge	8	7-17	31%	9%	1.3%	11%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
1	Shakhtar	7	6-18	19%	3.6%	< 1%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Dinamo Zagreb	7	9-22	21%	4.9%	< 1%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Sturm Graz	6	8-19	14%	2.7%	< 1%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Young Boys	5	5-11	11%	1.9%	< 1%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Crvena Zvezda	5	8-20	8%	1.4%	< 1%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
0	Slovan Bratislava	3	10-25	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Table below shows what is needed to finish within top-8, top-16 etc. For example, in 50% of the simulations you need 15 points to finish within top-8 and in 1% you need 17 points.

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	11	9-11	14	15-15	17	16-7
5%	10	12-11	13	16-12	16	21-9
25%	10	11-15	13	9-9	16	15-10
50%	9	13-13	12	19-16	15	15-6
75%	9	10-14	12	11-11	15	13-9
95%	8	12-15	11	9-7	14	15-10
99%	8	11-18	11	14-16	14	13-12