CL: Clinching scenarios in Matchday 6

 

Champions League
 

Clinching scenarios

• Atletico clinch Top24 if they win against Slovan Bratislava and Arsenal draw (or win) against Monaco (75%) 
• Lille clinch Top24 if they win against Sturm Graz (72%)
• Arsenal clinch Top24 if they win against Monaco (69%)
• Bayern clinch Top24 if they win against Shakhtar (65%)
• Leverkusen clinch Top24 if they draw (or win) against Inter (64%)
• Milan clinch Top24 if they win against Crvena Zvezda and Salzburg and Paris SG do not draw  (59%)
• Sporting clinch Top24 if they win against Brugge (45%)
• Dortmund clinch Top16 if they win against Barcelona (40%)
• Benfica clinch Top24 if they win against Bologna and RB Leipzig draw (or win) against Aston Villa (40%)
• Inter clinch Top16 if they win against Leverkusen (36%)
• Brest clinch Top24 if they win against PSV (34%)
• Man City clinch Top24 if they win against Juventus and Shakhtar and Bayern do not draw  (34%)
• Aston Villa clinch Top24 if they win against RB Leipzig (28%)
• Barcelona clinch Top16 if they win against Dortmund and RB Leipzig draw (or win) against Aston Villa (26%)
• PSV clinch Top24 if they win against Brest and Celtic win against Dinamo Zagreb (18%)
• Monaco clinch Top24 if they win against Arsenal (13%)
• Celtic clinch Top24 if they win against Dinamo Zagreb and Salzburg win against Paris SG (7%)
• Atalanta clinch Top 16 if they win against Real Madrid and Milan draw against Crvena Zvezda (7%)
• Juventus clinch Top24 if they win against Man City and Young Boys win against Stuttgart (3%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	15	Liverpool	21	19-6	100%	>99.99%	98.2%	99.58%	71%	46%	29%	14%
2	13	Inter	19	14-5	100%	99.50%	89%	97.4%	68%	43%	26%	13%
3	12	Dortmund	18	23-14	100%	98.7%	78%	90%	43%	17%	6%	3.0%
4	10	Arsenal	17	14-4	>99.99%	97.8%	76%	94%	64%	40%	24%	12%
5	11	Atalanta	17	17-8	100%	96.0%	61%	87%	51%	26%	13%	6%
6	12	Barcelona	16	23-9	100%	96.1%	68%	90%	53%	28%	14%	7%
7	9	Milan	16	13-9	99.66%	87%	41%	74%	32%	13%	4.7%	2.3%
8	9	Bayern	15	25-11	99.92%	92%	49%	83%	48%	25%	12%	6%
9	10	Leverkusen	15	18-9	99.97%	89%	42%	79%	43%	21%	10%	4.8%
10	9	Atletico	15	17-10	99.84%	86%	36%	71%	31%	12%	4.4%	2.2%
11	10	Sporting	15	14-9	99.83%	82%	35%	74%	36%	16%	7%	3.3%
12	10	Lille	15	11-8	99.80%	79%	27%	63%	24%	9%	2.8%	1.4%
13	8	Man City	14	20-14	97.6%	63%	15%	78%	51%	33%	20%	10%
14	10	Aston Villa	14	10-5	99.85%	73%	24%	60%	22%	8%	2.3%	1.2%
15	10	Brest	14	12-12	99.33%	59%	15%	41%	9%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
16	9	Benfica	13	13-10	97.6%	52%	10%	51%	18%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
17	10	Monaco	13	15-13	99.51%	49%	9%	49%	16%	5%	1.5%	< 1%
18	8	Juventus	12	12-7	94%	47%	9%	56%	24%	11%	4.2%	2.1%
19	8	PSV	12	14-10	94%	44%	7%	51%	20%	7%	2.6%	1.3%
20	8	Celtic	12	17-15	95%	44%	6%	34%	8%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
21	6	Real Madrid	12	15-13	92%	29%	1.4%	62%	34%	19%	10%	5%
22	7	Feyenoord	11	14-17	83%	19%	2.1%	33%	9%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
23	4	Stuttgart	10	9-13	62%	4.5%	< 1%	22%	6%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
24	7	Brugge	10	6-12	57%	6%	< 1%	17%	3.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	4	Paris SG	9	8-9	53%	5%	< 1%	31%	15%	7%	3.2%	1.6%
26	7	Dinamo Zagreb	9	13-19	43%	3.1%	< 1%	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	4	Shakhtar	7	7-18	9%	< 1%	< 1%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	3	Crvena Zvezda	6	13-24	6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	3	Girona	6	9-20	5%	< 1%	< 1%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	0	RB Leipzig	5	8-13	3.6%	< 1%	< 1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	4	Sparta Praha	5	8-20	4.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	3	Sturm Graz	4	7-14	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	1	Bologna	4	4-12	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	3	Salzburg	4	5-20	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	0	Young Boys	3	3-24	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	0	Slovan Bratislava	0	6-23	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	11	13-15	14	18-11	17	19-4
5%	11	12-19	14	15-11	17	17-8
25%	10	7-10	13	17-10	16	19-8
50%	10	8-16	13	15-12	16	16-9
75%	9	15-19	13	15-15	16	14-11
95%	8	12-18	12	15-12	15	15-8
99%	8	8-19	12	15-15	15	15-13