Conference League prior last matchday

Six or seven points will required to reach the knockout stage. Thirteen teams have clinched knockout stage and another nine team have almost surely (>95%) clinched knockout stage. The remaining two points are fought for by Mostar, Lincoln, Rijecka and a few other countries.

Clinching Scenarios

• Shakhtar clinch Top8 if they draw (or win) against Rijeka (87%)
• Rayo Vallecano clinch Top8 if they win against Drita (85%)
• Sparta Praha clinch Top8 if they win against Aberdeen (78%)
• Noah clinch knockout stage if Larnaca win against Shkendija (77%)
• Lausanne clinch knockout stage if Larnaca win against Shkendija (77%)
• Mainz clinch Top8 if they win against Samsunspor (69%)
• Jagiellonia clinch knockout stage if Rapid Wien draw (or win) against Zrinjski Mostar (62%)
• AEK clinch Top8 if they win against Craiova (62%)
• Sigma Olomouc clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Lech and Strasbourg win against Breidablik (61%)
• Lech clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Sigma Olomouc (57%)
• Drita clinch knockout stage if Sigma Olomouc and Lech do not draw  and AEK win against Craiova (47%)
• Zrinjski Mostar clinch knockout stage if they win against Rapid Wien (38%)
• Craiova clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against AEK and Legia win against Lincoln (33%)
• Rakow clinch Top8 if they draw (or win) against Omonia and Omonia and Rakow do not draw  (32%)
• Rijeka clinch knockout stage if they win against Sparta Praha and Legia draw (or win) against Lincoln (25%)
• Shkendija clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Larnaca (23%)
• Samsunspor clinch Top8 if they draw (or win) against Mainz and Mainz and Samsunspor do not draw  (13%)
• Lincoln clinch knockout stage if they win against Legia (5%)
• Kuopio clinch knockout stage if they win against Crystal Palace (2%)
• Breidablik clinch knockout stage if they win against Strasbourg and Rapid Wien draw (or win) against Zrinjski Mostar (2%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	13	Strasbourg	16	11-4	100%	100%	100%	100%	81%	52%	31%	16%
2	12	Shakhtar	15	13-7	100%	100%	94%	98.8%	58%	23%	8%	2.4%
3	10	Sparta Praha	14	14-7	100%	>99.99%	91%	98.4%	62%	28%	11%	3.7%
4	10	AEK	13	13-6	100%	>99.99%	65%	93%	51%	22%	7%	2.4%
5	10	Rayo Vallecano	13	13-8	100%	99.91%	85%	97.6%	68%	39%	18%	8%
6	10	Mainz	13	8-5	100%	99.88%	69%	95.5%	67%	41%	21%	9%
7	9	Crystal Palace	12	13-5	100%	99.93%	89%	99.59%	88%	72%	59%	43%
8	9	Larnaca	12	8-1	100%	98.3%	66%	90%	37%	12%	3.4%	< 1%
9	11	Rakow	12	9-3	100%	100%	51%	89%	42%	16%	4.8%	1.4%
10	9	Fiorentina	12	9-4	100%	95%	36%	92%	59%	35%	19%	9%
11	9	Celje	12	10-7	100%	95.8%	25%	77%	25%	7%	1.6%	< 1%
12	9	Alkmaar	12	8-7	100%	85%	11%	81%	39%	18%	7%	2.3%
13	10	Samsunspor	10	10-5	100%	99.95%	16%	72%	25%	8%	1.8%	< 1%
14	8	Omonia	9	7-5	>99.99%	69%	< 1%	63%	19%	6%	1.5%	< 1%
15	7	Lech	8	11-8	99.85%	43%	< 1%	57%	18%	6%	1.4%	< 1%
16	8	Lausanne	8	6-5	>99.99%	43%	< 1%	50%	11%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%
17	8	Noah	8	7-7	>99.99%	29%	< 1%	26%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
18	8	Jagiellonia	8	6-6	>99.99%	33%	< 1%	61%	21%	7%	2.2%	< 1%
19	7	Sigma Olomouc	8	8-9	99.23%	42%	< 1%	46%	11%	2.8%	< 1%	< 1%
20	8	Drita	8	4-7	99.96%	7%	< 1%	19%	1.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
21	6	Zrinjski Mostar	7	8-10	62%	16%	< 1%	14%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
22	7	Craiova	7	5-7	97.2%	17%	< 1%	42%	11%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
23	7	Shkendija	7	5-7	96.9%	9%	< 1%	13%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
24	7	Lincoln	7	6-13	74%	4.0%	< 1%	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	5	Rijeka	6	7-7	42%	12%	< 1%	16%	2.6%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	3	Dynamo Kyiv	6	9-10	7%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	3	Legia	6	8-9	8%	< 1%	< 1%	3.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	6	Kuopio	6	4-6	8%	1.4%	< 1%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	5	Breidablik	5	5-11	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	3	Haecken	4	5-7	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	3	Slovan Bratislava	4	7-12	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	3	Hamrun	3	3-9	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	7	13-11	10	8-4	12	17-6
5%	7	9-11	10	6-5	12	14-5
25%	7	7-11	9	7-4	12	11-4
50%	7	6-13	9	8-7	12	9-3
75%	7	6-16	9	8-9	12	10-6
95%	6	7-7	8	8-8	11	11-5
99%	6	6-7	8	5-5	11	8-4