Champions League - Knockout Stage Probabilities

 Below are the probabilities for how far different teams will go in the knockout -stage. 

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	24	Arsenal	24	23-4	100%	82%	58%	42%	26%
2	21	Bayern	21	22-8	100%	76%	47%	30%	15%
3	18	Liverpool	18	20-8	100%	70%	38%	17%	8%
4	17	Tottenham	17	17-7	100%	50%	17%	4.4%	1.4%
5	16	Barcelona	16	22-14	100%	58%	36%	16%	8%
6	16	Chelsea	16	17-10	100%	49%	26%	9%	3.8%
7	16	Sporting	16	17-11	100%	41%	11%	4.1%	1.3%
8	16	Man City	16	15-9	100%	67%	35%	23%	13%
9	15	Real Madrid	15	21-12	76%	38%	15%	7%	3.2%
10	15	Inter	15	15-7	77%	40%	16%	9%	3.8%
11	14	Paris SG	14	21-11	90%	53%	35%	17%	9%
12	14	Newcastle	14	17-7	82%	35%	17%	6%	2.1%
13	13	Juventus	13	14-10	65%	26%	9%	2.2%	< 1%
14	13	Atletico	13	17-15	74%	37%	16%	5%	2.1%
15	13	Atalanta	13	10-10	53%	9%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
16	12	Leverkusen	12	13-14	62%	16%	6%	2.7%	< 1%
17	11	Dortmund	11	19-17	57%	15%	6%	2.6%	< 1%
18	11	Olympiakos	11	10-14	28%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
19	10	Brugge	10	15-17	31%	8%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
20	10	Galatasaray	10	9-11	31%	8%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%
21	10	Monaco	10	8-14	21%	4.4%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
22	10	Karabakh Agdam	10	13-21	7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
23	9	Bodoe Glimt	9	14-15	14%	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
24	9	Benfica	9	10-12	33%	11%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%