Posts
| Group A | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| England (P) | 5 | 12 | 99.90% | 93% | 99.72% | 100% | |
| Czechia | 6 | 12 | 94% | 6% | 92% | >99.99% | 98.8% if Montenegro win against Kosovo; otherwise 93% |
| Kosovo (P) | 5 | 8 | 30% | < 1% | 8% | 100% | 32% if they win against Montenegro; otherwise 27% |
| Montenegro (E) | 6 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Bulgaria (x) | 6 | 3 | 11% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% | 12% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9.1% |
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
Kosovo are playing Montenegro, England and Czechia and need to win against Montenegro to start with. That would leave them one point behind Czechia and the match in November between Czechia and Kosovo is key.
| Group B | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Ukraine (H) | 6 | 16 | 99.86% | 42% | 99.76% | 100% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 99.7% |
| Portugal (H) | 5 | 11 | 99.49% | 58% | 98.3% | 100% | |
| Serbia (P) | 5 | 7 | 36% | < 1% | 2.0% | 100% | 40% if Norway win against Romania; otherwise 34% |
| Luxembourg (x) | 6 | 4 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 12% | |
| Lithuania (E) | 6 | 1 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(P) Clinched playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
Two direct spots are likely taken by Ukraine and Portugal. Ukraine are playing Portugal and Serbia in November. They need one more point to clinch qualification, but will most likely qualify also if they lose both matches. They won the first match against Serbia with 5-0 in the first match, so unless Serbia with more than five goals or Portugal draw against both Luxembourg and Lithuania so they also finish on 16 points.
Serbia are ranked third in League C playoff which means they will probably play first playoff away. They would be helped if Norway qualified directly because then they would play home.
| Group H | Pld | Pts | Qual | 1st | Top 2 | Atleast Playoff | Comment |
| Turkey | 7 | 18 | 93% | 19% | 90% | >99.99% | 99.4% if they draw (or win) against France; otherwise 91% |
| France (H) | 7 | 18 | >99.99% | 81% | 99.99% | 100% | |
| Iceland | 7 | 12 | 35% | < 1% | 10% | >99.99% | 36% if France win against Turkey; otherwise 28% |
| Albania | 7 | 9 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Andorra (E) | 7 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | |
| Moldova (E) | 7 | 3 | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% |
(E) Eliminated
Turkey can virtually clinch qualification if they take a point against France (away) on Monday. Otherwise they can clinch qualification with a draw (or win) against Iceland in November. Iceland are also playing Moldova and Andorra, which must be two wins if they should have any chance on a top-2 spot. Turkey are playing, besides France and Iceland, Andorra in the last match.
| League A | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Switzerland (H) | 84% | 16% | 16% | 16% | 99% if they win against Ireland; otherwise 84% | |
| B | Portugal (H) | 98.3% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.7% | ||
| C | Netherlands (P) | 99.09% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | England (P) | 99.72% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Belgium (Q) | 100% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | France (H) | 99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Spain (P) | 99.98% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Italy (H) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Croatia (P) | 95.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 99.8% if they draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 95% | |
| G | Poland (P) | 98.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.6% | qualified if they win against North Macedonia; otherwise 96% | |
| C | Germany (P) | 99.04% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 99.87% if they win against Estonia; otherwise 98.8% | |
| H | Iceland | 10% | 90% | 90% | 88% | 36% if France win against Turkey; otherwise 28% | |
| League B | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| J | Bosnia/Herzeg (H) | 4.9% | 95.1% | 95.1% | 95.1% | 33% if they win against Finland; otherwise 26% | |
| B | Ukraine (H) | 99.76% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | qualified if they draw (or win) against Portugal; otherwise 99.7% | |
| D | Denmark (P) | 68% | 32% | 32% | 32% | 94% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 76% | |
| F | Sweden (P) | 69% | 31% | 31% | 22% | 94% if they win against Spain; otherwise 75% | |
| I | Russia (H) | >99.99% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Austria (P) | 54% | 46% | 30% | 32% | 87% if they draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 35% | |
| E | Wales | 46% | 54% | 39% | 27% | 82% if they win against Croatia; otherwise 52% | |
| A | Czechia | 92% | 8% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 98.8% if Montenegro win against Kosovo; otherwise 93% | |
| E | Slovakia | 42% | 58% | 42% | 24% | 64% if Croatia draw (or win) against Wales; otherwise 45% | |
| H | Turkey | 90% | 10% | 6% | 4.0% | 99.4% if they draw (or win) against France; otherwise 91% | |
| D | Ireland | 48% | 52% | 39% | 9% | 94% if they win against Switzerland; otherwise 55% | |
| C | Northern Ireland | 1.9% | 97.8% | 73% | 12% | ||
| League C | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| I | Scotland (p) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | 100% | ||
| F | Norway (H) | 9% | 91% | 91% | 91% | 52% if they win against Romania; otherwise 32% | |
| B | Serbia (P) | 2.0% | 98.0% | 98.0% | 9% | 40% if Norway win against Romania; otherwise 34% | |
| J | Finland (P) | 91% | 9% | 9% | < 1% | 96% if they draw (or win) against Armenia; otherwise 71% | |
| A | Bulgaria (x) | < 1% | 99.87% | 36% | 19% | 12% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9.1% | |
| G | Israel | < 1% | 95.3% | 33% | 5% | 12% if Austria draw (or win) against Slovenia; otherwise 9.1% | |
| E | Hungary | 16% | 70% | 22% | < 1% | 31% if they win against Azerbaijan; otherwise 15% | |
| F | Romania | 22% | 37% | 11% | < 1% | 42% if they win against Norway; otherwise 20% | |
| J | Greece | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 1% if they win against Italy; otherwise 0.04% | |
| H | Albania | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| A | Montenegro (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Cyprus | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| C | Estonia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Slovenia | 42% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 91% if they win against Austria; otherwise 15% | |
| B | Lithuania (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| League D | Top 2 | Playoff | Own League | Home Advantage | Comment | ||
| D | Georgia (H) | < 1% | 99.90% | 99.90% | 99.90% | ||
| G | North Macedonia (H) | 4.0% | 96.0% | 96.0% | 96.0% | 40% if they win against Poland; otherwise 30% | |
| A | Kosovo (P) | 8% | 92% | 92% | 3.7% | 32% if they win against Montenegro; otherwise 27% | |
| C | Belarus (h) | < 1% | 100% | 100% | < 1% | ||
| B | Luxembourg (x) | < 1% | 12% | 12% | < 1% | ||
| J | Armenia | 3.8% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | 25% if they win against Finland; otherwise 0.5% | |
| F | Faroe Islands (x) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Andorra (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| H | Moldova (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| E | Azerbaijan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| D | Gibraltar (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | Kazakhstan (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| G | Latvia (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| J | Liechtenstein (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| F | Malta (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
| I | San Marino (E) | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | < 1% | ||
(Q) Clinched qualification
(H) Clinched home advantage in playoff
(P) Clinched playoff
(h) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched playoff
(p) Cannot qualify directly, but have clinched home advantage in playoff
(x) Cannot qualify directly, but possibly via playoff
(E) Eliminated
