Europa League

 

Clinching Scenarios

• Freiburg clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Salzburg (88%)
• Porto clinch knockout stage if they win against Malmoe (79%)
• Stuttgart clinch knockout stage if they win against M Tel Aviv (78%)
• Betis clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Dinamo Zagreb (75%)
• Lille clinch knockout stage if they win against Young Boys (55%)
• Forest clinch knockout stage if they win against Utrecht (54%)
• Roma clinch knockout stage if they win against Celtic (50%)
• Ferencvaros clinch knockout stage if they win against Rangers (49%)
• Panathinaikos clinch knockout stage if they win against Viktoria Plzen (45%)
• Viktoria Plzen clinch knockout stage if they win against Panathinaikos (31%)
• Braga clinch knockout stage if they win against Nice (29%)
• Bologna clinch knockout stage if they win against Celta and Utrecht and Forest do not draw  (29%)
• Dinamo Zagreb clinch knockout stage if they win against Betis (25%)
• Genk clinch knockout stage if they win against Midtjylland (23%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	12	Lyon	19	15-4	100%	99.77%	94%	98.4%	60%	32%	15%	7%
2	12	Aston Villa	19	13-6	100%	99.63%	92%	98.9%	78%	58%	42%	28%
3	12	Midtjylland	18	17-9	100%	98.7%	83%	93%	45%	18%	6%	2.2%
4	11	Freiburg	17	14-7	>99.99%	97.5%	73%	91%	49%	23%	10%	4.0%
5	11	Betis	17	10-4	>99.99%	95%	65%	90%	54%	29%	14%	6%
6	10	Porto	17	10-5	99.99%	96.9%	73%	92%	57%	31%	15%	7%
7	9	Stuttgart	15	12-5	99.77%	90%	41%	83%	48%	25%	12%	6%
8	9	Roma	15	15-12	99.27%	81%	36%	86%	59%	38%	23%	13%
9	11	Ferencvaros	15	10-8	99.99%	82%	32%	56%	14%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%
10	9	Lille	14	16-10	99.02%	79%	32%	80%	47%	25%	13%	6%
11	8	Forest	14	15-9	98.8%	76%	27%	80%	49%	28%	15%	8%
12	8	Bologna	14	11-6	98.0%	72%	22%	78%	47%	27%	14%	7%
13	10	Braga	14	13-9	99.78%	77%	30%	69%	29%	11%	3.8%	1.4%
14	10	Genk	14	11-8	99.77%	80%	31%	65%	24%	8%	2.1%	< 1%
15	10	Dinamo Zagreb	13	17-12	99.60%	71%	21%	47%	11%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%
16	9	Viktoria Plzen	13	11-10	96.3%	54%	13%	49%	16%	4.5%	1.1%	< 1%
17	9	Panathinaikos	13	15-16	96.0%	50%	11%	44%	12%	2.9%	< 1%	< 1%
18	8	Fenerbahce	12	11-10	92%	47%	8%	58%	27%	12%	4.6%	1.8%
19	8	Brann	12	9-8	88%	37%	6%	34%	8%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%
20	8	PAOK	11	16-13	88%	34%	4.7%	42%	14%	4.4%	1.2%	< 1%
21	7	Crvena Zvezda	11	7-8	79%	27%	3.2%	32%	9%	2.4%	< 1%	< 1%
22	7	Celtic	10	13-13	76%	19%	1.7%	34%	11%	3.6%	1.0%	< 1%
23	6	Celta	10	13-15	70%	17%	< 1%	38%	17%	7%	2.8%	1.0%
24	6	Basel	9	12-14	53%	7%	< 1%	15%	3.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	6	Razgrad	9	12-17	45%	6%	< 1%	9%	1.4%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	6	Young Boys	8	9-15	25%	2.0%	< 1%	7%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	4	Sturm Graz	8	9-16	27%	2.0%	< 1%	7%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	3	Feyenoord	7	10-12	28%	< 1%	< 1%	13%	5%	1.9%	< 1%	< 1%
29	6	Go Ahead Eagles	7	8-15	19%	1.1%	< 1%	4.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	0	Nice	6	8-14	8%	< 1%	< 1%	3.6%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	3	Steaua	6	8-17	7%	< 1%	< 1%	1.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	3	Salzburg	6	8-18	3.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	1	Utrecht	4	6-12	2.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	1	Rangers	4	7-14	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	1	Malmoe	3	7-16	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	1	M Tel Aviv	2	2-19	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	11	6-7	14	12-8	17	16-8
5%	10	11-11	14	11-10	17	15-10
25%	10	11-15	13	8-5	16	16-10
50%	9	12-13	13	10-10	16	11-9
75%	9	13-17	12	12-9	15	16-10
95%	8	9-11	12	16-17	15	12-9
99%	8	8-14	11	11-9	14	13-8

 

Champions League Matchday 6

Eleven teams have 11 or more points which guarantees a place in the knockout stage. Another four teams have 10 points and practically (99.99%) clinched a place in the knockout stage, but need another point to secure it mathematically. Another six teams can reach 11 points with a win next matchday and thereby clinch a place in the knockout stage as detailed below. Bayern can clinch a finish among top-8 with a win against St Gillis giving them 18 points, but most likely 15-16 points will suffice to finish top-8.

Clinching Scenarios

• Chelsea clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Paphos (94%)
• Newcastle clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against PSV (76%)
• Barcelona clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Slavia Praha (75%)
• Bayern clinch Top8 if they win against St Gillis (75%)
• Sporting clinch knockout stage if they draw (or win) against Paris SG (55%)
• Juventus clinch knockout stage if they win against Benfica (50%)
• Leverkusen clinch knockout stage if they win against Olympiakos (48%)
• Marseille clinch knockout stage if they win against Liverpool (34%)
• Galatasaray clinch knockout stage if they win against Atletico (32%)
• PSV clinch knockout stage if they win against Newcastle (24%)
• Monaco clinch knockout stage if they win against Real Madrid (11%)

Pos	Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Top 24	Top 16	Top 8	R16	QF	Semi	Final	Champ
1	18	Arsenal	22	24-4	100%	100%	100%	100%	79%	58%	40%	25%
2	15	Bayern	19	21-8	100%	100%	98.7%	99.80%	72%	47%	28%	15%
3	13	Paris SG	17	21-9	100%	99.98%	84%	97.1%	68%	43%	24%	13%
4	13	Man City	17	17-7	100%	99.92%	89%	97.7%	65%	38%	20%	10%
5	12	Real Madrid	16	17-10	100%	98.3%	66%	92%	56%	29%	14%	7%
6	12	Liverpool	16	14-9	100%	98.2%	61%	90%	53%	25%	12%	5%
7	12	Atletico	16	19-15	100%	97.8%	59%	87%	44%	18%	7%	2.9%
8	13	Atalanta	16	11-8	100%	99.19%	62%	83%	32%	9%	2.6%	< 1%
9	12	Inter	15	15-8	100%	95.0%	40%	83%	46%	22%	10%	4.7%
10	11	Dortmund	14	21-15	100%	82%	23%	71%	30%	12%	4.3%	1.6%
11	10	Barcelona	14	19-13	>99.99%	93%	36%	82%	45%	22%	10%	4.6%
12	10	Chelsea	14	17-11	>99.99%	92%	29%	79%	42%	20%	9%	4.1%
13	11	Tottenham	14	15-9	100%	82%	23%	65%	23%	7%	2.2%	< 1%
14	10	Newcastle	13	16-10	>99.99%	68%	9%	64%	25%	10%	3.8%	1.4%
15	10	Sporting	13	14-11	99.99%	61%	10%	56%	18%	6%	1.9%	< 1%
16	9	Leverkusen	13	12-13	98.2%	59%	2.4%	62%	25%	11%	4.3%	1.8%
17	9	Juventus	12	17-15	98.1%	53%	3.7%	48%	14%	4.2%	1.2%	< 1%
18	9	Marseille	12	13-11	97.5%	42%	3.8%	45%	12%	3.7%	1.0%	< 1%
19	9	Monaco	11	8-9	92%	21%	< 1%	28%	5%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%
20	8	PSV	10	17-13	82%	19%	< 1%	38%	12%	4.0%	1.2%	< 1%
21	9	Galatasaray	10	9-10	92%	17%	< 1%	28%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%
22	7	Napoli	10	9-13	75%	16%	< 1%	35%	11%	4.1%	1.3%	< 1%
23	6	Benfica	9	9-15	46%	3.3%	< 1%	17%	5%	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%
24	7	Karabakh Agdam	8	14-20	39%	1.6%	< 1%	4.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
25	4	Brugge	8	12-19	34%	< 1%	< 1%	11%	2.7%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
26	6	St Gillis	8	10-18	24%	< 1%	< 1%	8%	2.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
27	5	Olympiakos	8	8-16	21%	< 1%	< 1%	5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
28	5	Bilbao	8	6-14	19%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
29	7	FC Kobenhavn	8	12-21	32%	1.6%	< 1%	4.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
30	4	Frankfurt	7	11-18	21%	< 1%	< 1%	7%	1.8%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
31	6	Paphos	7	6-13	21%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
32	3	Slavia Praha	6	4-14	4.7%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
33	3	Bodoe Glimt	4	12-20	1.5%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
34	1	Villarreal	4	6-14	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
35	3	Ajax	4	8-22	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
36	1	Kairat	1	4-20	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Expected Requirement

	Top 24		Top 16		Top 8
	Pts	GD	Pts	GD	Pts	GD
1%	10	15-18	13	17-10	17	15-6
5%	10	13-18	13	17-13	16	19-8
25%	9	9-10	13	12-13	16	16-9
50%	9	10-15	12	15-11	16	10-8
75%	9	7-15	12	15-15	15	16-9
95%	8	10-16	11	13-9	15	21-20
99%	8	8-17	11	19-18	14	19-13

 

FA Cup 3rd round draw

Third round of FA Cup drawn. Tough draw for Villa, Spurs, United and Brighton, playing each other, which is reflected in their winning chances in simulation results below. In the league, Villa has now won the last five matches and taken 6.8 points more than expected.

Hot Teams
Aston Villa: 15 points in the last 5 matches, 6.8 more than expected
Everton: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 more than expected
Forest: 9 points in the last 5 matches, 2.5 more than expected
Newcastle: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected
Man City: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected

Cold Teams
Bournemouth: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 5.7 less than expected
Burnley: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 less than expected
Wolves: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.6 less than expected
Liverpool: 5 points in the last 5 matches, 4.0 less than expected
Arsenal: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 2.0 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
33	Arsenal	81.3	+47	< 1%	99.99%	99.96%	99.90%	99.68%	81%	< 1%	< 1%	99.87%
31	Man City	73.0	+36	< 1%	99.04%	98.0%	96.0%	92%	15%	< 1%	3.4%	95.6%
30	Aston Villa	66.5	+14	< 1%	90%	84%	74%	61%	2.2%	3.1%	11%	80%
25	Chelsea	63.7	+21	< 1%	82%	73%	61%	45%	< 1%	8%	23%	60%
23	Liverpool	63.4	+14	< 1%	79%	70%	57%	41%	< 1%	6%	25%	55%
26	Crystal Palace	60.0	+10	< 1%	60%	47%	34%	21%	< 1%	6%	14%	62%
25	Man United	57.1	+4	< 1%	40%	29%	19%	10%	< 1%	11%	22%	18%
22	Newcastle	56.9	+7	< 1%	40%	29%	18%	10%	< 1%	16%	24%	17%
23	Brighton	56.5	+6	< 1%	37%	26%	16%	9%	< 1%	11%	21%	16%
24	Everton	54.0	-2	< 1%	21%	14%	8%	3.8%	< 1%	9%	15%	7%
22	Tottenham	53.4	+6	< 1%	21%	14%	8%	3.8%	< 1%	9%	15%	8%
19	Brentford	51.8	-1	1.1%	14%	8%	4.2%	1.9%	< 1%	9%	11%	4.0%
20	Bournemouth	51.5	-4	1.3%	12%	7%	3.8%	1.7%	< 1%	6%	9%	3.6%
17	Fulham	45.9	-9	9%	2.2%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	3.7%	3.4%	< 1%
15	Forest	44.0	-16	15%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	8%
23	Sunderland	42.9	-20	19%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
15	Leeds	39.3	-23	42%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
13	West Ham	39.2	-22	41%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.1%	< 1%
10	Burnley	34.9	-26	71%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	Wolves	22.5	-45	99.44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Arsenal	81%	30%	39%	24%
Man City	15%	17%	23%	9%
Aston Villa	2.2%	3.6%		28%
Chelsea	< 1%	10%	20%	4.9%
Liverpool	< 1%	12%		4.4%
Crystal Palace	< 1%	4.7%	3.4%	43%
Man United	< 1%	2.1%
Newcastle	< 1%	4.1%	10%	1.4%
Brighton	< 1%	2.1%
Everton	< 1%	2.5%
Tottenham	< 1%	2.0%		< 1%
Brentford	< 1%	2.9%	2.7%
Bournemouth	< 1%	1.3%
Fulham	< 1%	1.7%	2.0%
Forest		1.7%		8%
Sunderland		< 1%
Leeds		< 1%
West Ham		< 1%
Burnley		< 1%
Wolves		< 1%

PL: Aston Villa joins the title race

After a slow start, Aston Villa have now taken 12 points in the last five matches (4 points more than expected), bringing them up to a 1% chance in the title race, and if they win at home against the front runner, Arsenal, their chances double to 2%.

 

Hot Teams
Aston Villa: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 4.0 more than expected
Everton: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 3.0 more than expected
Forest: 10 points in the last 5 matches, 2.9 more than expected
Man City: 12 points in the last 5 matches, 2.6 more than expected
West Ham: 8 points in the last 5 matches, 2.2 more than expected

Cold Teams
Bournemouth: 1 point in the last 5 matches, 6.0 less than expected
Burnley: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.8 less than expected
Tottenham: 2 points in the last 5 matches, 4.3 less than expected
Wolves: 0 points in the last 5 matches, 4.2 less than expected
Liverpool: 7 points in the last 5 matches, 2.1 less than expected

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
33	Arsenal	82.9	+48	< 1%	>99.99%	99.98%	99.95%	99.83%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	99.94%
28	Man City	72.6	+35	< 1%	99.0%	97.9%	95.8%	92%	11%	< 1%	3.5%	95.4%
27	Aston Villa	64.7	+13	< 1%	85%	77%	66%	51%	1.1%	4.0%	14%	74%
22	Liverpool	64.1	+14	< 1%	83%	75%	64%	49%	< 1%	5%	21%	62%
24	Chelsea	64.1	+21	< 1%	84%	77%	65%	50%	< 1%	7%	21%	64%
23	Crystal Palace	58.2	+9	< 1%	51%	39%	27%	16%	< 1%	7%	13%	58%
22	Brighton	57.5	+8	< 1%	46%	34%	23%	13%	< 1%	11%	24%	22%
19	Newcastle	56.0	+7	< 1%	38%	27%	17%	9%	< 1%	16%	23%	16%
22	Man United	55.7	+1	< 1%	34%	24%	15%	8%	< 1%	10%	19%	14%
19	Brentford	52.9	+1	< 1%	20%	13%	7%	3.4%	< 1%	10%	14%	7%
21	Everton	52.8	-4	1.0%	18%	11%	6%	3.1%	< 1%	8%	13%	6%
19	Tottenham	52.2	+5	1.2%	18%	11%	6%	3.1%	< 1%	8%	13%	6%
19	Bournemouth	51.9	-4	1.4%	15%	10%	5%	2.5%	< 1%	7%	12%	5%
17	Fulham	47.4	-8	7%	4.6%	2.5%	1.2%	< 1%	< 1%	4.9%	4.5%	1.1%
15	Forest	45.0	-13	13%	2.0%	1.0%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	1.4%	2.8%	8%
23	Sunderland	43.2	-19	19%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
14	Leeds	39.3	-24	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
12	West Ham	38.9	-23	46%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Burnley	35.6	-26	68%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	Wolves	23.7	-42	99.02%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Arsenal	86%	29%	39%	24%
Man City	11%	14%	23%	9%
Aston Villa	1.1%	6%		28%
Liverpool	< 1%	10%		4.4%
Chelsea	< 1%	9%	20%	4.9%
Crystal Palace	< 1%	4.0%	3.4%	43%
Brighton	< 1%	3.9%
Newcastle	< 1%	4.8%	10%	1.4%
Man United	< 1%	2.7%
Brentford	< 1%	2.7%	2.7%
Everton	< 1%	2.4%
Tottenham	< 1%	2.6%		< 1%
Bournemouth	< 1%	2.9%
Fulham	< 1%	1.5%	2.0%
Forest	< 1%	1.7%		8%
Sunderland		< 1%
Leeds		< 1%
West Ham		< 1%
Burnley		< 1%
Wolves		< 1%

Important matches for title race
Aston Villa vs Arsenal (2%)	Home Win (32%)	Draw (24%)	Away Win (44%)
Arsenal	81%	85%	90%
Man City	14%	12%	8%
Aston Villa	2.2%	< 1%	< 1%

 

PL: mid-week and key matches in race for Europe

 Mid-week and matches already tomorrow, but most interesting looks Wednesday with two key matches for the qualifications of the continental tournaments. Brighton host Villa in a key match, while Tottenham travel to Newcastle and St James's Park. 

		Average Simulated Season		Probabilities
Pts	Team	Pts	GD	Relegated	Top 7	Top 6	Top 5	Top 4	Win League	ECL	EL	CL
30	Arsenal	82.2	+48	< 1%	99.99%	99.97%	99.90%	99.69%	86%	< 1%	< 1%	99.87%
25	Man City	71.2	+34	< 1%	97.8%	96.0%	93%	86%	10%	1.2%	6%	92%
24	Chelsea	65.8	+24	< 1%	89%	82%	73%	59%	2.0%	6%	17%	71%
21	Liverpool	65.6	+16	< 1%	87%	80%	70%	56%	1.7%	4.5%	18%	69%
24	Aston Villa	62.9	+12	< 1%	76%	65%	53%	37%	< 1%	6%	17%	64%
22	Brighton	59.1	+9	< 1%	54%	42%	30%	18%	< 1%	11%	25%	28%
18	Newcastle	56.9	+8	< 1%	41%	30%	19%	11%	< 1%	16%	24%	18%
20	Crystal Palace	56.7	+8	< 1%	40%	29%	19%	11%	< 1%	7%	12%	53%
21	Man United	56.6	+2	< 1%	38%	27%	17%	10%	< 1%	11%	21%	17%
19	Bournemouth	53.6	-2	< 1%	22%	14%	8%	4.1%	< 1%	9%	15%	8%
19	Brentford	53.4	+1	< 1%	21%	13%	8%	3.6%	< 1%	11%	14%	7%
18	Tottenham	52.1	+4	1.1%	17%	11%	6%	2.8%	< 1%	7%	13%	6%
18	Everton	50.8	-6	2.0%	11%	6%	3.4%	1.5%	< 1%	6%	9%	3.2%
17	Fulham	48.5	-7	4.5%	6%	3.4%	1.7%	< 1%	< 1%	6%	5%	1.6%
12	Forest	43.4	-14	17%	1.1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	2.3%	8%
22	Sunderland	42.6	-21	20%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	West Ham	38.8	-24	44%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
11	Leeds	37.3	-26	55%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
10	Burnley	36.9	-25	57%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%
2	Wolves	25.1	-41	97.9%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

Titles

Team	League	FA Cup	League Cup	Europe
Arsenal	86%	29%	39%	24%
Man City	10%	14%	23%	9%
Chelsea	2.0%	9%	20%	4.9%
Liverpool	1.7%	10%		4.4%
Aston Villa	< 1%	6%		28%
Brighton	< 1%	3.9%
Newcastle	< 1%	4.8%	10%	1.4%
Crystal Palace	< 1%	4.0%	3.4%	43%
Man United	< 1%	2.7%
Bournemouth	< 1%	2.9%
Brentford	< 1%	2.7%	2.7%
Tottenham	< 1%	2.6%		< 1%
Everton	< 1%	2.4%
Fulham	< 1%	1.5%	2.0%
Forest	< 1%	1.7%		8%
Sunderland		< 1%
West Ham		< 1%
Leeds		< 1%
Burnley		< 1%
Wolves		< 1%