Tuesday, October 25, 2016

CL

Each row describes the probability that team wins its group and is drawn against team indicated by column header. For example, Barcelona will wins its group and meet Bayern in 2nd round has 12% chance.

Winner BarcLeicAtleRealArseJuveNapoSeviTottPariMonaBenfBesiDortBayeLevePortCSKAFCKMan DynaLyonSporBaseGladRazgPSVRostBrugDinaCeltTotal
Barcelon
2%

7% 6% 4%
5% 9% 4% 5% 4% 11% 12% 4% 7% 2% 5%
<1% 1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
97%
Leiceste<1%
3% 3%
7% 4% 9%
8% 4% 4% 4% 11% 11% 3%
1%

<1% 1% <1% <1% 3% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 86%
Atletico
1%

5% 5% 3%
4% 7% 3% 4% 3% 9%
3% 6% 1% 4% 11% <1% <1% <1% <1% 3% <1%

<1% <1% <1% 82%
Real Mad
1%

5% 5% 3%
4% 7% 3% 3% 3%
9% 3% 6% 1% 4% 11% <1% <1%
<1% 3% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 80%
Arsenal<1%
2% 2%
4% 2% 6%

3% 3% 2% 7% 7% 2% 4% 1% 3%
<1% <1% <1%
2%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 60%
Juventus<1% 1% 1% 1% 3%


2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5% 5% 1% 3% <1% 2% 6% <1%
<1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 51%
Napoli<1% <1% 1% 1% 3%

4% 2% 4% 2%

5% 5% 1% 3% <1% 2% 6%
<1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 50%
Sevilla
<1%

3%
1%
2% 4% 2% 2% 1% 5% 5% 1% 3% <1% 2% 6% <1%
<1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 47%
Tottenha<1%
1% 1%
3% 1% 4%
3%
2% 1% 4% 5%
3%
2%
<1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 39%
Paris SG<1% <1% 1% 1%
2% 1% 3% 1%

1% 1% 4% 4% 1% 2% <1% 1% 4% <1%
<1%
1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 39%
Monaco<1% <1% 1% 1% 2% 2% 1% 3%


1% 1% 4% 4%
2%
1% 5% <1%
<1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 38%
Benfica<1% <1% <1% 1% 1% 1%
2% 1% 2% 1%

2% 3% 1%
<1% 1% 3%
<1%
<1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 27%
Besiktas<1% <1% <1% <1% 1% 1%
1% <1% 1% <1%

2% 2% <1% 1% <1% <1% 2%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 20%
Dortmund<1% <1% <1%
1% 1% <1% 2% 1% 1% <1% <1% <1%


1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 18%
Bayern<1% <1%
<1% 1% 1% <1% 1% <1% 1% <1% <1% <1%


1% <1% <1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%

<1% <1% <1% 17%
Leverkus<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1% <1% 1%
1%
<1% <1%


1%
<1% 2% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 12%
Porto<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% 1% 1% <1%
<1%
1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 8%
CSKA Mos<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% 1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% 8%
FC Koben<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% 4%
Man City

<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
2%
Dynamo<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% 1%
Lyon<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%

<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%
<1% <1%


<1%
Sporting<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1%

<1%
<1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
Basel<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1%
<1%


<1% <1%
Gladbach
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%


<1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%
<1%


<1% <1%

<1%
Razgrad

<1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1% <1%
<1% <1%



<1%





<1%
Total2%12%17%18%37%47%29%45%29%59%31%34%31%77%80%25%50%13%35%69%5%6%4%1%26%<1%1%<1%1%<1%1%
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Thursday, October 20, 2016

CL: Match Day 3

Group A is almost dead after three matches with Arsenal and PSG both having more 98% chance.

Group A
Chancemp+/-
Key
98.5%379-1Arsenal99.986% if they draw (or win) against Basel; otherwise 95%
98.6%377-2Paris SG99.94% if they draw (or win) against Basel; otherwise 95%
3%311-6Basel8% if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 0.1%
0.4%312-10Razgrad4% if they win against Paris SG; otherwise 0.1%



Besiktas scored a late and very important winner against Napoli, which keeps the group open.

Group B
Chancemp+/-
Key
80%368-6Napoli93% if they draw (or win) against Besiktas; otherwise 54%
49%355-4Besiktas85% if they win against Benfica; otherwise 31%
65%345-5Benfica83% if they draw (or win) against Besiktas; otherwise 29%
6%312-5Dynamo Kyiv24% if they win against Benfica; otherwise 2%

Barcelona virtually already clinched a spot in last 16. The second spot is likely between Man City and Gladbach, and the key match will be when Man City go to Monchengladbach.

Group C
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.88%3913-1Barcelonaqualified if they draw (or win) against Gladbach; otherwise 98.6%
74%347-7Man City94% if they draw (or win) against Gladbach; otherwise 39%
25%333-6Gladbach60% if they win against Man City; otherwise 6%
0.9%313-12Celtic11% if they win against Man City; otherwise 0.08%


Group D is virtually already decided.

Group D
Chancemp+/-
Key
99.92%393-0Atletico
98%369-2Bayern99.6% if they draw (or win) against PSV; otherwise 91%
1%313-7PSV7% if they win against Bayern; otherwise 0.1%
0.7%312-8Rostov3% if they win against Bayern; otherwise 0.02%

Group E was the most open group beforehand and is still wide open, although Monaco had a late equalizer against Moscow.

Group E
Chancemp+/-
Key
70%354-3Monaco89% if they win against CSKA Moscow; otherwise 52%
71%342-2Tottenham90% if they win against Leverkusen; otherwise 51%
39%333-3Leverkusen79% if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 27%
19%323-4CSKA Moscow47% if they win against Monaco; otherwise 9%

Group F is virtually decided with Sporting having only 4% chance.

Group F
Chancemp+/-
Key
97%3710-3Dortmund99.7% if they draw (or win) against Sporting; otherwise 82%
99.1%379-4Real Madrid99.92% if they draw (or win) against Sporting; otherwise 95%
4%334-4Sporting22% if they win against Dortmund; otherwise 0.7%
0.01%301-13Legia


Leicester has almost secured a spot in next round, while Porto and Kobenhavn compete about the second spot. Their match on 22nd of November will likely decide that race.

Group G
Chancemp+/-
Key
98.7%395-0Leicesterqualified if they win against Brugge; otherwise 96%
39%345-2FC Kobenhavn81% if they win against Porto; otherwise 15%
61%343-3Porto97% if they win against FC Kobenhavn; otherwise 37%
2%301-9Brugge10% if they win against Porto; otherwise 0.07%


Group H looks decided with Juventus and Sevilla winning their matches against Lyon and Zagreb.

Group H
Chancemp+/-
Key
98.3%375-0Juventus99.8% if they draw (or win) against Lyon; otherwise 87%
95%372-0Sevilla99.7% if they draw (or win) against Lyon; otherwise 87%
6%333-2Lyon17% if they win against Sevilla; otherwise 0.9%
0.1%300-8Dinamo Zagreb1% if they win against Sevilla; otherwise 0%

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Wednesday, October 12, 2016

World Cup - Europe


Important Matches

WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
81%62%46%Croatia-Iceland24.9%40%62%95.6123
44.0%25%14.0%Wales-Serbia27.1%42%62%93.5409
28.7%13.0%6.0%Austria-Ireland35.2%49%67%90.5988
41%22.2%12.8%Romania-Poland64%78%90%86.7894
21.5%10.3%4.4%Greece-Bosnia and Herzegovina20.8%35%49%71.067


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
France3+4723.896.2%92.7%
--------------------
Sweden3+4717.022.9%12.3%
========
Netherlands3+2419.774.4%57.0%
Bulgaria3-5310.70.87%0.25%
Belarus3-329.70.59%0.16%
Luxembourg3-212.9-


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Switzerland3+4924.696.9%76.3%
--------------------
Portugal3+10623.594.0%81.6%
========
Hungary3+1417.18.7%4.4%
Faroe Islands3-449.80.01%0%
Latvia3-339.80.04%0.01%
Andorra3-801.7-


Group Cm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Germany3+8927.499.9%99.9%
--------------------
Azerbaijan3+2712.62.6%0.18%
========
Northern Irela3+2415.929.8%8.0%
Norway3-1313.58.5%2.2%
Czechia3-3215.320.6%7.5%
San Marino3-800.5-


Group Dm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Serbia3+4718.454.2%38.2%
--------------------
Ireland3+3719.162.7%48.8%
========
Wales3+4517.344.5%32.9%
Austria30416.128.4%17.6%
Georgia3-218.10.29%0.09%
Moldova3-903.90%0%


Group Em+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Montenegro3+6714.924.2%10.6%
--------------------
Poland3+2720.886.9%77.5%
========
Romania3+5516.142.5%25.5%
Denmark3-1315.531.2%18.4%
Kazakhstan3-527.10.13%0.03%
Armenia3-708.30.54%0.16%


Group Fm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
England3+3723.697.2%94.4%
--------------------
Lithuania3+259.90.72%0.13%
========
Slovenia3+1515.319.5%6.1%
Scotland3+1415.220.5%9.5%
Slovakia3+1316.944.8%22.6%
Malta3-802.70%0%


Group Gm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Spain3+10724.297.8%87.3%
--------------------
Italy3+3723.997.4%83.5%
========
Albania3+1615.03.0%1.1%
Israel30613.91.4%0.41%
Macedonia3-306.60%0%
Liechtenstein3-1102.5-


Group Hm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Belgium3+13925.697.7%93.0%
--------------------
Greece3+7918.832.2%11.4%
========
Bosnia and Her3+3620.768.5%36.3%
Estonia3-3310.50.23%0.04%
Cyprus3-709.00.05%0%
Gibraltar3-1302.1-


Group Im+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Croatia3+7720.379.6%71.0%
--------------------
Iceland3+3717.951.7%34.7%
========
Ukraine3+3515.425.0%15.6%
Turkey3-2216.030.6%20.5%
Finland3-217.40.34%0.10%
Kosovo3-914.90.02%0%
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World Cup - Asia

Iran (1st) won against South Korea (2nd) and has now a 93% chance to qualify. In Group B Australia and Japan drew in a group final, while
Saudi Arabia won against UAE in the important gulf derby, giving Saudi a 37% chance to qualify.

Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
87%71%55%Japan-Saudi Arabia29.1%46%69%77.4357
90%78%65%South Korea-Uzbekistan42.0%58%78%73.8947


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Iran4+41020.998.5%95.5%93.1%
Uzbekistan4+3916.785.3%64.8%51.0%
--------------------
South Korea4+1718.695.0%89.2%83.7%
========
Syria4-1410.29.5%4.5%2.5%
Qatar4-339.67.8%3.9%2.1%
China4-418.13.9%2.0%1.0%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Saudi Arabia4+51016.569.8%44.2%36.8%
Australia4+3819.493.4%86.4%82.7%
--------------------
Japan4+2719.091.2%84.4%80.4%
========
United Arab Em4-1614.339.3%22.7%17.4%
Iraq4039.35.9%2.4%1.6%
Thailand4-905.80.30%0.09%0.05%
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World Cup - South America

Argentina lost against Paraguay, but are still favourites together with Brazil to qualify. Chile took an important victory against Peru, while Ecuador and Bolivia drew. In November we have an important match between Colombia and Chile; Uruguay and Ecuador; as well as the classic Brazil vs Argentina.




Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
92%80%69%Colombia-Chile64%76%89%87.0778
97%91%82%Uruguay-Ecuador32.2%43%63%74.9522


Groupm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Brazil10+142134.497.6%97.4%
Uruguay10+142032.193.0%92.1%
Ecuador10+41727.044.2%42.2%
Colombia10+31730.481.9%80.9%
--------------------
Argentina10+21633.095.1%95.0%
========
Paraguay10-21523.410.4%9.1%
Chile10-11429.476.7%76.0%
Peru10-8819.01.2%1.1%
Bolivia10-9812.20%0%
Venezuela10-1729.20%0%
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Monday, October 10, 2016

World Cup - Africa

Algeria and Cameroon drew in Group B, while Tunisia took an important victory again Guinea in Group A. In November we'll see four early group finals in the African qualification with Nigeria vs Algeria (Group B), Morocco vs Ivory Coast (Group C), South Africa vs Senegal (Group D), and Egypt vs Ghana (Group E).



Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
80%57%33%Egypt-Ghana9.3%27%53%145.9
63%38%20.6%Nigeria-Algeria10.6%28%52%143.5
40%17.2%5.4%South Africa-Senegal48%71%88%122.2
26.8%9.4%2.4%Morocco-Ivory Coast58%78%91%98.8
20.9%7.5%2.2%Guinea-Democratic Republic of Congo25.4%39%58%88.1


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Democratic Rep1+439.738.0%
========
Tunisia1+2310.343.2%
Guinea1-207.412.4%
Libya1-406.26.4%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Nigeria1+1310.644.1%
========
Cameroon1019.127.2%
Algeria1019.227.3%
Zambia1-103.91.4%


Group Cm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Ivory Coast1+2312.777.5%
========
Morocco1017.812.0%
Gabon1015.02.2%
Mali1-207.48.3%


Group Dm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Senegal1+2312.068.0%
========
South Africa1018.822.3%
Burkina Faso1015.74.0%
Cape Verde1-206.45.7%


Group Em+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Egypt1+1311.862.4%
========
Ghana1019.125.2%
Uganda1017.210.2%
Congo1-104.72.1%
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Thursday, October 6, 2016

World Cup - South America

Ecuador (53%) won against Chile (68%) with 3-0. Predictions say that the last spot will be between these two teams, so it was obviously an important match to win. Chile will next host Peru, while Ecuador travel to Bolivia.

Groupm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Uruguay9+141932.091.2%90.2%
Brazil9+121833.395.0%94.6%
Ecuador9+41628.055.4%53.1%
Colombia9+31631.385.6%84.7%
--------------------
Argentina9+31635.699%99%
========
Paraguay9-31220.73.0%2.6%
Chile9-21128.769.0%68.3%
Peru9-7819.62.1%2.0%
Bolivia9-9712.00.01%0.00%
Venezuela9-15210.00.00%0.00%
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World Cup - Asia

Japan and UAE won as expected while Saudi Arabia and Australia drew in Jeddah. Important matches coming in Group B on Tuesday with first Australia hosting Japan in Melbourne. Both teams are expected to qualify and the winner of the match has great chances. Also on Tuesday, an even more important match between Saudi Arabia and UAE as they are expected to fight about the third spot in the group.

In group A we have an early group final when Iran goes to Seoul to play South Korea.


Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
36.0%19.4%10.8%Saudi Arabia-United Arab Emirates18.2%30%48%85.8064
93%83%74%Australia-Japan72%81%91%63.4769


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Iran3+3719.495.4%90.7%86.9%
South Korea3+2719.996.4%93.0%89.7%
--------------------
Uzbekistan3+1615.674.3%55.5%43.1%
========
Syria30411.118.2%9.2%5.8%
China3-218.99.0%4.8%2.8%
Qatar3-408.46.7%3.3%1.9%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Australia3+3719.994.5%88.2%84.5%
Saudi Arabia3+2715.150.8%31.1%24.5%
--------------------
United Arab Em3+2615.458.5%37.5%29.8%
========
Japan3+2619.291.4%84.8%80.4%
Iraq3-408.13.8%1.5%0.93%
Thailand3-506.71.1%0.36%0.22%
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Monday, October 3, 2016

World Cup - October

Some interesting matches coming up in October. In Africa most matches are important with only four teams in each group, but particularly Algeria vs Cameroon and Tunisia vs Guinea are coming up, in which the loser will have a much smaller chance. In Asia we have a match between 2nd ranked and 3rd ranked Uzbekistan and Iran in Group A, while in group B Saudi Arabia (3rd) play both Australia (1st) and UAE (4th). In Europe we have a top-clash between France and Holland in Group A. Other interesting matches include Austria (3rd) vs Wales (1st) in Group D, Iceland (3nd) vs Turkey (2nd) in Group I, and Poland (1st) vs Denmark (2nd) in Group E. In South America, we have an importsant match between Ecuador and reigning Copa America Champs Chile.






CONCACAF


Groupm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Mexico00021.099%99%
Costa Rica00016.993.0%88.1%
United States00016.090.2%83.5%
--------------------
Trinidad and T0009.531.5%18.4%
========
Panama00012.667.3%49.8%
Honduras0008.018.8%9.5%


CONMEBOL


Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
56%37%25.9%Ecuador-Chile72%84%93%70.2


Groupm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Uruguay8+111631.389.9%88.7%
Brazil8+71533.095.1%94.6%
Argentina8+31536.599%99%
Colombia8+21330.081.5%80.3%
--------------------
Ecuador8+11326.138.9%37.1%
========
Paraguay8-21221.77.3%6.3%
Chile8+11130.485.1%84.6%
Bolivia8-4712.30.01%0.01%
Peru8-7719.42.9%2.7%
Venezuela8-12210.50.01%0.00%


UEFA


Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
44%26%16.0%Austria-Wales35.0%49%66%85.8
32.5%17.1%9.3%Iceland-Turkey34.5%48%65%82.1
83%67%54%Netherlands-France71%82%93%82.0
72%54%40%Poland-Denmark36.6%53%71%81.2
59%40%28%Turkey-Ukraine9.0%16.7%31%71.9


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Bulgaria1+1311.62.4%0.86%
--------------------
Netherlands10120.881.9%69.2%
========
Sweden10115.616.7%9.3%
France10121.788.0%80.7%
Belarus10111.62.2%0.71%
Luxembourg1-102.60.00%0.00%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Switzerland1+2322.887.4%64.4%
--------------------
Latvia1+1313.11.6%0.40%
========
Hungary10117.417.9%9.9%
Faroe Islands1017.40.01%0.00%
Andorra1-101.7-
Portugal1-2023.292.1%82.2%


Group Cm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Germany1+3326.599%99%
--------------------
Azerbaijan1+139.90.55%0.04%
========
Northern Irela10116.124.4%7.0%
Czechia10117.237.5%14.7%
San Marino1-100.6-
Norway1-3015.217.3%4.6%


Group Dm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Wales1+4319.061.6%49.0%
--------------------
Austria1+1317.644.3%30.2%
========
Ireland10117.949.7%35.9%
Serbia10116.331.9%20.7%
Georgia1-107.90.42%0.15%
Moldova1-405.00.03%0.01%


Group Em+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Denmark1+1318.663.8%47.2%
--------------------
Poland10119.275.0%61.6%
========
Kazakhstan1017.60.49%0.13%
Romania10115.834.4%22.0%
Montenegro10111.66.4%2.8%
Armenia1-109.82.5%0.96%


Group Fm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Scotland1+4317.541.1%19.7%
--------------------
England1+1324.696.9%93.0%
========
Lithuania1018.60.35%0.05%
Slovenia10113.38.0%2.5%
Slovakia1-1017.340.6%20.6%
Malta1-403.20.00%0.00%


Group Gm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Spain1+8323.393.9%80.6%
--------------------
Italy1+2324.296.7%85.7%
========
Albania1+1315.16.5%2.5%
Macedonia1-108.20.06%0.01%
Israel1-2012.01.0%0.27%
Liechtenstein1-803.2-


Group Hm+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Bosnia and Her1+5321.079.1%47.7%
--------------------
Greece1+3316.619.0%6.9%
========
Belgium1+3324.596.2%87.8%
Gibraltar1-302.50.00%0.00%
Cyprus1-309.80.47%0.05%
Estonia1-5011.31.1%0.20%


Group Im+/-pointsavg. simulated pPlayoffWorld Cup
Croatia10118.664.1%53.6%
--------------------
Turkey10118.260.5%48.5%
========
Iceland10115.629.9%20.7%
Ukraine10114.822.8%15.3%
Kosovo1015.70.10%0.03%
Finland1018.91.8%0.77%


CAF


Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
53.1%31%16.3%Algeria-Cameroon15.5%31%52%106.1
46.0%26%13.6%Tunisia-Guinea13.6%27%46%96.2
75%54%35%Ivory Coast-Mali7.7%20%41%86.2
36.5%20.1%10.9%Democratic Republic of Congo-Libya7.7%16.0%31%74.6
64.3%44%29%Senegal-Cape Verde5.1%13.8%29%71.0


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Libya0007.114.7%
========
Democratic Rep0008.627.2%
Guinea0008.324.6%
Tunisia0009.133.5%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Nigeria0009.229.1%
========
Cameroon0009.127.8%
Zambia0005.13.8%
Algeria00010.039.3%


Group Cm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Ivory Coast00011.965.0%
========
Morocco0008.216.5%
Mali0008.014.9%
Gabon0005.33.6%


Group Dm+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Senegal00011.255.7%
========
South Africa0009.328.3%
Cape Verde0007.010.1%
Burkina Faso0005.95.9%


Group Em+/-pointsavg. simulated pWorld Cup
Egypt00010.443.9%
========
Ghana00010.240.3%
Uganda0006.910.2%
Congo0005.85.7%


AFC


Important Matches


WinDrawLose


LoseDrawWinInformation (mBit)
75%57%44%Uzbekistan-Iran61%75%87%83.4
39.9%24%14.5%Saudi Arabia-United Arab Emirates14.1%24%40%77.6
45%27%18.0%Saudi Arabia-Australia76%86%94%68.5
94%85%77%Australia-Japan69%78%89%58.4
85%72%62%Iran-South Korea79%87%95%57.9


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Uzbekistan2+2617.182.0%68.6%59.5%
Iran2+2417.888.5%80.7%74.0%
--------------------
South Korea2+1419.394.1%90.2%86.4%
========
China2-1110.819.0%11.6%7.9%
Syria2-119.08.4%4.3%2.7%
Qatar2-308.98.0%4.4%2.8%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pRound 4PlayoffWorld Cup
Australia2+3620.594.9%89.3%86.4%
Saudi Arabia2+2615.356.0%34.8%28.5%
--------------------
Japan2+1318.689.5%82.1%77.6%
========
United Arab Em20314.550.9%30.7%24.2%
Iraq2-308.65.8%2.4%1.6%
Thailand2-307.42.9%0.95%0.60%


OFC


Group Am+/-pointsavg. simulated pFinalPlayoffWorld Cup
New Zealand0008.577.7%70.2%6.1%
========
Fiji0003.78.3%4.8%0.05%
New Caledonia0004.614.0%9.4%0.15%


Group Bm+/-pointsavg. simulated pFinalPlayoffWorld Cup
Papua New Guin0005.126.8%3.4%0.02%
========
Tahiti0006.649.0%9.4%0.08%
Solomon Island0004.924.3%2.8%0.01%


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