World Cup: Oceania

Solomon Islands needed a point in their last match against Papua New Guinea. Papua New Guinea needed to win by three goals and started promising with a goal by Gunemba in 18th minute. However, fifteen minutes later Solomon Islands were rewarded a penalty kick, which Fa'arado converted to a goal, and just before the half time tea, Donga killed the match with a second goal for Solomon Islands.

Solomon Islands will now play a final playoff for the Oceania region against New Zealand, where New Zealand are big favourites (93%). The winner in the double match will play fifth team from South America, which likely will be Chile.

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Final	Playoff	World Cup
New Zealand	4	+6	10	10.0	100%	93.3%	6.1%
========
New Caledonia	4	-1	5	5.0	-
Fiji	4	-5	1	1.0	-

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Final	Playoff	World Cup
Solomon Island	4	+2	9	9.0	100%	6.7%	0.02%
========
Tahiti	4	+1	6	6.0	-
Papua New Guin	4	-3	3	3.0	-

World Cup: CONCACAF

Panama and Honduras played 2-2, while Costa Rica won as expected against Trinidad and Tobago.

Group	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Mexico	6	+7	14	22.6	99.99%	99.99%
Costa Rica	6	+5	11	17.3	99%	98.2%
United States	6	+3	8	15.1	97.5%	92.4%
--------------------
Panama	6	0	7	11.5	81.8%	48.5%
========
Honduras	6	-8	5	7.9	10.3%	3.8%
Trinidad and T	6	-7	3	7.1	10.6%	4.1%

In the next round there are two key matches:

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
58.4%	42.2%	25.3%	Panama	-	Trinidad and Tobago	0.36%	3.8%	15.9%	92.8907
10.6%	2.6%	1.1%	Honduras	-	United States	83.7%	91.4%	96.8%	50.2389

World Cup: Asia

In Group A, Qatar took their last straw and upset with a win against South Korea. South Korea's biggest competitor, Uzbekistan, also lost in their match against already qualified Iran. South Korea and Uzbekistan play in the final match, which like becomes the decider.

Group A

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Round 4	Playoff	World Cup
Iran	8	+8	20	23.2	100%	100%	100%
South Korea	8	+1	13	16.4	97.5%	91.2%	85.4%
--------------------
Uzbekistan	8	0	12	14.6	81.5%	58.0%	42.5%
========
Syria	8	-1	9	11.1	11.7%	4.4%	1.6%
Qatar	8	-4	7	9.8	5.7%	2.2%	0.72%
China	8	-4	6	8.5	3.5%	1.5%	0.52%

In group B, both Japan and UAE drew, which means Japan have clinched at least playoff. UAE is now virtually elimited; they need to win their two remaining matches against Saudi Arabia and Iraq while either Saudi Arabia or Australia take no more points.

Japan have a tough schedule with first Australia and then Saudi. In the last match Iraq play Thailand at home, while Saudi play UAE in the second last match. Japan need to win one of those matches to finish top 2, though two draws might do it as well. For Saudi and Australia a win against Japan plus a draw would do it, but there are plenty of combinations.

Group B

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Round 4	Playoff	World Cup
Japan	8	+9	17	20.6	100%	95.0%	91.9%
Saudi Arabia	8	+7	16	18.0	99%	58.6%	45.6%
--------------------
Australia	8	+6	16	19.4	99.9%	88.4%	81.9%
========
United Arab Em	8	-3	10	13.1	1.3%	0.49%	0.19%
Iraq	8	-3	5	7.7	-
Thailand	8	-16	2	4.0	-

In the last round, in which each team play two matches, we have the following important matches

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
90.4%	43.5%	22.9%	Saudi Arabia	-	Japan	75.7%	93.0%	100%	296.292
77.3%	37.6%	17.5%	Uzbekistan	-	South Korea	63.4%	90.5%	100%	275.801
100%	84.9%	79.7%	Japan	-	Australia	70.7%	91.0%	99%	179.753
0.37%	0.00%	0.00%	United Arab Emirates	-	Saudi Arabia	32.7%	44.5%	73.1%	84.1177
1.3%	0.00%	0.00%	China	-	Uzbekistan	27.5%	41.5%	59.2%	62.421

World Cup; CONCACAF: Mexico and USA drew

Mexico and United States drew in Mexico City.

	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Mexico	6	+7	14	22.6	99.99%	99.99%
Costa Rica	5	+4	8	16.6	99%	95.2%
United States	6	+3	8	15.1	96.8%	90.2%
--------------------
Panama	5	0	6	12.7	85.1%	58.2%
========
Honduras	5	-8	4	7.6	9.2%	3.9%
Trinidad and T	5	-6	3	7.6	10.1%	4.8%

World Cup: Asia: Iran qualified

Iran won over Uzbekistan and secured qualification.

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Round 4	Playoff	World Cup
Iran	8	+8	20	23.2	100%	100%	100%
South Korea	7	+2	13	18.3	98.1%	94.8%	91.6%
--------------------
Uzbekistan	8	0	12	14.6	78.9%	51.7%	32.8%
========
Syria	7	-1	8	11.6	17.2%	6.6%	2.5%
China	7	-4	5	8.8	4.6%	2.0%	0.75%
Qatar	7	-5	4	7.7	1.3%	0.52%	0.17%

South Korea play Qatar tonight (13th) and in next round they will play first Iran followed by final match against Uzbekistan.


 Win

	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
55.7%	27.1%	17.8%	Uzbekistan	-	South Korea	78.3%	95.7%	99.9%	139.765

World Cup: Europe

In Group A, Sweden won against France making a tight race between three countries. France are the favourites, while Sweden now is the favourite to snatch the second spot. France and Netherlands will play on 31 August in an important match.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
99%	93%	76%	France	-	Netherlands	17.1%	30%	59%	142.93

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Sweden	6	+8	13	19.4	61.0%	32.6%
--------------------
France	6	+6	13	22.8	95.9%	92.3%
========
Netherlands	6	+7	10	17.9	37.5%	29.3%
Bulgaria	6	-3	9	13.2	1.1%	0.35%
Belarus	6	-7	5	9.3	0.03%	0.01%
Luxembourg	6	-11	1	2.5	-

Group B is between Switzerland and Portugal. Both countries won their matches. Portugal and Switzerland will play in the round in October.

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Switzerland	6	+9	18	25.6	99.99%	75.3%
--------------------
Portugal	6	+19	15	24.9	99.99%	89.0%
========
Hungary	6	+1	7	13.9	0.02%	0.01%
Faroe Islands	6	-8	5	8.6	-
Andorra	6	-11	4	4.6	-
Latvia	6	-10	3	8.9	-

Group C is more or less already won by Germany, and Northern Ireland and Czechia are fighting about the playoff spot. Northern Ireland won against Azerbaijan, while Czechia only drew against Norway.

Group C	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Germany	6	+26	18	27.7	99.99%	99.9%
--------------------
Northern Irela	6	+9	13	19.0	68.3%	18.8%
========
Czechia	6	+4	9	16.1	17.6%	6.5%
Azerbaijan	6	-6	7	11.1	0.02%	0.00%
Norway	6	-4	4	11.1	0.01%	0.00%
San Marino	6	-29	0	0.4	-

In group D all countries drew, so not much changed. In next round Ireland will host Serbia in a group final

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
80%	45%	23.7%	Ireland	-	Serbia	34.0%	63%	90%	256.592

Group D	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Serbia	6	+6	12	19.1	72.2%	54.4%
--------------------
Ireland	6	+4	12	19.4	72.7%	58.5%
========
Wales	6	+4	8	16.0	26.9%	17.0%
Austria	6	+1	8	15.1	11.9%	6.4%
Georgia	6	-4	3	5.6	0.00%	0.00%
Moldova	6	-11	2	3.6	0.00%	0.00%

Poland almost secured group victory with their win against Romania. Montenegro and Denmark are fighting about the second spot with Romania as dark horse.

Group E	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Poland	6	+8	16	24.4	99%	99%
--------------------
Montenegro	6	+7	10	14.1	14.0%	3.0%
========
Denmark	6	+4	10	16.7	39.3%	18.1%
Romania	6	0	6	13.4	10.8%	4.2%
Armenia	6	-7	6	9.7	0.16%	0.03%
Kazakhstan	6	-12	2	5.3	0.00%	0.00%

Group F

England managed to squeeze in a late equalizer in Battle of Britain against Scotland. They are the favourites to win the group in a tight group.

Group F	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
England	5	+8	13	24.6	99%	97.4%
--------------------
Slovakia	5	+7	9	17.9	55.1%	27.5%
========
Slovenia	5	+1	8	15.3	11.9%	3.4%
Scotland	5	-1	7	15.6	16.9%	6.9%
Lithuania	5	-4	5	9.4	0.16%	0.02%
Malta	5	-11	0	1.7	-

Group of Giants is only about Spain and Italy. Both won comfortably and will go up against each other in the next round on 2 September.

Group G	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Spain	5	+17	13	24.8	99%	89.5%
--------------------
Italy	5	+9	13	24.5	99%	85.4%
========
Israel	5	0	9	15.7	1.5%	0.41%
Albania	5	-4	6	12.8	0.12%	0.04%
Macedonia	5	-4	3	7.6	0.00%	0.00%
Liechtenstein	5	-18	0	1.4	-

Belgium remains favourites while Greece and Bosnia and Herzegovina fight about the second spot. They will play in the next round, which will very well be the decider.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
44.9%	25%	9.2%	Bosnia and Herzegovina	-	Greece	7.0%	18.1%	35%	101.092

Group H	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Belgium	5	+20	13	24.4	96.8%	92.2%
--------------------
Greece	5	+7	11	19.2	36.1%	13.5%
========
Bosnia and Her	5	+8	10	20.3	65.2%	35.5%
Cyprus	5	-5	4	8.9	0.01%	0.00%
Estonia	5	-10	4	10.0	0.06%	0.01%
Gibraltar	5	-20	0	1.7	-

In Group I, Croatia and Iceland will play in next round. If Croatia win, they will most likely win the group.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
44%	20.9%	12.4%	Iceland	-	Croatia	73%	89%	97%	118.548

Group I	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Croatia	5	+10	13	22.2	93.0%	86.5%
--------------------
Iceland	5	+2	10	18.1	44.7%	26.1%
========
Ukraine	5	+3	8	15.5	18.2%	9.9%
Turkey	5	+2	8	17.0	33.4%	21.6%
Finland	5	-5	1	6.3	0.01%	0.00%
Kosovo	5	-12	1	3.9	0.00%	0.00%

World Cup: Oceania

In Group A New Zealand have clinched the group and will play playoff against winner in group B. The winner in this final will play against fifth team in South America, likely copa america champions, Chile.

Group A	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Final	Playoff	World Cup
New Zealand	4	+6	10	10.0	100%	91.1%	6.0%
========
New Caledonia	4	-1	5	5.0	-
Fiji	4	-5	1	1.0	-

In Group B all three teams still have chance to win the group with only one match left to play: Papua New Guinea vs Solomon Islands tomorrow (13th). Solomon Islands win the group, if they take a point in the last match. Papua New Guinea win the group, if they win with at least with 3-0. Tahiti win the group if Papua New Guinea win with one or two goals.

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Final	Playoff	World Cup
Tahiti	4	+1	6	6.0	37.9%	4.7%	0.03%
========
Solomon Island	3	+1	6	7.0	49.5%	3.3%	0.01%
Papua New Guin	3	-2	3	4.7	12.6%	0.92%	0.00%

World Cup: CONCACAF

After a poor start United States are now up in top 3 giving them good chances (88%) to qualify together with stable Mexico (>99%) and Costa Rica (95%)

Group	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Playoff	World Cup
Mexico	5	+7	13	23.8	99.99%	99.99%
Costa Rica	5	+4	8	16.6	99%	95.4%
United States	5	+3	7	14.8	95.6%	87.6%
--------------------
Panama	5	0	6	12.7	85.3%	58.6%
========
Honduras	5	-8	4	7.6	9.7%	4.1%
Trinidad and T	5	-6	3	7.6	10.7%	5.0%

Next week Panama play Honduras in a crucial match in the battle for the fourth spot, which means playoff against an Asian team.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
67%	50%	36%	Panama	-	Honduras	1.2%	4.4%	14.9%	68.5715

World Cup: Australia beat Saudi Arabia

Australia beat Saudi Arabia 3-2 in Adelaide, making the group extremely tight between the top 3 teams. Top two team qualify and third will play playoff against third in other group (likely Uzbekistan) followed by playoff against fourth team from Caribbean, North and Central America.

Group B	m	+/-	points	avg. simulated p	Round 4	Playoff	World Cup
Japan	7	+9	16	21.5	99%	96.2%	93.9%
Saudi Arabia	8	+7	16	18.0	94.1%	54.9%	42.3%
--------------------
Australia	8	+6	16	19.4	99%	87.6%	80.8%
========
United Arab Em	7	-3	9	13.6	6.9%	3.1%	1.7%
Iraq	7	-3	4	7.5	-
Thailand	7	-16	1	4.2	-

Japan play both Saudi Arabia and Australia plus Iraq next week. In addition Australia have Thailand left while  Saudi Arabia will UAE. Below is a summary of the most important matches left and involved teams chances depending on the outcome.

Win	Draw	Lose				Lose	Draw	Win	Information (mBit)
81%	40%	22.4%	Saudi Arabia	-	Japan	82%	95%	99%	215.312
99%	92%	83%	Japan	-	Australia	70%	88%	98%	127.175
3.2%	0.01%	0.00%	United Arab Emirates	-	Saudi Arabia	27.3%	44%	71%	110.857
87%	65%	50%	Australia	-	Thailand	0.00%	0.00%	0.00%	63.7644