PL: Prediction for match day 38

United clinch CL if they take a point against Leicester or Chelsea lose against Wolves.

Chelsea clinch CL if they take a point against Wolves or United win against Leicester.

Leicester clinch CL if they win against United or if they draw and Chelsea lose.

Wolves clinch EL if they take as many points (or more) against Chelsea as Tottenham take against Crystal Palace

Spurs clinch EL if they take more points against Crystal Palace than Wolves take against Chelsea.

Wolves and Spurs can also qualify for EL if Chelsea win the FA cup final against Arsenal.

Aston Villa clinch new contract if
  - they win and Watford don't win with two more goals
  - they draw and Watford don't win
  - they lose with less than three goals and Watford lose and Bournemouth fail to win

Watford clinch new contract if one of the following
  - they win and Villa fail to win
  - they draw and Villa lose
  - they win with three goals and Villa win with one goal
  - they lose with one goal, Villa lose with three or more and Bournemouth fail to win

Bournemouth clinch a new contract if they win against Everton, Watford lose against Arsenal and Aston Villa lose against West Ham.

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	37	+50	96	+51.4	98.2	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	37	+62	78	+64.4	80.6	100%	100%	100%
3. Man United	37	+28	63	+27.4	64	59%	100%	100%
4. Chelsea	37	+13	63	+13.9	64.9	84%	100%	100%
5. Leicester	37	+28	62	+28.6	63.8	57%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	37	+13	59	+12.1	59.8	< 1%	79%	100%
7. Tottenham	37	+14	58	+14.1	59.5	< 1%	76%	100%
8. Sheffield United	37	+2	54	+1.55	55.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
9. Burnley	37	-6	54	-5.26	55.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
10. Arsenal	37	+7	53	+8.14	55.1	< 1%	45%	100%
11. Everton	37	-10	49	-8.97	51	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	37	-11	49	-10.5	50.7	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	37	-18	44	-19.4	44.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	37	-19	42	-19.1	43.3	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. West Ham	37	-13	38	-12.2	39.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
16. Brighton	37	-16	38	-16.7	38.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
17. Aston Villa	37	-26	34	-26.8	34.9	< 1%	< 1%	65%
18. Watford	37	-27	34	-28.1	34.7	< 1%	< 1%	29%
19. Bournemouth	37	-27	31	-28	31.8	< 1%	< 1%	7%
20. Norwich	37	-44	21	-46.4	21.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Leicester have 100% chance if they win against Man United; otherwise 10%

Man United have 100% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 21%

Chelsea have 100% chance if they draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 25.5%

Man United have 100% chance if Wolves win against Chelsea; otherwise 48.1%

Chelsea have 100% chance if Man United win against Leicester; otherwise 79%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 100% chance if Crystal Palace win against Tottenham; otherwise 68.1%

Tottenham have 86.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Crystal Palace; otherwise 55.1%

Wolves have 100% chance if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 73.9%

Tottenham have 81.1% chance if Chelsea draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 55.2%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Watford have 66.5% chance if they draw (or win) against Arsenal; otherwise 6.59%

Aston Villa have 91% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 43.9%

Aston Villa have 83.1% chance if Arsenal win against Watford; otherwise 33.5%

Bournemouth have 35.2% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 0%

Watford have 44.4% chance if West Ham win against Aston Villa; otherwise 8.98%

PL: crucial win for Aston Villa

Arsenal lost against Villa which means Wolves and Spurs have clinched top 7 and will fight over the top 6 and guaranteed EL ticket in the last round. Tottenham need to take more points against Palace than Wolves take against Chelsea.

Villa's victory is crucial in the relegation race. Villa and Watford now have equally many points and and Villa have one goal better goal difference. Villa play West Ham in the last match while Watford play Arsenal.


Premier League

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	37	+62	78	+64.4	80.6	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	82%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	37	+28	62	+28.6	63.8	56%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.5	65	62%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	37	+13	59	+12.1	59.8	< 1%	79%	100%
7. Tottenham	37	+14	58	+14.1	59.5	< 1%	76%	100%
8. Sheffield United	37	+2	54	+1.55	55.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
9. Burnley	37	-6	54	-5.26	55.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
10. Arsenal	37	+7	53	+8.13	55.1	< 1%	45%	100%
11. Everton	37	-10	49	-8.97	51	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	37	-11	49	-10.5	50.7	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	37	-18	44	-19.4	44.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	37	-19	42	-19.1	43.3	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	37	-16	38	-16.7	38.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
16. West Ham	36	-13	37	-13.3	39.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
17. Aston Villa	37	-26	34	-26.8	34.9	< 1%	< 1%	65%
18. Watford	37	-27	34	-28.1	34.7	< 1%	< 1%	29%
19. Bournemouth	37	-27	31	-28	31.8	< 1%	< 1%	7%
20. Norwich	37	-44	21	-46.4	21.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Leicester have 93.9% chance if they win against Man United; otherwise 14.6%

Man United have 92.8% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 33%

Chelsea have 100% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 58.9%

Chelsea have 100% chance if Man United win against Leicester; otherwise 76.5%

Man United have 69% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 29%

Man United have 78.8% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 49.2%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 100% chance if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 73.9%

Tottenham have 81.1% chance if Chelsea draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 55.1%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Watford have 66.7% chance if they draw (or win) against Arsenal; otherwise 6.53%

Aston Villa have 90.9% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 44%

Aston Villa have 83.1% chance if Arsenal win against Watford; otherwise 33.3%

Watford have 44.3% chance if West Ham win against Aston Villa; otherwise 9.08%

Bournemouth have 11.7% chance if West Ham win against Aston Villa; otherwise 0%

PL: Watford can clinch contract

Watford can clinch a new contract if they take more points against City (home) than Villa take against Arsenal (home). Arsenal must win to have a chance at top-7. With two matches left they are trailing Spurs with five points (and six goals) and six points (and five goals) behind Wolves. Wolves have Chelsea away in the last match while Tottenham play Crystal Palace.

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	83%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	37	+28	62	+28.6	63.8	56%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.5	65	62%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	37	+13	59	+12.1	59.8	< 1%	75%	100%
7. Tottenham	37	+14	58	+14.1	59.5	< 1%	70%	100%
8. Sheffield United	37	+2	54	+1.55	55.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
9. Burnley	37	-6	54	-5.25	55.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
10. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.5	56.7	< 1%	56%	100%
11. Everton	37	-10	49	-8.97	51	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	37	-11	49	-10.5	50.7	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	37	-18	44	-19.4	44.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	37	-19	42	-19.1	43.3	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	37	-16	38	-16.7	38.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
16. West Ham	36	-13	37	-13.3	39.6	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
17. Watford	36	-23	34	-25.2	35.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Aston Villa	36	-27	31	-28.2	33	< 1%	< 1%	17%
19. Bournemouth	37	-27	31	-28	31.8	< 1%	< 1%	5.0%
20. Norwich	37	-44	21	-46.4	21.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Leicester have 94% chance if they win against Man United; otherwise 14.6%

Man United have 92.8% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 32.9%

Chelsea have 100% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 59%

Chelsea have 100% chance if Man United win against Leicester; otherwise 76.6%

Man United have 68.9% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 28.9%

Man United have 78.7% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 49.2%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 100% chance if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 68%

Arsenal have 67.7% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 45.1%

Tottenham have 75.3% chance if Chelsea draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 49%

Tottenham have 75.5% chance if Aston Villa draw (or win) against Arsenal; otherwise 63%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Aston Villa have 39.7% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 6.73%

Aston Villa have 44.9% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 8.42%

Watford have 87.4% chance if Arsenal draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 57.3%

Watford have 93.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 68.7%

Watford have 85.9% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 52.6%

PL: Leicester failed to win against Tottenham

Leicester failed to win against Tottenham and now need to win against Man United (unless Man United fail to take a point against West Ham). If Man United win against West Ham and lose against Leicester it is a goal difference affair where they currently have the same goal difference, so if United win with three goals against West Ham, Leicester need to win with two goals.

Today Wolves play Palace in their race for top-6 against Tottenham. A win their would mean 72% chance for EL, compared with 27% otherwise. Brighton the Magpies and can secure the new contract mathematically with a point.


Premier League

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	83%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	37	+28	62	+28.6	63.8	56%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.5	65	62%	100%	100%
6. Tottenham	37	+14	58	+14.1	59.5	< 1%	77%	100%
7. Wolves	36	+11	56	+10.9	58.7	< 1%	52%	100%
8. Sheffield United	36	+3	54	+2.81	56.6	< 1%	11%	100%
9. Burnley	37	-6	54	-5.25	55.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
10. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.5	56.7	< 1%	59%	100%
11. Southampton	37	-11	49	-10.6	50.7	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Everton	36	-11	46	-10.2	49.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	36	-18	43	-19.6	44.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	36	-17	42	-17.9	44.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. West Ham	36	-13	37	-13.3	39.6	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
16. Brighton	36	-16	37	-16.6	39.4	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
17. Watford	36	-23	34	-25.2	35.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Aston Villa	36	-27	31	-28.2	33	< 1%	< 1%	17%
19. Bournemouth	37	-27	31	-28	31.8	< 1%	< 1%	5%
20. Norwich	37	-44	21	-46.4	21.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Leicester have 93.9% chance if they win against Man United; otherwise 14.6%

Man United have 92.8% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 32.9%

Chelsea have 100% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 59%

Chelsea have 100% chance if Man United win against Leicester; otherwise 76.6%

Man United have 68.9% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 28.9%

Man United have 78.8% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 49.1%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 71.6% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 26.7%

Sheffield United have 33.5% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 2.67%

Wolves have 86.2% chance if they win against Chelsea; otherwise 42.3%

Sheffield United have 23.7% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 1.99%

Tottenham have 90.3% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 66.4%

Tottenham have 82.6% chance if Chelsea draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 56.5%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Aston Villa have 39.7% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 6.72%

Watford have 87.4% chance if Arsenal draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 57.3%

Watford have 93.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 68.6%

Aston Villa have 23.2% chance if Man City win against Watford; otherwise 6.11%

Bournemouth have 8.19% chance if Man City win against Watford; otherwise 0%

PL: Key game when the Foxes visit the Spurs.

After winning the FA-cup semifinal, Arsenal have 65% chance to reach EL.

Today we have a match that is key both for CL and EL qualifications. Tottenham host Leicester, a match Leicester need to win to stay ahead of the deciding match against Man United in the last round and thereby only needing a draw. Tottenham need also points they can get in their race for EL. A win today would mean 76% chance.

Premier League

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	76%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	36	+31	62	+31.1	64.8	68%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.4	65	57%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	36	+11	56	+10.9	58.7	< 1%	61%	100%
7. Tottenham	36	+11	55	+11.7	58.2	< 1%	55%	100%
8. Sheffield United	36	+3	54	+2.81	56.6	< 1%	17%	100%
9. Burnley	37	-6	54	-5.25	55.9	< 1%	2.6%	100%
10. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.5	56.7	< 1%	65%	100%
11. Everton	36	-11	46	-10.2	49.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	36	-13	46	-12.8	48.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	36	-18	43	-19.6	44.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	36	-17	42	-17.9	44.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. West Ham	36	-13	37	-13.3	39.6	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
16. Brighton	36	-16	37	-16.6	39.4	< 1%	< 1%	99.95%
17. Watford	36	-23	34	-25.2	35.5	< 1%	< 1%	63%
18. Bournemouth	36	-25	31	-25.8	33.3	< 1%	< 1%	23%
19. Aston Villa	36	-27	31	-28.2	33	< 1%	< 1%	13%
20. Norwich	37	-44	21	-46.4	21.3	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Chelsea have 97.2% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 46.2%

Man United have 77.6% chance if Wolves draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 41.2%

Man United have 68.5% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 37.7%

Leicester have 87% chance if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 60.9%

Chelsea have 99.2% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 72.8%

Chelsea have 87.5% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 68.1%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 80.5% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 36.9%

Tottenham have 75.8% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 33.1%

Sheffield United have 32.8% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 4.78%

Wolves have 80.1% chance if they draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 46.8%

Arsenal have 78% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 53.3%

Tottenham have 66.9% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 44.8%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Bournemouth have 44.1% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 7.55%

Watford have 84.7% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 50%

Aston Villa have 32.6% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 4.95%

Watford have 76.3% chance if Southampton draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 46.5%

Bournemouth have 32% chance if Man City win against Watford; otherwise 9.92%

PL: West Ham most certainly clinched new contract

West Ham almost certainly secured a new contract against Watford.

Today Norwich visit Burnley and need a win to keep their EL chances alive. Bournemouth host Southampton and would need a win. They are currently trailing three points behind Watford. Bournemouth play Everton in the last round and need to win at least one of those to have a theoretical chance and probably more to have a decent chance, depending on Watford's results. Watford play against City (home) and Arsenal (away).

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	75%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	36	+31	62	+31.1	64.8	68%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.5	65	57%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	36	+11	56	+10.9	58.7	< 1%	70%	100%
7. Tottenham	36	+11	55	+11.7	58.2	< 1%	64%	100%
8. Sheffield United	36	+3	54	+2.81	56.6	< 1%	22%	100%
9. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.51	56.7	< 1%	43%	100%
10. Burnley	36	-8	51	-7.31	54.2	< 1%	1.4%	100%
11. Everton	36	-11	46	-10.2	49.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	36	-13	46	-12.8	48.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	36	-18	43	-19.6	44.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	36	-17	42	-17.9	44.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. West Ham	36	-12	37	-12.3	39.6	< 1%	< 1%	>99.99%
16. Brighton	36	-16	37	-16.6	39.4	< 1%	< 1%	99.96%
17. Watford	36	-24	34	-26.2	35.5	< 1%	< 1%	61%
18. Bournemouth	36	-25	31	-25.8	33.3	< 1%	< 1%	24%
19. Aston Villa	36	-27	31	-28.2	33	< 1%	< 1%	15%
20. Norwich	36	-42	21	-44.4	22.7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Man United have 68.5% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 37.8%

Leicester have 86.9% chance if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 60.8%

Chelsea have 99.2% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 72.8%

Chelsea have 87.5% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 68.1%

Chelsea have 80.2% chance if Tottenham draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 62.3%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 88.4% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 46.3%

Tottenham have 85.2% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 43.2%

Sheffield United have 41% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.96%

Arsenal have 64.2% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 24.2%

Burnley have 3.84% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 0%

Sheffield United have 28.8% chance if Leicester draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 15%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Bournemouth have 45.6% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 7.78%

Watford have 83.5% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 46.5%

Aston Villa have 36.8% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 5.87%

Watford have 73.5% chance if Southampton draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 44%

Bournemouth have 33.1% chance if Man City win against Watford; otherwise 9.94%

Watford have 67.8% chance if Arsenal draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 44.3%

Leicester and Man United both win

Both Leicester and Man United won in their race for CL tickets. West Ham can secure their contract today if they win against Watford. Watford have very good chances (92%), if they take a point against West Ham, whereas it's more open otherwise (64%).

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	75%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	36	+31	62	+31.1	64.8	68%	100%	100%
5. Man United	36	+28	62	+28.5	65	57%	100%	100%
6. Wolves	36	+11	56	+10.9	58.7	< 1%	70%	100%
7. Tottenham	36	+11	55	+11.7	58.2	< 1%	64%	100%
8. Sheffield United	36	+3	54	+2.81	56.6	< 1%	22%	100%
9. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.5	56.7	< 1%	43%	100%
10. Burnley	36	-8	51	-7.31	54.2	< 1%	1.4%	100%
11. Everton	36	-11	46	-10.2	49.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	36	-13	46	-12.8	48.9	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	36	-18	43	-19.6	44.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	36	-17	42	-17.9	44.2	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	36	-16	37	-16.5	39.4	< 1%	< 1%	99.92%
16. West Ham	35	-15	34	-14.7	38.4	< 1%	< 1%	95.8%
17. Watford	35	-21	34	-23.7	36.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Bournemouth	36	-25	31	-25.8	33.3	< 1%	< 1%	15%
19. Aston Villa	36	-27	31	-28.2	33	< 1%	< 1%	11%
20. Norwich	36	-42	21	-44.4	22.7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Man United have 68.4% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 37.8%

Leicester have 86.9% chance if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 60.9%

Chelsea have 87.5% chance if West Ham draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 68.1%

Chelsea have 80.2% chance if Tottenham draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 62.4%

Leicester have 81.8% chance if West Ham win against Man United; otherwise 64.7%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Wolves have 88.5% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 46.3%

Tottenham have 85.3% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 43.1%

Sheffield United have 40.9% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.82%

Arsenal have 64.3% chance if they win against Aston Villa; otherwise 24.3%

Burnley have 3.84% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 0%

Sheffield United have 28.6% chance if Leicester draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 15%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Bournemouth have 29.9% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 4.44%

Watford have 92.2% chance if they draw (or win) against West Ham; otherwise 64.3%

Aston Villa have 26.6% chance if they win against Arsenal; otherwise 3.67%

Watford have 91.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 69.6%

West Ham have 100% chance if they win against Watford; otherwise 91.6%

Watford have 86.4% chance if Southampton draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 67.4%

Arsenal beat Liverpool

Tottenham coming up as threat to Wolves 6th place and Arsenal grabbing a last straw with a win against the Champs.

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	36	+48	93	+51.1	97.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	36	+58	75	+61.5	79.7	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	90%	100%	100%
4. Leicester	35	+29	59	+30.1	63.9	65%	99.63%	100%
5. Man United	35	+26	59	+26.4	63.4	44%	99.83%	100%
6. Wolves	36	+11	56	+10.9	58.7	< 1%	66%	100%
7. Tottenham	36	+11	55	+11.7	58.2	< 1%	61%	100%
8. Sheffield United	35	+5	54	+3.76	57.4	< 1%	32%	100%
9. Arsenal	36	+8	53	+9.5	56.7	< 1%	40%	100%
10. Burnley	36	-8	51	-7.31	54.2	< 1%	1.2%	100%
11. Everton	35	-11	45	-9.06	50.4	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	35	-13	45	-12	49.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	36	-18	43	-19.6	44.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	35	-15	42	-15.8	45.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	35	-16	36	-17.3	39.3	< 1%	< 1%	99.40%
16. West Ham	35	-15	34	-14.8	38.4	< 1%	< 1%	95.5%
17. Watford	35	-21	34	-23.7	36.5	< 1%	< 1%	79%
18. Bournemouth	36	-25	31	-25.8	33.3	< 1%	< 1%	16%
19. Aston Villa	35	-27	30	-29.3	32.7	< 1%	< 1%	11%
20. Norwich	36	-42	21	-44.4	22.7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Man United have 65% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 32.6%

Leicester have 76.2% chance if they win against Sheffield United; otherwise 48.1%

Leicester have 85% chance if they win against Tottenham; otherwise 58.3%

Chelsea have 94.4% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 81.3%

Leicester have 76.3% chance if Crystal Palace win against Man United; otherwise 58.3%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Tottenham have 82% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 39%

Sheffield United have 54.1% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 15.8%

Sheffield United have 68.6% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 24.4%

Burnley have 3.2% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 0%

Sheffield United have 39.6% chance if Leicester draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 25.5%

Wolves have 73.2% chance if Leicester draw (or win) against Tottenham; otherwise 59%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Bournemouth have 30.2% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 4.24%

Watford have 98.2% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 71.9%

Aston Villa have 32.3% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.38%

West Ham have 99.9% chance if they win against Watford; otherwise 91%

Watford have 87.6% chance if Southampton draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 67.7%

Bournemouth have 22.8% chance if West Ham win against Watford; otherwise 8.21%

Chelsea won against Norwich

Chelsea won as expected against Norwich and now have an 88% chance to grab a top-4 place

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	35	+49	93	+53.1	99.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	35	+57	72	+62.7	79.2	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	36	+15	63	+14.1	65.4	88%	>99.99%	100%
4. Leicester	35	+29	59	+30.1	63.9	65%	99.71%	100%
5. Man United	35	+26	59	+26.4	63.4	44%	99.85%	100%
6. Wolves	35	+11	55	+10.8	59	3.2%	77%	100%
7. Sheffield United	35	+5	54	+3.75	57.4	< 1%	45%	100%
8. Tottenham	35	+9	52	+9.81	56.7	< 1%	43%	100%
9. Arsenal	35	+7	50	+7.58	54.5	< 1%	25%	100%
10. Burnley	35	-8	50	-7.16	54.7	< 1%	10%	100%
11. Everton	35	-11	45	-9.06	50.4	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	35	-13	45	-12	49.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	35	-16	43	-17.7	46.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	35	-15	42	-15.8	45.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	35	-16	36	-17.3	39.3	< 1%	< 1%	99.17%
16. West Ham	35	-15	34	-14.7	38.4	< 1%	< 1%	95%
17. Watford	35	-21	34	-23.7	36.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Bournemouth	35	-24	31	-27	33.6	< 1%	< 1%	17%
19. Aston Villa	35	-27	30	-29.3	32.7	< 1%	< 1%	11%
20. Norwich	36	-42	21	-44.4	22.7	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Man United have 64.8% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 31.8%

Leicester have 75.9% chance if they win against Sheffield United; otherwise 47.3%

Wolves have 9.2% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 0.053%

Leicester have 75.8% chance if Crystal Palace win against Man United; otherwise 57.7%

Man United have 55% chance if Sheffield United draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 36.7%

Chelsea have 92.1% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 79.7%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Tottenham have 65.1% chance if they win against Newcastle; otherwise 27.1%

Wolves have 95.4% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 67.8%

Burnley have 22.7% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 1.99%

Sheffield United have 78% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 38%

Burnley have 23.1% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 3.14%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Watford have 98% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 71%

Aston Villa have 31.7% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.34%

West Ham have 99.9% chance if they win against Watford; otherwise 89.7%

Bournemouth have 55.9% chance if they win against Man City; otherwise 14.5%

Bournemouth have 23.3% chance if West Ham win against Watford; otherwise 11.2%

Watford have 80.1% chance if Man City draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 52.5%

PL - Three matches to go

These are the predictions of the last 3 matches in Premier League. Chelsea, Leicester and Man United are fighting over two tickets to CL. Chelsea have the advantage with one more point and that Leicester and Man United play in the last match.

Under them, Wolves, Sheffield U, Tottenham, Arsenal and Burnley are fighting over the two remaining tickets to Europe. At the botom we have listed the most important events for this fight, for example, that Tottenham win against Newcaste is key for Tottenham - more than doubling their chances.

In the relegation fight, West Ham, Watford, Bournemouth and Aston Villa are fighting over two new contracts, whereas Brighton almost have clinched a place in next season's Premier League.

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	35	+49	93	+53.1	99.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	35	+57	72	+62.7	79.2	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	35	+14	60	+14.8	64.8	79%	99.94%	100%
4. Leicester	35	+29	59	+30.1	63.9	68%	99.71%	100%
5. Man United	35	+26	59	+26.4	63.4	49%	99.86%	100%
6. Wolves	35	+11	55	+10.8	59	3.9%	77%	100%
7. Sheffield United	35	+5	54	+3.76	57.4	< 1%	45%	100%
8. Tottenham	35	+9	52	+9.81	56.7	< 1%	43%	100%
9. Arsenal	35	+7	50	+7.58	54.5	< 1%	25%	100%
10. Burnley	35	-8	50	-7.17	54.7	< 1%	10%	100%
11. Everton	35	-11	45	-9.06	50.4	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	35	-13	45	-12	49.8	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	35	-16	43	-17.7	46.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	35	-15	42	-15.8	45.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	35	-16	36	-17.3	39.3	< 1%	< 1%	99.16%
16. West Ham	35	-15	34	-14.7	38.4	< 1%	< 1%	95%
17. Watford	35	-21	34	-23.7	36.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Bournemouth	35	-24	31	-27	33.6	< 1%	< 1%	17%
19. Aston Villa	35	-27	30	-29.3	32.7	< 1%	< 1%	11%
20. Norwich	35	-41	21	-45.1	23.1	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Chelsea have 87.8% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 53.7%

Man United have 70.3% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 36.6%

Leicester have 78.7% chance if they win against Sheffield United; otherwise 50.2%

Wolves have 10.2% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 0.54%

Chelsea have 84.2% chance if Crystal Palace draw (or win) against Man United; otherwise 69.3%

Man United have 63.2% chance if Norwich draw (or win) against Chelsea; otherwise 43.7%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Tottenham have 65.1% chance if they win against Newcastle; otherwise 27.1%

Wolves have 95.4% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 67.7%

Burnley have 22.8% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 1.94%

Sheffield United have 78.4% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 38.1%

Arsenal have 46.1% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 19.2%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Watford have 98% chance if they win against West Ham; otherwise 70.9%

Aston Villa have 31.8% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.34%

West Ham have 99.9% chance if they win against Watford; otherwise 89.6%

Bournemouth have 56.4% chance if they win against Man City; otherwise 14.5%

Bournemouth have 23.4% chance if West Ham win against Watford; otherwise 11.3%

Watford have 80% chance if Man City draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 52.4%

PL - Tottenham won the NLD

Tottenham won the North London Derby and Bournmouth grabbed a straw with a convincing win against Leicester.

Team	Pld	GD	Pts	average GD	average Pts	CL	EL	Contract
1. Liverpool	35	+49	93	+53.1	99.6	100%	100%	100%
2. Man City	35	+57	72	+62.7	79.2	100%	100%	100%
3. Chelsea	35	+14	60	+14.8	64.8	73%	99.93%	100%
4. Leicester	35	+29	59	+30.1	63.9	61%	99.71%	100%
5. Man United	34	+26	58	+27.4	64.4	62%	99.86%	100%
6. Wolves	35	+11	55	+10.8	59	3.2%	77%	100%
7. Sheffield United	35	+5	54	+3.76	57.4	< 1%	45%	100%
8. Tottenham	35	+9	52	+9.81	56.7	< 1%	43%	100%
9. Arsenal	35	+7	50	+7.58	54.5	< 1%	25%	100%
10. Burnley	35	-8	50	-7.16	54.7	< 1%	10%	100%
11. Everton	35	-11	45	-9.06	50.4	< 1%	< 1%	100%
12. Southampton	34	-13	44	-13	49.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
13. Newcastle	35	-16	43	-17.7	46.1	< 1%	< 1%	100%
14. Crystal Palace	35	-15	42	-15.8	45.6	< 1%	< 1%	100%
15. Brighton	35	-16	36	-17.3	39.3	< 1%	< 1%	99.14%
16. West Ham	35	-15	34	-14.7	38.4	< 1%	< 1%	95%
17. Watford	35	-21	34	-23.7	36.5	< 1%	< 1%	78%
18. Bournemouth	35	-24	31	-27	33.6	< 1%	< 1%	17%
19. Aston Villa	35	-27	30	-29.3	32.7	< 1%	< 1%	11%
20. Norwich	35	-41	21	-45.1	23.2	< 1%	< 1%	< 1%

The Most Important Events for CL Qualifications

Chelsea have 82.3% chance if they win against Norwich; otherwise 46%

Leicester have 73.5% chance if they win against Sheffield United; otherwise 41.1%

Man United have 75% chance if they win against Southampton; otherwise 43.8%

Man United have 81.9% chance if they win against Crystal Palace; otherwise 51.5%

Leicester have 67.1% chance if they draw (or win) against Sheffield United; otherwise 33.7%

Chelsea have 76.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Norwich; otherwise 37.7%

Man United have 72.3% chance if they draw (or win) against Crystal Palace; otherwise 47.5%

Man United have 68.3% chance if they draw (or win) against Southampton; otherwise 38.4%

Wolves have 8.34% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 0.415%

Chelsea have 81.8% chance if Sheffield United draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 67.1%

The Most Important Events for EL Qualifications

Tottenham have 65.2% chance if they win against Newcastle; otherwise 27%

Wolves have 95.4% chance if they win against Burnley; otherwise 67.6%

Burnley have 22.6% chance if they win against Wolves; otherwise 1.96%

Wolves have 88.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Burnley; otherwise 60.6%

Tottenham have 54% chance if they draw (or win) against Newcastle; otherwise 21.4%

Sheffield United have 78.1% chance if they win against Leicester; otherwise 38.2%

Burnley have 15.6% chance if they draw (or win) against Wolves; otherwise 0.803%

Sheffield United have 61.9% chance if they draw (or win) against Leicester; otherwise 35.1%

Arsenal have 46.2% chance if they win against Liverpool; otherwise 19.2%

Arsenal have 34.8% chance if they draw (or win) against Liverpool; otherwise 17.4%

The Most Important Events for New Contract

Aston Villa have 31.9% chance if they win against Everton; otherwise 6.34%

Bournemouth have 56.1% chance if they win against Man City; otherwise 14.6%

Aston Villa have 20.5% chance if they draw (or win) against Everton; otherwise 5%

Bournemouth have 37.1% chance if they draw (or win) against Man City; otherwise 12.8%

Watford have 80% chance if Man City draw (or win) against Bournemouth; otherwise 52.5%

Watford have 81.2% chance if Man City win against Bournemouth; otherwise 64.8%

Watford have 80.5% chance if Everton draw (or win) against Aston Villa; otherwise 66.5%